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vendredi, 28 mai 2010

Wenn Migranten Migranten hassen

Wenn Migranten Migranten hassen: Afrikaner nach Türken-Angriff in Berlin geistig behindert

Udo Ulfkotte

Ex: http://info.kopp-verlag.de/

Würden zwei Deutsche in der Bundeshauptstadt aus rassistischen Gründen einen Afrikaner angreifen und so zusammenschlagen, dass er bis an sein Lebensende behindert bliebe, Sie würden das natürlich sofort in allen Zeitungen lesen. Die Empörung wäre zu Recht groß. Zwei arbeitslose Türken haben aus rassistischen Gründen in Berlin einen armen Afrikaner angegriffen. Und die Medien schauten wieder einmal vereint politisch korrekt weg, weil die Täter nicht blond sind und auch keine Springerstiefel trugen. Wenn Migranten Migranten hassen, dann schweigen die deutschen Systemmedien.

Nach dem lebensgefährlichen Angriff von zwei Türken auf einen Afrikaner hat das Berliner Landgericht nun die arbeitslosen Täter zur Zahlung von 240.000 Euro Schmerzensgeld an den aus Burkina Faso stammenden Mann verurteilt. Die Türken hatten im Juni 2007 auf einem Neuköllner U-Bahnhof aus rein rassistischen Gründen immer wieder brutal auf ihr Opfer eingeschlagen. Nach einem Karatesprung eines Türken gegen den Afrikaner stürzte dieser mit dem Kopf auf den Bahnsteig und brach sich dabei den Schädel. Das heute 38 Jahre alte Opfer ist seit dem Türken-Angriff körperlich und geistig schwer behindert. Er wird wohl bis an das Ende seines Lebens auf Betreuung angewiesen sein. Der Mann hat allerdings seit rund zwei Jahren weder von Politik noch von Medien oder Verbänden irgendeine Unterstützung oder Aufmerksamkeit bekommen. Auch die großen Türkenverbände, die den Deutschen sonst gern pauschal »Rassismus« vorwerfen, haben sich um das afrikanische Türken-Opfer bislang nicht gekümmert. Da die türkischen Straftäter arbeits- und mittelllos sind, wird das Opfer wohl keinen Cent vom zugesprochenen Schmerzensgeld sehen. Und der Steuerzahler muss für die Verfahrenskosten und für die Betreuung des armen Afrikaners aufkommen.

 

Donnerstag, 20.05.2010

© Das Copyright dieser Seite liegt, wenn nicht anders vermerkt, beim Kopp Verlag, Rottenburg


Dieser Beitrag stellt ausschließlich die Meinung des Verfassers dar. Er muß nicht zwangsläufig die Meinung des Verlags oder die Meinung anderer Autoren dieser Seiten wiedergeben.

Russia and the New World Order - The Geopolitical Project of Pax Eurasiatica

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Russia and the New World Order - The Geopolitical Project of Pax Eurasiatica

Nikolaj von Kreitor (1996)

For the period after the end of Second World War, the United States gained increasing prominence as the leading power of imperialist reaction, taking Germany’s place in this respect... And its ruling class managed, particularly during the imperialist era, to have the democratic forms so effectively preserved that by democratically legal means, it achieved a dictatorship of monopoly capitalism at least as firm as that which Hitler set up by tyrannical procedures...And this democracy could, in substance, realize everything sought by Hitler.
Gyorgy Lukacs(1)

Resoluteness does not first take cognizance of Situation and put that Situation before itself; it has put itself into that Situation already. As resolute, Dasein is already taking action.
Martin Heidegger(2)
We don’t have enemies in the East.
Bismarck

The concept of the state presupposes the concept of the political. The specific political distinction to which political actions and motives can be reduced is that between friend and foe, wrote Carl Schmitt.(3) The affirmation of the political is a recognition of the reality of the political and thus a recognition and identification of the foe. Only by affirmation of the political in an act of decision, which by necessity is a meta-existential choice, can a nation as a collective entity assert its own sovereignty and thus political future.

In the aftermath of the dissolution of Soviet Union in 1991 which reduced the former Great Power to a state without politics and thus to a landmass in chaos, a sort of a Weimar-republic of the 90-ties, and in the face of the new American expansionism, the ideological discussion and search for viable political orientation within the former Soviet Union has intensified. Professor Nikolaj Zagladin pointed recently that the competition between the Soviet Union and the United States during the period of the Cold War must be characterized as a real war during which actual military power had been used to a very limited extend- mostly in proxy wars. This was so not because of a lack of will but because of the nature of the military technology— the existence of nuclear weapons made the war impossible. The nature of the war between the United States and the Soviet Union, known as the Cold War, was to its essence technology specific. But the Cold War was in fact the Third World War, claims Zagladin.(4) To a similar conclusion comes Zbigniew Brzezinski, the former National Security Advisor to President Carter, and presently one of the major ideologists of the «Expansionists of 1991», who wrote, paraphrasing von Clausewitz, that «the Cold War can be defined as warfare by other (non-lethal) means. Nonetheless, warfare it was. And the stakes were monumental. Geopolitically the struggle, in the first instance, was for control over the Eurasian landmass and, eventually, even for global preponderance».(5) Obviously the Soviet Union gave up much more in the settlement than the United States, agreed to the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact, although the military arm of American domination of Western Europe, NATO, continues to exist and is steadily expanding. Soviet Union unilaterally reduced its engagement in the Third World while the United States escalated her interventionist foreign policies. Soviet Union even supported the war in Iraq, a war that to its essence was a war for the control of the oil in the Persian Gulf and thus a war against the national interest not only the Soviet Union, but also of other European countries; a war that made it less likely that an accommodation between the Soviet Union and Western European countries could be reached. Soviet Union even agreed to withdraw its military forces from Germany while the United States intends to permanent her occupation of Germany, a fact that was clearly stated by President Bush during the November 7-8, 1991 NATO summit meeting in Rome. And that brings us to the post Cold War settlement, its consequences for Russia and for the international order. A critical observer will characterize this settlement as analogous to a Second Treaty of Versailles. Zbigniew Brzezinski point out that as a consequence of the Second Treaty of Versailles, the defeated Russia is passing into American receivership. «This is an outcome historically no less decisive and no less one-sided than the defeat of Napoleonic France in 1815, or of Imperial Germany in 1918. Unlike the Peace of Westphalia, which ended the Thirty Years War in a grand religious compromise, cuius regio, cuius religio , does not apply here. Rather, from a doctrinal point of view, the outcome is more similar to 1815 or 1945; the ideology of the losing side has itself been repudiated. Geopolitically the outcome is also suggestive of 1918, the defeated empire is in a process of dismantlement. As in previous termination of war there was a discernible moment of capitulation, followed by postwar political upheavals in the losing state. That moment came most probably in Paris on November 19, 1990. At a conclave marked by ostentatious displays of amity designed to mask the underlying reality, the erstwhile Soviet leader, Michael Gorbachev, who had led the Soviet Union during the final stages of the Cold War, accepted the conditions of the victors by describing in veiled and elegant language the unification of Germany that had taken place entirely on Western terms as a ‘major event’. This was the functional equivalent of the act of capitulation in the railroad car in Compiegne in 1918 (the capitulation of Germany) or on the U.S.S. Missouri in August 1945 (the capitulation of Japan).»(6) George Kennan remarked that «the collapse of the Soviet system amounted to the unconditional surrender we envisaged-a voluntary one if you will, but surrender nevertheless.»(7) And as a result the United States is attempting to impose on Russia terms of surrender stated in the National Security Council Memorandum 20/1 (NSC 20/1) which already in 1948 defined the American war aims in the Cold War and envisioned a post Cold War settlement tailored after the Brest-Litovsk treaty of 1918(8) , leading to the partition of the Soviet Union, disarmament, destruction of the national economy of Russia and establishment of American protectorate over large parts of the territory of the former Soviet Union: (...)Such terms would have to be harsh ones and distinctly humiliating...They might well be something along the lines of the Brest-Litovsk settlement of 1918...(We) would have to demand:
a. Direct military terms (surrender of equipment, evacuation of key areas, etc) designed to assure military helplessness...
b. Terms designed to produce a considerable economic dependence on the outside world.(9) NSC 20/1 stated further that the unified geopolitical space of the Soviet Union—the «fortress Heartland»—had to be destroyed by partitioning of the country and inclusion of above all the Baltic States and Ukraine into a Shatterbelt of U.S.A controlled territory.

Wolfram Henrieder has pointed out that de Gaulle wanted the German issue solved- the unification of Germany, because it constituted a decisive cause and justification for American continuous military presence in Europe, a cause that would be eliminated with the solution of the German question, leading to the dissolution of the Cold War military alliances and speeding American withdrawal from Europe(10) , creating an emancipated Europe to the Urals. «The creation of unified Europe requires political decision which is tantamount to a will of independence... A united Europe, in this sense, could be build only in opposition to America.»(11) By her dominant position within the alliance America has kept Europe in a straitjacket, has made her fearful of speaking in her own voice. Since Europe has lost its elan and has borrowed an American personality, it must be forced to reassume an identity. As this identity does not exists, it must be created. If Europe can be roused only by instilling an apprehension over American hegemony, then this must be done for the sake of Europe’s survival, claimed de Gaulle for whom a truly emancipated Europe was an America-free Europe.

From this perspective Gorbachev’s foreign policy and the geopolitics of implosion of Perestrojka negatively effected the possibilities for emancipation of Europe. In the ongoing political debate in Russia but also in France, it has been asserted that the defeat of the Soviet Union begins to appear as a defeat for Europe as well.

Lenin once characterized the original Treaty of Versailles in the following words:
“What is the Versailles Treaty? This unheard of, predatory peace, enslaves tens of millions of people, including the most civilized. This is not a treaty but dictates imposed by robbers with a knife in hand on a defenseless Germany. Germany has been deprived from all her colonies by virtue of the Versailles Treaty. Turkey, Persia and China have been enslaved. Seventy percent of the world population live in conditions of enslavement...And that is why this international order, which rests on the Versailles Treaty, rests in reality on a volcano."(12) And while Russia at the moment is in the same predicament as Germany after the W.W.I, the predatory New World Order, proclaimed by President Bush and implemented by the present Clinton administration, also rests on a volcano.
The intensifying confrontation of Russia with the dictates of the New World Order has led to intensive ideological debate about the future of Russia. This debate has resulted in a renewed interest for the writings of the prominent German jurist Carl Schmitt whose book, “The Concept of the Political”, has already been translated into Russian and published in the sociological magazine Voprosy Sotsiologij.(13) The known Russian politician and chief editor of the influential magazine Elementy (Elements) Alexander Dugin must be credited with the first comprehensive introduction of the works of Carl Schmitt in the essay “Carl Schmitt- Five Lessons for Russia”, published in the Journal of Russian Writers ‘Nash Sovremennik’ (Our Contemporary)(14) and with the creative applications of his writing to the contemporary political and ideological chaos in Russia. “For Russia the writing of Schmitt are of special interest and significance because of his brilliant analysis of state of emergency and exceptional situations in contemporary political reality and the necessity of a decision to preserve the national existence of people. ..People exists politically only if they constitute an independent political community/entity and only if they as an entity oppose other political entities in order to preserve its understanding of the cultural specificity of its own community...The theory of exceptional circumstances and with it related theme of decision are of paramount importance for us today, because we are now in such historical juncture of the history of Russian people and Russian state in which the state of emergency has become a natural state of our nation, permeating and constituting the Being of our nation...We Russians must discover and understand our national essence and existence because we live in a time of emergency which demands a act of collective existential choice, an act of supreme decision.”(15) Here one can see a Heideggerian motif- the political identifies the essence and existence of community; it is the empirical Russian nation which in a time of national emergency must become fully political in an act of self-choice and decision and thus choose itself and its own historical destiny.(16) The act of self-choice presupposes a nation that has become political because only the political being of Russia gives existential meaning to the friend-enemy antithesis, what does not politically exist cannot consciously decide(17) , political unity is grounded on political existence. Political sovereignty is an existential question because it concerns the resolution of an existential conflict. Not only does every politically-existing people decide on the question of its own political existence and any possible danger to it; it decides also on whether an existential question actually exists- a question which is political by its very nature. Since for politically-existing people there is always the possibilities of an existential conflict, the question of sovereignty, i.e. the ultimate existential decision, always remains open.(18) «Every existing political unity has its value and existential justification not in the rightness or usefulness of norms but in its existence. Juridically considered, what exists as apolitical force has value because it exists. From this stems its ‘right to self-preservation’, the presupposition of all further considerations; it seeks above all to maintain its existence , it protects its existence, its integrity, its security, and its constitution - all existential values»(19) Carl Schmitt points out that «as long people exists in the political sphere, it must itself make use of the distinction between friend and enemy, at the same time reserving it for extreme conjunctures which it itself judges as such. This is where the essence of its political existence lies. From the moment it lacks the capacity or the will to use this distinction, a people ceases to exist politically...If the people should no longer have the strength or the will to continue in the political sphere, this is not the end of politics in the world. It is only the end of weak people...If the state refuses or is unable to make a decision in an exceptional situation, it inevitable runs the risk that other forces will make one in its place and establish their norms.»(20) Building on this theme Alexander Dugin sees the elements of will, decision and time intertwined in the quest for historical existence of Russia: «Decisionism not only amplifies and focuses on the state of emergency and the exceptional circumstances, but it is also a defense reaction against those circumstances: in the moment of historical decision for authentic national future, the people and the nation actualize their past and decide their future in a dramatic mobilization of the present. The present then becomes the focal point and synthesis of three qualitative characteristics of time: its source, i.e. the past when people entered into a historical existence, the will of the people directed toward the future, and the political self-assertion of the historically existing people in an act of decision which at the same time is an act of authenticity, in the present. In the supreme mobilization of the decision the historically existing Russian people reveals, recaptures and mobilizes its timeless historical uniqueness and identity. Therefore the political and historical future of Russian people is build on understanding and affirmation of its historical past...

If the Russian people can self-assert themselves and their historical choice in this fateful and dramatic juncture, and if the Russian people are able to reveal and designate friends and enemies, recapturing from the flow of history its political self assertion, then the supreme political decision of the Russian people would be an authentic, historical and existential decision , an affirmation of thousand years of history of Russian people and the Russian state. If on the other hand political decisions will be taken by others, i.e. by the United States in the guise of the insidious ideology of pseudo universalism, which the United States is in the process of establishing as the only legitimate ideology in the New World Order, then our future will be un-Russian, i.e. the future will cease to exist for us. The historical Being of Russian people, Russian state and the Russian nation will became a Being without a future and thus a non-Being. Thus also Russian past will loose its meaning, will dissipate into nothingness: the historical drama of Russian history in the post-Gold War period will became a tragedy of submission under the dictates of the American New World Order, a tragedy of annihilation of Russian future».(21)
«Past, present, and future are existential characteristics, and thus render possible fundamental phenomena such as understanding, concern and determination. This opens the way for the demonstration of historicity as a fundamental existential determination.»(22) Alexander Dugin emphasizes that the essence of a nation’s being-in-the world is a hermeneutical process of questioning and problematization of a crisis situation, a state of emergency. The concept of political existence of the Russian nation is actualized in a time of radical disintegration and regression, a time of emergency and outer and inner danger which creates awareness of being situated in a crises which must take on a political form. The understanding of the political roll of Russia in contemporary world after the dissolution of the Soviet Union, is a power to grasp the nation’s possibilities for being, which by necessity not only requires a disclosure of the nation’s concrete potentialities for being, in a sense of preserving itself and maintaining its own authenticity, but also the revealment of the sources for an inauthentic national existence. This revealment presupposes the identification of the foe which in the process of a national self-understanding becomes manifest; the hermeneutical circle thus closes - the reached understanding leads to resoluteness and demands a political decision on the part of the Russian nation;(23) because the potentiality for authentic national Being remains a mere potentiality unless accompanied by political decisionism. It is the decision to choose itself and thereby to oppose the foe and thus become political, which is the supreme political act of the nation. Those are the issues that are entertained in the most recent issues of Elementy (Elements), the ideological organ of the Russian opposition, dedicated to geopolitical discourse and ideological alternatives in the post-Cold War Russia, a period in which in the words of Aaron Friedberg, Professor in political sciences in Princeton, « the United States has emerged as a single, unchallenged ‘Great Satan’, against whom all ideological energies must be mobilized». The magazine is published by the Center for Special Meta-Strategical Studies in Moscow and beside Alexander Dugin, who is the publisher, lists among its co-editors the editor of the most important opposition newspaper Zavtra (formely Den’), Alexander Prochanov, the New European Right’s ideologists Alain de Benoist (editor of the French magazines Neuvelle Ecole, Elements, Krisis), Robert Steuckers (editor of the Belgian magazines Orientations, Synergies Europeennes and Vouloir) the Italian geopolitician Claudio Mutti, the Serbian geopolitician Dragosh Kalajic, as well as the controversial Russian politician and member of the former Parliament, colonel Victor Alsknis.(25) The interesting issues contain a translation of Carl Schmitt’s essay on “Nomos and the principle of Grossraum”, Karl Haushofer’s work on “Continental geopolitical unity” as well as contributions of authors such as Alain de Benoist and the Austrian general Heinrich Jordis von Lochhausen, the foremost theoretician of contemporary geopolitics and advocate of European liberation from American occupation. Alexander Dugin must be credited with both political imagination and ideological creativeness. He introduces a new vocabulary of resistance. In the tradition of a true iconoclast he identifies not only the foe of Russia and, in the future, of Europe— the United States , but also exposes the most pervasive ideological mystification— Der Mythus des 20. Jahrhunderts— namely the Myth of American Democracy and its claim of pseudo-universality. And finally he argues for the establishment of a new Grossraum in Europe, Pax Euroasiatica , opposing Pax Americana, and based on a coalition of Russia with Central European powers such a Germany and France—a new geopolitical continental block. In essence this concept could be described as a Monroe Doctrine for Europe which will exclude every American intervention in European affairs as well as necessitate a dissolution of NATO and withdrawal of all American military forces from European soil. A Monroe Doctrine for Europe is also a radical departure from the established American paradigm of international order- defined by Zbigniew Brzezinski as »American domination of Europe is axiomatic»(26) —,a paradigm that has been transformed into oppressive political theology and exercise of American hegemony. The relevance of Dugin’s writings as well as the magazine Elementy lies in the formulation of the geopolitical doctrine of Eurasian defense against American expansionism. The geopolitical discourse translates itself into a vision of future liberation which, according to Dugin, must become a categorical imperative for Russia’s-being-in the-world.


THE PRINCIPLE OF GROSSRAUM

The most fundamental principle in geopolitics is the principle of Grossraum formulated by Carl Schmitt in his book “Voelkerrechtliche Grossraumordnung mit Interventionsverbot fuer raumfremde Maechte” and seen by him as a foundation for the science of international law. A Grossraum is «an area dominated by a power representing a distinct political idea. This idea was always formulated with a specific opponent in mind; in essence, distinctions between friend and enemy would be determined by this particular political idea. As an example Schmitt cited the American Monroe Doctrine and its concept of nonintervention by foreign powers in the American Raum»(27) This is the core of the great original Monroe Doctrine, a genuine Grossraum principle, namely the union of a politically-awakened people, a political idea and, on the basis of this idea , a politically-dominant Grossraum excluding foreign intervention.(28)

According to the concept of Grossraum the national sovereignty of a country depends not only on its military power, technological development and economic base but also on the size and geographical location of its land. The sovereignty of a country depends on its geopolitical independence and self-sufficiency of the geographical region. Countries that strive to achieve sovereignty must resolve the problem of territorial self-sufficiency. The Grossraum is a geopolitically unified and economically autarchic space— a spatial power. It is a «territory with rounded-out production and consumption which, if necessary, may exist by itself within closed doors.»(29) As such it protects itself from intervention by spatially alien states and from any other potential Grossraum,(30) and above all from American «Open Door» imperialism—defined by Isiah Bowman as American version of Nazi-Germany’s Lebensraum—in its geopolitical, economical or military manifestation.
Prior to the dissolution, or as Alexander Dugin claims, subversion of the Soviet Union in 1991(31) , in the bipolar world of two Superpowers , there existed two competing Great Areas (Grossr?ume) or two opposing political blocks, each with its sphere of influence and ideology: the Atlantic Grossraum dominated by the United States and the Eurasian Grossraum dominated by the Soviet Union. The political competition between the two blocks gave a substantial latitude for autonomy and independence for countries included in the sphere of influence of the two blocks. However after 1991 a completely new world system has been created. The bipolar world landscape of two superpowers has been transformed into a mono landscape of one superpower imposing its will on the rest of the world.

«The existence of the socialist block and the Warsaw Pact was a decisively positive factor for the prospective European unity, continental integration and future sovereignty of Eurasia. The end of the bipolar world and the emergence of the unipolar New World Order, is a blow on Eurasia, a blow on the continentalism and on the future of all Eurasian countries. If Russia would not immediately start to reconstruct her Greater Area (confirmed by the Helsinki Agreement) ...she would bring to a catastrophe not only herself, but also all people on the World Island...Today Russia, situated in the heart of the Eurasian continent, represents from a geopolitical point of view Europe as a continental block. Therefore the geopolitical interests of Russia and Europe not only confluence but are identical.»(32) In order to understand the historical background of the conflict between the Atlantic Grossraum and the Eurasian Grossraum as well as Dugin's analysis of the American New World Order as a final attempt by the United States for world domination, — a Monroe Doctrine for the whole world as envisioned already by President Wilson at the end of the WWI—, a short account of geopolitical concepts is necessary.

It was the British author Halford Mackinder who in 1904 proposed the notion that the continental part of Eurasia, by virtue of its land mass and geo-strategical importance, forms the world Heartland. The power that controls the Heartland threatens the sea powers-once Great Britain, now the United States—that control the World Island— that is our planet. In 1919 he claimed the necessity for control of the Eastern Europe by the sea power. After the Versailles settlement the new Eastern European countries, concieved as exclusive sphere of influence of the sea powers, had to form a cordon sanitaire between Germany and Russia preventing the geopolitical consolidation of Eurasia. «Who rules East Europe commands the Heartland. Who rules the Heartland commands the World Island. Who rules the World Island commands the World,»(33) asserted McKinder.

In 1943 MacKinder reformulated his theory— the state that controls the Heartland will dominate the World Island.(34) At the same time McKinder acknowledged that «The Heartland is the greatest natural fortress on earth. For the first time in history it is manned by a garrison sufficient both in number and quality»(35) The American geopolitician Alfred Mahan formulated the idea that world hegemony of sea powers can be maintained by control of series of bases around the Eurasian continent. Sea powers could dominate land powers by enclosing them in. The American geopolitician Nicholas Spykman developed the concepts of MacKinder and Mahan but put the emphasis on the control of Eurasian coastal regions which he called the Rimland or Inner Ring. He maintained that the United States could assert control over the Heartland by controlling the Rimland. The Rimland can be seen as an America controlled buffer zone or a huge Cordon Sanitaire, including the NATO countries, Scandinavia, China, India and Indochina. In spite of prolonged wars—the Korean War, the occupation of Taiwan, the war in Vietnam—, the United States has never been able to fully dominate the countries of the Rimland and thus to globalize her Grossraum. The theory and practice of containment born of the Cold War—United States creating NATO, SEATO (Southeast Asia Treaty Organization) and CENTO (Central Treaty Organization), putting bases surrounding the Soviet Union, maintaining puppet regimes around the world, are derived from MacKinder’s, Mahan's and Spykman’s geopolitical ideas. If Soviet Union was a fortress, «then to deal with a fortress is to surround it and seal it...This is known as containment»(36) Heartland theory stands as the first premise of the United States geopolitical doctrine and military though during the Cold War. American containment policy «represented a validation of MacKinder«(37) and acceptance of the necessity of destruction of the Hartland. NSC-68 was a statement of this primary objective of the American postwar foreign policy: world domination through destruction of the fortress Hartland— the Soviet Union—and imposition of preponderance of American power in Eurasia. Also U.S. primary foreign policy objective in the New World Order —the conquest of Eastern Europe through «inclusion» of the former Warsaw Pact countries in the military instrument of the global Monroe Doctrine— NATO, is derived from both MacKinders ideas and identical objectives in NSC-68.

One can see the similarities between MacKinder’s and Frederick Jackson Turner’s geopolitical ideas,(38) between the MacKinder’s assertion that the geopolitical dynamics inevitable will lead to a creation of one World Empire (an Anglo-Saxon) and Turner’s «frontier thesis» , defining the essence of the United States as perpetual expansionism. The merger of the Monroe Doctrine, the «Open Door» imperialism and geopolitics in the frontier-expansionist Weltanschaung which has defined the U.S. foreign policy during this century, led after the end of the W.W.II to the grand design of an American Century and an American World Empire enbracing the globe.(39) NSC 68 was a statement of strategy and tactics to achieve those objectives.

However the contraposition between the Atlantic Grossraum and the Eurasian Grossraum does have, according to Dugin, even a wider and more profound context that transcends the geopolitical power competition. In this conjunction one can recall de Gaulle objections in the past to Britain’s entry into the Common Market based on his perception of England as a type of civilization different from that of Europe . The English, as he saw it, were lacking cultural and historical identity with the Continent and were not interested in building a Europe distinct from America. «England is, in effect, insular, maritime, linked through its trade, markets and food supply to very diverse and often very distant countries. Its activities are essentially industrial and commercial, and only slightly agricultural... In short, the nature, structure and economic context of England differ profoundly from those of other States on the Continent.»(40) For Dugin the Atlantic Grossraum and the Atlanticism versus the Eurasian Grossraum and the Eurasianism represent two different paradigms of societal organization that can not be reconciled. Halford Mackinders geopolitical theories as well as Carl Schmitt’s work “Land und Meer” and to a lesser extend Oswald Spengler’s “Prussentum und Socialismus” and Werner Sombart’s “Haendler und Helden”, form here the theoretical framework. Dugin distinguishes two types of civilization: sea-oriented Atlantian and land-oriented Continental or Eurasian and sees the future rapprochement between Russia and Western European countries on the basis of the principle called Continentalism or Eurasianism, which he opposes to English and American Atlanticism. The antagonism between Atlanticism and Continentalism/Eurasianism, between a seagoing civilization and land civilization, goes back to ancient times, constituting the major tension of world history.(41) Atlanticism, exemplified by the legendary Atlantis, by ancient Carthage and by contemporary England and the United States, is characterized by the spirit of trade and profit and it values mercantilism and cosmopolitanism. Continentalism, best represented by legendary Hyperborea, and by historical Roman, German and Russian Empires, emphasizes the organic unity of people in their spiritual bonds with the earth and their fidelity to national tradition. Thus the very form of the landmass supporting a people influence the substance or their culture and national character. «In ancient history a sea power that become a symbol for sea civilization was Phoenicia-Garthage. The land civilization in opposition to Carthage was then the Roman Empire. The Punic wars reflected the irreconcilable differences between the sea-oriented and land-oriented civilizations. In modern history the Queen of Seas - Great Britain - raised as the sea pole of world politics, later to be overtaken by the United States. In the same way as Phoenicia and Carthage in the past , Great Britain used in the first place commerce, trade and colonialism as instrument for her hegemony. The geopolitical paradigm of Anglo Saxon sea orientation created a particular ‘commercial-capitalist-market’ oriented civilization, based primarily on economic and material interests and on the principles of economic liberalism. In spite of historical variation, the most common type of ‘sea civilization’ has always expressed the fundamental idea of the ‘primacy of economics over politics’. Mackinder clearly shows, that during the period of modern history ‘sea orientation’ meant Atlanticism, and today sea powers are United States and England, also the Anglo Saxon countries. In opposition to the Atlanticism stands the Eurasianism, the land based civilization. In modern history the Eurasian orientation is above all characteristic for Germany and Russia. Therefore the historical tradition of those countries has been and would be in opposition to the ideology and the geopolitical interests of the Atlanticist- the United States. Whereas Atlanticism can be equated with capitalist individualism, economic liberalism and commercial notion of imperialism, Eurasianism means communitarianism, social welfare, economic democracy , the precedence of general welfare over self-interest, of the societal ‘whole’ over the parts, and the primacy of politics over economics.»(42) Referring to the fundamental differences between the two paradigms of societal organization, Dugin projects that the world will one day witness a war between Eurasian continentalism, championed by Russia, and the global Atlanticism—the New World Order—, upheld by the United States, or, as Alain de Benoist writes: « Eurasia against America would be the decisive battle of the future. The United States is the enemy of humankind-hostis humani generis-, the Carthage that must be destroyed.»(43)


THE NEW WORLD ORDER

The essence of the New World Order proclaimed by President Bush , and terminologically and conceptually borrowed from the lexicon of Nazi Germany, as well as Woodrow Wilson’s expansionist ideas of a Monroe Doctrine for the whole world, is a new geopolitical project to transform the world into a single Grossraum- in Carl Scmitt’s thought a new Nomos of the Earth—, dominated, controlled and orchestrated by the United States with the corollary of subversion of international law, the United Nations and the sovereignty of other countries except the United States. United Nations is bound to loose all significance, becoming a disciplined puppet and instrument of American expansionism and assertion of global jurisdiction and system of interventionism, a sort of pseudo legitimizing facade through which U.S. will unilaterally act to further her expansionist interests. What seems to be in the future is a global Latin-Americanization of the world with the United Nations reduced to a sort of OAS (Organization of American States ) , i.e. a well-behaved puppet in American hands. «It is obvious that the American concept of Atlantic Grossraum - the American New World Order - totally excludes any form of real state’s and political sovereignty on part of any other country and people. The preexisting bipolar world prior to 1991 gave incomparably more freedom and sovereignty to countries that were included in the sphere of influence of the then existing Superpowers and competing Grossr?ume. The emerging Atlantic Grossraum of the American architects of the New World Order will lead to disintegration of the very principle of state sovereignty because power suppression - by military and economic means- will become the only instrument of control.

The new situation in the world puts other countries, and in particular the countries that previously were members of the geopolitical block opposing the Atlantic Alliance, before the following alternatives: either a forced integration in the U.S. dominated New World Order— the Atlantic Grossraum— with subsequent renunciation of their sovereignty, or a creation of a new Grossraum which will be able to oppose the United States and thus will give them chance to preserve their sovereignty and cultural autonomy».(44)

History in general and U.S. behavior in particular show us that predatory countries abhor power vacuum. It is certain, and it is happened, that the United States would hasten to exploit the withdrawal of Soviet Union from the word arena and impose unilateral advantage over other countries until now protected by the balance of power and the U.S. -Soviet competition. In retrospect one may say that the end of the Warsaw Pact and the dissolution of the Soviet Union have gone a long way toward decreasing stability in Europe and elsewhere.

A substantial part of Alexander Dugin’s geopolitical analysis is focused on the Pentagon’s Defense Planning Guidance , drafted under supervision of Paul D. Wolfowitz, the Pentagon’s Under Secretary for Policy, and provided to the New York Times in February of 1992,(45) and which in all respects could be called a blueprint for total domination of the world. In the 46-page classified document the Defense Department asserts America’s political and military will be to insure that no rival superpower is allowed to emerge in Western Europe , Asia or the territory of the former Soviet Union. American mission and strategy is summarized in the document as follow: «Our first objective is to prevent the reemergence of a new rival, either on the territory of the former Soviet Union or elsewhere, that poses a threat on the order of that posed formerly by the Soviet Union. This is a dominant consideration underlying the new regional defense strategy and requires that we endeavor to prevent any hostile power from dominating a region whose resources would, under consolidated control , be sufficient to generate global power. These regions include Western Europe , East Asia, the territory of the former Soviet Union, and Southwest Asia. There are three additional aspects to this objective: First , the U.S. must show the leadership necessary to establish and protect a new order that holds the promise of convincing potential competitors that they need not aspire to a greater role or pursue a more aggressive posture to protect their legitimate interests. Second, in the non-defensive areas, we must account sufficiently for the interests of the advanced industrial nations to discourage them from challenging our leadership or seeking to overturn the established political and economic order. Finally we must maintain the mechanisms for deterring potential competitors from even aspiring to a larger regional or global role...

... NATO is the primary instrument of Western defense and security, as well as the channel for U.S. influence and participation in European security affairs. While the United States supports the goal of European integration, we must seek to prevent the emergency of European only security arrangements which will undermine NATO».(46)
The document further outlines strategies to subvert the United Nations by substituting it in reality with the United States dominated and controlled NATO and also postulates the right of the U.S. to sidestep United Nations in acting independently and unilaterally.(47) The political development since 1991 can only be described as determined implementation of the American master plan for world domination, outlined in the Pentagon’s Defense Planning Guidance which is a mirror image of identical objectives stated in NSC-68. The document is interesting, as Dugin points out, because it allows for the obvious conclusion that the future enemies of the United States could be her former allies and that the threat that U.S. poses against the Russia now may become a threat against France, Germany and Japan tomorrow. And it is just a matter of time before the antagonism between Western European countries and U.S. will surface and articulate itself as opposition between different national interests. Despite the political transformation in Europe United States has resolved that NATO and the U.S. military presence on the continent should be a permanent geopolitical fixtures. Disbanding of the Warsaw Pact in July 1991 was not followed by the disbanding of NATO . The American alarm concerning the prospect of creation of a Franco-German joint force is understandable since such force will not only inevitably lead to assertion of sovereignty on part of European countries (48) but also to articulation of European identity and collective national interest different from that of the United States. The difference in national interest’s is emphasized by general H.J. von Lochhausen who in his article “The War in Iraq is a War Against Europe” writes: «U.S. has understood that in order to maintain its worldwide domination she must position herself against her enemies of tomorrow i.e. Japan and united Europe. U.S. has chosen to take a firm control of those oil resources on which Japan and Germany will depend in the future ...The war in Iraq was such positioning and it was made possible only because the Soviet Union was eliminated as a player on the world arena and thus also as a deterrent to American aggression. One must remember that the country that controls the oil in the Persian Gulf controls also Western Europe and Japan...And it is deeply disturbing that U.S. forced Germany and Japan to finance the war which ultimately was aimed to their weakening and control in the future».(49) To a similar conclusion comes Samir Amin who points out that »I believe that the decision to go to war in the Gulf was taken deliberately by Washington as a method of preventing the formation of ‘European bloc’ :by weakening Europe (the supply of oil now being unilaterally controlled by the United States; by revealing the essentially fragile political union of Europe...and by neutralizing Moscow».(50)



THE NEW WORLD ORDER AND INTERNATIONAL LAW

I would like to examine in more detail two issues that are central to Alexander Dugin’s criticism of the New World Order namely the framework of new international law it creates and its consequences for Russia and Europe as exemplified by the war in Yugoslavia. The issue of international law can be seen in the light of Dean Acheson’s statement concerning the American concept of sources of and obligations under international law. »Much of what is called international law is a body of ethical distillation, and one must take care not to confuse this distillation with law...Further, the law trough its long history has been respectful of power, especially that power which is close to the sanctions of law...the law simply does not deal with such questions of ultimate power- power that comes close to the sources of sovereignty»(51) , and the tendency on the part of the U.S. to assert her will as the sole source of international law. In this conjunction it is interesting to recall that already de Gaulle saw at the end of the World War II in President Roosevelt’s grand design for United Nations not only America’s bid for world hegemony through creation of international body subservient to and controlled by the United States but also «a permanent system of intervention that he (Roosevelt) intended to institute by international law»(52) , a design that re-emerged and came to realization in the New Word Order. The war in Yugoslavia on the other hand is of particular importance since it has been perceived in Russia not only as a contemporary analogy to the Spanish Civil War with the U.S. assuming the role of the former fascist powers but also as a general rehearsal to what may happen to Russia in the event U.S. gains a strategic nuclear superiority. And as before during the 30-ties in Spain a number of Russians has volunteered to serve in the Serbian forces.(53) A particular alarm in Russia has caused the so called Presidential Directive 13 which outlines American plans for massive cover operations as well as outright military intervention in Russia under the familiar disguise of so called peace keeping operations in former Soviet republics and formulated with the objective to prevent any recognition of a Russian Monroe Doctrine in the former Soviet Union.(54) A starting point for the analysis of the transformation of the concept of international law must be a discussion on the nature and development of the unilaterally proclaimed Monroe Doctrine which from its very inception has been the ideological basis of American imperialism and assertion of an ever increasing extra-territorial jurisdiction. The Monroe Doctrine designated an area far exceeding the territory of the United States- The Western Hemisphere- as a Grossraum with the U.S. assuming the role of imperial power vested with absolute sovereignty in the region while depriving other countries in the same region of rights to sovereignty and self-determination.(55) U.S. unilaterally reserved for herself the right of intervention in the Western Hemisphere creating a qualitatively new form of colonialism with the right of intervention as a cornerstone for political control and domination. The essence of the Monroe Doctrine and its subsequent codification in the Rio Treaty, is the repudiation of the main principle of the United Nations Charter namely the principle of equality and sovereignty of nations on which the body of international law rests. And already Hegel knew that international law-jus gentium-presupposes and is based on sovereignty of states. In a situation where only one state in the international community is a possessor of absolute sovereignty, the international law as such can not exist- it will be the application of the domestic law of the dominating state disguised into an universal principle.(56) After the conclusion of the W.W.I, at the Paris Peace Conference, which resulted in the signing of the Treaty of Versailles and creation of the League of Nations , president Woodrow Wilson presented his Fourteen Points which proclaimed a new universalism as well as , employing what later will be called a Orwellian New Talk, the right of self-determination as a foundation for the postwar world order. At the same time his Secretary of State, Robert Lansing, wrote a memorandum explaining the meaning of the Monroe Doctrine : «In its advocacy of the Monroe Doctrine the United States considers its own interests. The integrity of other American nations is an incident, not an end. While this may seem based on selfishness alone, the author of the Doctrine had no higher or more generous motive in its declaration.»(57) United States refused to enter the League of Nations unless its "Charter incorporated the Monroe Doctrine - a demand less concerned with the right of self-determination than with American domination in the Western Hemisphere. As it turned out, even though Art. 21 of the Chapter did incorporate the Monroe Doctrine, the U.S. did not join the League. In Schmitt’s view, Art. 21 symbolized the triumph of the Western Hemisphere over Europe.»(58) the grand design of President Wilson was to transform the Treaty of Versailles and its creation, the League of Nations , into a instrument of American imperialism and dominance of Europe.(59)

Of particular interest are United States fifteen reservations which did not provide for ratification but, rather, for the nullification of the Treaty. Some of those reservations form a distinct doctrinaire body concerned with the nature of U.S. obligations under international law.
1. The United States so understands and construes article 1 that in case of notice or withdrawal from the League of Nations...the United States shall be the sole judge as to whether all its international obligations and all its obligations under the said covenant have been fulfilled...

4. The United States reserves to itself exclusively the right to decide what questions are within its domestic jurisdiction and declares that all domestic and political questions relating wholly or in part to its internal affairs ...are solely within the jurisdiction of the United States and are not under this treaty to be submitted in any way either to arbitration or to the consideration of the council or of the assembly of the League of Nations, or any agency thereof, or to the decision or recommendation of any other power.

5. The United States will not submit to arbitration or to inquire by the assembly or by the council of the League of Nations, provided for in said treaty of peace, any questions which in the judgment of the United States depend upon or relate to its long-established policy, commonly known as the Monroe Doctrine; said doctrine is to be interpreted by the United States alone and is hereby declared to be wholly outside the jurisdiction of said League of Nations...

14. ..The United States assumes no obligation to be bound by any decision, report, or finding of the council or assembly arising out of any dispute between the United States and any member of the league.(60)

Those reservations express the specific American dualistic position in respect to international treaties: treaties are to be used as a vehicle for other countries to assume obligations while the U.S. does not assume any obligations.(61) Treaties were to be so designed solely to promote United States interests by securing action by foreign governments in a way deemed advantageous by the U.S. and not for the U.S. to undertake any international obligations. The purpose of this dualistic doctrine has historically been to solidify and promote American hegemonical claims. Recognizing the true nature of the pseudo-universalism of the international law created after the W.W.I which appeared not to rest on respect for existing sovereignties but was merely a pretext for complete political and economic domination by the United States, Carl Schmitt wrote that «Behind the facade of general norms of international law lies, in reality, the system of Anglo-Saxon world imperialism»(62) After the W.W.II United States needed a further disguise to unilaterally assert U.S. power and to underscore Washington’s hemispheric hegemony. It resulted in a creation and signing of the Interamerican Treaty of Reciprocal Assistance, signed in Rio de Janeiro in September of 1947, and a subsequent pact concluded in Bogota in April of 1948, which established the Charter of the Organization of American States (OAS). The significance of the Rio Treaty goes beyond the formal codification of the Monroe Doctrine. First, in view of the fundamental professed principle of the Charter of the United Nation namely the principle of sovereignty and equality of member states , a regional treaty which in substance repudiates the very principle of sovereignty save for the sole sovereignty of the United States , must be seen as incompatible with the U.N. Charter. Secondly OAS became a prototype of a pseudo-international organization with a pseudo-universal ideological facade, an instrument for American interventionism in the region. And finally it must be seen as a paradigm of American concept of organization of a Grossraum in particular and World Order in general the globalization of which is the very essence of the New World Order. Or as Noam Chomsky points out « For the U.S. , the Cold War has primarily been a history of worldwide subversion, aggression and state-run international terrorism, with examples to numerous to mention. Secondarily , it has served to maintain U.S. influence over the industrial allies, and to suppress independent politics and popular activism.»(63) An additional aspect of the New World Order seems to be the U.S. repudiation of one of the most fundamental rules of international law namely that treaties must be performed in good faith; the rule of “pacta sunt servanda”. The massive cover operations undertaken by the United States in Poland during the 80-ties after President Reagan signed a secret national-security-decision (NSDD 32)(64) that authorized a wide range of subversive measures by the CIA to destabilize the country , were motivated by the U.S. resolve to nullify the Yalta Agreement.(65)

The U.S. invasion of Panama in December of 1990 was based on the Washington design to prevent the effect of the treaty that would transfer the control over Panama canal to Panama. I can certainly agree with Noam Chomsky’s conclusion that the Panama war which resulted in more than 20.000 civil casualties «is a historic event in one respect. It is the first U.S. act of international violence in the post-World War II era that was not justified by the pretext of a Soviet threat.»(66) And finally the war in Yugoslavia and the subsequent partition of the country which, historically seen, is almost analogous to Hitler’s partition of the country: a Croatian puppet state has been established by the neo-Ustachi. The general perception in Russia is that the so called Bosnian forces, promoted by the U.S. , are no more than the equivalent of the so called Contras in Nicaragua and the war is the first example of Latin-Americanization of Europe. But the partition of Yugoslavia, which in not so distant past was one of the leaders on the non-aligned countries, is seen as a flagrant violation of the Helsinki Accord of 1975 which essence was inviolability of frontiers and territorial integrities of states as well as guaranties of sovereign equality of nations and respect for the rights inherent in sovereignty(67) and on which all security arraignments in Europe were based. In pertinent part the Helsinki Accord states that:

The participating States will respect each other’s sovereign equality and individuality as well as the rights inherent in and encompassed by its sovereignty, including in particular the right of every State to judicial equality, to territorial integrity and to freedom and political independence...The participating States regard as inviolable all one another’s frontiers as well as the frontiers of all States in Europe and therefore they will refrain now and in the future from assaulting these frontiers...
The participating States will respect the territorial integrity of each of the participating States. Accordingly, they will refrain from any action inconsistent with the purposes and principles of the Charter of the United Nations against the territorial integrity, political independence or the unity of any participating State, and in particular from any such action constituting a threat or use of force.

While the partition of Yugoslavia must be seen as violation of the Helsinki Accord, the issuing war and the U.S. outright military intervention and occupation of part of Yugoslavia—Bosnia—,do have wider implications since those measures involve and articulate the relationship between the U.S. and the United Nations. Summarizing the intentions of Washington William Safire in an article in the New York Times(68) writes concerning the prospective air-strikes against Serbian forces that the Clinton Administration has adopted a new resolute policy vis-?-vis the United Nations- «Don’t ask, tell Policy...Coercive diplomacy would become the order of the day» A State Department spokesman, Michael McCurry, asserted that « The United States would be ready to carry out an air campaign against advancing Serbian forces whether or not it received the approval of European allies at a NATO meeting in Brussels on August 2, 1993.»(69) He further omitted all references to any necessary authorization by the United Nations.

Although the Clinton Administration was rebuffed by the U.S. Secretary General who rightfully asserted that the U.S. does not have jurisdiction over U.N. forces and that furthermore, any decision in respect to air-strikes must be sanctioned by the United Nations(70) , United States has persisted in claiming that U.S. alone can decide whether or not to strike. Or as the former State Department official John Bolton correctly pointed out:

«We are the central multilateralists. The idea that there is some collective international will out there is just fairly land stuff. The true measure of America’s diplomatic clout will always be the military resources we are willing to commit.»(71) After a meeting in Washington with Alija Izetbegovic, the U.S.’s man in Bosnia, and a former officer of the Waffen SS (72) , President Clinton stated on September 8, 1993, that any military intervention in Yugoslavia must be undertaken «by a peacekeeping force from NATO — not the United Nations but NATO». The French reaction was understandable. Richard Duque, a spokesman for the Foreign Ministry, said France believed that any such operation should be «under the authority of the United Nations».(73) The French reaction must be seen also in light of the Defense Secretary Les Aspin’s assertion that any peacekeeping forces should be under NATO command, that is, under the ultimate direction of the Supreme Allied Commander, a post always held by an American officer. France however does not belong to the NATO’s integrated command and apparently sees the American statements as an attempt to infringe upon her sovereignty. The American objectives in Yugoslavia were fully realized. For all practical purposes NATO tog over all the essential functions of the United Nations, in fact replacing the United Nation. The Daytona «agreement» seen by many as a Second Munich , embodied not only the essence of the diplomacy of ultimatums but also the American attempts to subvert the of international law. In fact the Daytona Agreement is a nullity according the international law(74) . The agreement, modeled after the Platt Amendment in regard to Cuba, created a virtual American protectorate in Bosnia. The French geopolitician General Pierre-Marie Gallois, one of the leaders of the Resistance movement during the WWII, the creator of the military doctrine of France and one of the closest advisers of General de Gaulle sees the war and the partition of Yugoslavia as an integral part of the American design for world domination, embodied in the concept of the New World Order. And thus it serves the geopolitical strategy of the ultimate extension of American Lebensraum—the Monroe Doctrine for the whole world. In his words one can hear the voice of General De Gaulle: «The pursuit of truth and justice made me involved in a resolute struggle against the greatest absurd and evil which flow out of the totalitarian idea of the New World Order. The partition and destruction of Yugoslavia , the aggression against Iraq , the murder of hundred of thousands of innocent civilians in Iraq, all those abominable acts are all but pages of the same scenario: the imposition of the evil will of one over all who are perceived as obstacles for the imposition of American Weltherrschaft over humankind...It is rather obvious that the partition of countries in Europe has not ended yet.
Our participation in NATO and the occupation of Yugoslavia is a threat to the independence of France, a betrayal of our national interests. The Balkan crisis is an expedient device to justify the unjustifiable: the expansion of the American military presence in Europe. And at the same time UN, rather than being an institution for promotion of international understanding and peace, has been transformed into an instrument for collective aggression. NATO is not on a peace mission in Yugoslavia. NATO’s forces in Yugoslavia are an act of aggression, an act of outright occupation.»(75) At the same time, points and emphasizes Galouas , the war in Yugoslavia, serves an important geopolitical purpose, designed to imperil the desire for geopolitical independence of Europe: «Germany will grow stronger and soon she would no longer tolerate the presence of American military forces on her soil. Therefore a reserve position for the American NATO forces is necessary, the addition of an ideal geopolitical region for stationing and regrouping of the military instrument of American foreign policy. Albania, Bosnia and Macedonia form that region...The world according to American recipes is an absolute and total negation of the old tradition of respect for rights and freedoms. After the genocidal bombing of civilian Serbian targets and the economic embargo serving the same purpose—weakening of the Serbs—, United States created Bosnia as her protectorate...That is abominable. But those atrocities serve the overriding geopolitical goal of the United States: to remain in Europe at any cost...Dayton Agreement is the latest embodiment of the new American diplomacy, aggressive and uncompromising , confident in its power, the diplomacy that knows and uses only the language of ultimatums...

U.S. literally bombed to pieces Iraq, poisoned the nature and the ecological environment , with unparalleled barbarity killed hundreds of thousands of civilians, only in order to control the supply of oil and dictate its price as it pleases Washington...As a result of the embargo against Iraq 570.000 civilians were murdered....And this is a crime against humanity par excellence.
And again and again decisions are made in Washington which will result in murder of innocent elderly, sick and poor. And then Washington dears to teach the world morality...Or take the so called War Tribunal in Hague, allegedly set up to represent moral and truth but in reality an instrument of war (war with other judicial means) and continuous aggression against the Serbs.(76) What better evidence of the absurdity of this tribunal than the fact that there were no war crime tribunals for all war crimes and crimes against humanity committed during the bombing of Dresden and Hamburg, the nuclear annihilation of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, for the massive war crimes committed in Vietnam, an for the war crimes committed in Iraq during the operation Desert Storm. It is as if all those massive war crimes did not happen or were insignificant compared to the Serbs resistance against the conquest of their country...I can not accept such perverted American logic, and I am very sorry that my country is forced to participate in those American atrocities.(77)

The obvious conclusion is that the partition of Yugoslavia, and the subsequent war, serve several purposes:
a. Expansion of the American Grossraum with the establishment of a Bosnian puppet state controlled by the U.S., as well as, in all probability, establishment of U.S. permanent military bases on the Adriatic;
b. Prevention of the emergence of any independent European foreign policy initiatives and thereby the emergence of Europe as an unified new Grossraum;
c. Consolidation of the control over the Rimland;
d. Abrogation, in fact, of the Helsinki Accord;
e. Subversion and factual demise of the United Nations as an international body and finally
f. A rehearsal for, as it is perceived in Russia, an impending war of aggression against Russia. In any event, it is quite obvious, that substitution of United Nations with NATO will render the veto power of the permanent members of the U.N. Security Council inoperative, which will effect the interests of not only Russia but also France and China. If the incorporation of the Monroe Doctrine in Article 21 of the Chapter of the League of Nations signified the subversion of the universality of international law and Europe’s defeat by the U.S. , the war in Yugoslavia and air-strikes against Serbian forces signifies even more important historical event namely the subversion of the United Nations and its transformation in the future , if U.S. is not resolutely opposed , to a functional equivalent of the OAS i.e. to a pseudo-international body serving as a rubber stamp for American hegemony and wars of aggression disguised as so called peace keeping operations in countries that, prior to the peace keeping initiatives, have already been destabilized by the U.S. covert and overt subversion. The partition of Yugoslavia can very well became a second Munich for Europe. It is obvious that Washington is seeking to impose its absolute authority over the rest of the world. To achieve this aim United States will have to effect the complete subversion and forcible destruction of the machinery of government and structure of society in , above all, former socialist countries and their replacement by an apparatus and structure subservient to and controlled from Washington.

Hitler left the League of Nations preparing for aggressive wars; United States strategy on the other hand is much more dangerous - the subversion of the United Nations to further the same end . Recognizing the changing nature of the United Nations in the post 1991 era and the issuing crisis of legitimacy, one of the founders of the National Salvation Front in Russia and the former editor of the Military-Historical Journal general B. Filatov wrote that
«When the National Salvation Front comes to power and that will happen very soon, we will leave the United Nations which has become a fascist punitive organization, an instrument of CIA. We will put our rockets on alert. Then we will see who will dare to attack Serbia.»(78) The necessary strategy for Russia and other European countries, Germany and France above all, must be a geopolitical project to create a new Grossraum - Pax Eurasiatica- in opposition to Pax Americana and its corollary , the New World Order, because only in opposition to the United States can Europe begin an independent geopolitical life and reach a genuine emancipation, writes Dugin. The purpose of a new Kulturkampf is to problematize the American hegemony as a threat to Europe as a historical formation in general and to its culture in particular. Finding the authenticity of European destiny and political life implies by necessity a rejection of any false claims of universalism advanced by the U.S., which to its substance is both an ideological facade and concealment of American particular national interests. European revival is conditioned upon the dissolution of NATO which today is solely an instrument of American control over its alleged allies and a pretext to maintain U.S. occupation forces in Europe /for more than one hundred years» as President Bush asserted. The strategical objectives of the U.S. controlled NATO have been defined by Wolfram Hanrieder in his book Germany, America, Europe(79) as a strategy of «double containment»: containment of the Soviet Union in the past on one side and of American allies on the other. «The logic of this strategy was put bluntly by Lord Ismay in his famous dictum about NATO’s purpose in Europe (which could have described the U.S. policies toward the Japanese) ‘Keep the Americans in, the Russians out, and the Germans down.’»(80) Europe as a collective entity must enter the famous hermeneutical circle and walking there must find the truth about its separate and unique collective existence which during the Cold War years has been concealed. As Heidegger has pointed out , the attempt to achieve national authenticity is always expressed in resoluteness and resoluteness is the true substance of Kulturkampf.

Dugin proposes the revival of the concept of Mitteleuropa, originally formulated by Friedrich Naumann, as an ideological platform for a new geopolitical orientation opposing Pax Americana and creating a competing Grossraum—Pax Eurasiatica— which will exclude and oppose the United States. Closely associated with the concept of Mitteleuropa is the specific political extrapolation of the Kultur/Zivilization dichotomy as formulated by Thomas Mann in his book “Reflections of a Nonpolitical Man”(81) in which he counterpoises German «culture» against largely Anglo-Saxon «civilization». Dugin elaborates on that dichotomy reaching the conclusion that not only Europe’s national interest differs from that of the United States but that also its cultural tradition is the antithesis of the hollow shell of «civilization» in the U.S. Whereas «culture» in European countries is expression of national identities and of organic historical tradition, the American «civilization» is the bearer of an all-embracing commercialism and consumerism whose penetration dissolves all national identities. A rather paradoxical conclusion emerges from the revival of the concept of Mitteleuropa namely an anti-West oriented Europe. Dugin sees the term West as largely an American ideological construct, an Atlanticist mold thrown over Europe, and regards de Gaulle’s decision in 1966 to withdraw from NATO’s integrated command, which, as de Gaulle emphasized, deprived France of her sovereignty, not only as the first assertion of European identity separate and different from that of the United States, but also as the first anti-West manifestation by an European country in the U.S.’s sphere of influence. De Gaulle emphasized that the American design has always been to transform a cohesive European community into a larger and looser Atlantic community under American control.(82) Recognizing that Atlanticism was virulently aggressive as ever, he was compelled to look for ways of resisting American hegemony in Europe. »There were two options: he could either take unilateral measures to challenge American hegemony or he could seek alternative partners with a common interest in breaking down hegemonic control.»(83) France’s withdrawal from the NATO’s integrated command become de Gaulle’s ultimate gesture of anti-hegemonism.

The failure of the Soviet Union, due to defeatist and de facto anti-national foreign policy of the Gorbachev administration, to condition the unification of Germany on her withdrawal from NATO, was a major self-inflicted political defeat affecting not only Russia but also Germany in the future. For Russia it means a weakening of its strategic potential and for Germany a lost chance to gain full sovereignty by not having foreign occupation forces stationed on her territory. And for Europe as a whole it signifies a lost momentum to replace NATO, i.e. American power projection and an instrument of containment against U.S.’s former allies, with a pan-European security system. In this perspective one must se the alternatives for Europe as envisioned by the Maastricht treaty which may lead to gradual unification: either a Federated Europe as a power projecting Grossraum or as an even more divided and weakened Europe under the oppressive and leveling effect of the American pseudo-universalism, which in substance will amount to an Atlanticist police state with the NATO’s strategy of containment directed toward the U.S.’s former allies. In the latter case the Maastrich treaty will lead to deligitimization of national sovereignties and to weakening and dissolution of national identities of member states. Instead of a new European self-identity, the result will be the creation of an amorphous space with obliterated national and cultural identities and functionally integrated into the American Grossraum. Already de Gaulle foresaw that possibility when he stated that if the United States is not opposed «at the end there would appear a colossal Atlantic community under American dependence and leadership which would completely swallow up the European community.»(84) Against the anti-European concept of Atlantic community, devised as an ideological vehicle for subjugation of independent European geopilitical existence, stands the concept of a Monroe doctrine for Europe, claims Alain de Benoist : «What bothers me is that I do not see the Maastricht Treaty leading to an autonomous, politically sovereign Europe determined to acquire the equivalent of what the Monroe doctrine was for the United States, but rather a phantom of Europe, a Europe a unemployment, absent and impotent, a free trade zone governed on the theoretical level by ultra-liberal monetary principles and, on the practical level , by administrators and bankers who neither have a political project nor democratic legitimacy...Nietzsche said: «Europe will create itself on the edge of a tomb». For my part, I believe it will create itself over and against the United States, or it will not create itself.»(85) In historical perspective the Anglophone powers , Great Britain in the past, United States now, have always been an obstacle to consolidation of Europe and thus a true geopolitical adversary. «The urge to evict the Americans, and before us , the British from the Continent has deep roots in reaction to the role of the English-speaking countries in foiling every attempt to unify Europe since the Renaissance. With the exception of the more misguided members of the House of Stuart , every English-speaking head of state from Elizabeth Tudor to Harry Truman opposed the consolidation of the Continent. Elizabeth I fought Spain; from the time of Marlborough to the time of Wellington the English fought France; from Asquith to Churchill and Roosevelt the «Anglo-Saxon» fought Germany. Even when American policy shifted under Truman to support the peaceful integration of Western Europe , it was out of desire to fend off the greater menace of the Soviets...The positive contribution to European civilization of the old «divide and rule» policy cannot, however, disguise its essentially negative goal. The British sought to keep the Continent embroiled in quarrels while they assembled a global empire and grew rich. The United States relied on Britain to maintain a European balance that kept the Europeans from interfering in the New World while we, like our British cousins, traded freely with all quarters of the globe...In the twentieth century the Elizabethan realpolitik of the Anglophone powers acquired a Wilsonian overlay...The Elizabethan and the Wilsonian policies remain at the core of American interests today. As good Elizabethans, we understand that it is not in America’s interests...for European integration to take place under the hegemonic leadership of a single power, whether this power is based in Moscow or Berlin. Nor would it be in America’s interests for European integration to proceed in such a way as to create a single hegemonic power center in Brussels»(86). The grand design of the United States, particularly now, when Washington is aggressively advancing the plans to globalize NATO, and thus its Monroe doctrine, is the Latin-Americanization first of the former socialist countries, including Russia and second, of her former West European allies. And as long as United States is not displaced from her position of hegemony in Europe and ultimately driven out of Eurasia, European countries will never acquire that which is necessary for independent geopolitical existence. A federated Europe with American military forces on its soil is no more than an obedient satellite. During the 60-ties de Gaulle warned against a supranational Europe of the Common market which he then considered a divided Europe under the mentorship and hegemonial design of the United States. Reading Dugin one may paraphrase Bismarck and say that if the power of Russia is ever broken , it will be difficult for the former members of the socialist block to avoid the fate of Poland in the past that is the destiny of divided and contested area to be claimed by the United States as «glacis and perimeter of battle». By the same token a weak Russia may spell weakness also for other European countries. But does it mean that Dugin envisions a sort of a new Rapallo treaty(87) as a political foundation for a new geopolitical orientation? I can agree with Rudolf Barho’s assertion that »A new Rappalo would break Western Europe from North America«.(88) However, a new Rapallo can only be used as a metaphor for diplomatic and political initiatives that may lead to a possible alliance between Germany, France, Russia and China as central powers. A new equivalent of Rapallo treaty is a geopolitical and existential imperative for Europe, a fundament for future continental unity and continental defense against American expansionism, against the pseudo universalism and totalitarian claims of the American Imperium Monde. Dugin’s concept of a new European geopolitical orientation resembles de Gaulle’s visions during the ‘60s. Rejecting American hegemony de Gaulle conjured an alliance, an European coalition, which, without infringing on the sovereignty of the member states would constitute an alternative European Grossraum. He recognized that the ideology of Atlantic unity is in fact the ideology of American domination and counterpoised his concept of European unity which today only can be seen as America free Europe. However de Gaulle recognized that a genuine European alliance could not be created without there being in Europe today a federator with sufficient power, authority and skills.(89) At that time there was no such strong federator. In his memoirs de Gaulle noted that «The American President’s (F.D. Roosevelt) remarks ultimately proved to me that, in foreign affairs, logic and sentiment do not weight heavily in comparison with the realities of power; that what matters is what one takes and what one can hold on to; that to regain her place, France must count only on herself».(90) United States believed that the Frenchmen «in a grip of sort of neurasthenia would gradually relax into the status of an American protectorate...The alternative, as de Gaulle constantly proposed it, was for Frenchmen to continue the arduous struggle for national self renewal until they again became masters of their own fate.»(91) In his advocacy of a new continental geopolitical orientation and in his definition of Pax Eurasiatica, Alexander Dugin criticizes and rejects the old ideology of Panslavism. The difference between the Panslavism and Eurasianism is summarized by him as a difference between two principles — «the principle of blood» and «the principle of soil (realm)». For the Panslavism the emphasis is on the concept of ethnic identity—in other words the primacy of blood over the soil. For the traditional Eurasianism on the other hand, the land takes precedence: as ideology it expresses the primacy of the soil over the blood. «It presupposes the ideological choice of continental, Eurasian values over narrow ethnic or racial values.»(92) A further differentiation of the concept of Eurasianism can be made by distinguishing between two sub directions of the Eurasian ideology.

The first one is centered on the notion of a specific Eurasian identity—the concept of polyphonic ethos of Russia—defined in terms of ethos and land.(93) The second one defines Eurasianism in terms of geopolitical realities and necessary geopolitical strategy, also in terms of realm and Grossraum. The emphasis here is on the land power status of Russia as opposed to the atlanticist sea power status of the United States. Alexander Dugin is a proponent of this definition of Eurasianism. From a geopolitical point of view the past observation of Halford MacKinder that the greatest danger to Anglo Saxon hegemony would be a political union and a geopolitical block of Russia and Germany, bears particular relevance. The concept of Eurasian resistance against the dictates of the American New World Order and the global American hegemony articulates the geopolitical and the national meta— existential necessity to create such geopolitical block able to stop the steamroller of the New World Order.

An additional aspect of Dugin’s analyses of geopolitical orientations and strategies concerns the future relationship between Russia and Islam. The starting point is Robert Steuckers view that Russia must make a common cause with Iran against American interests.(94) Continental, Islamic — revolutionary Iran is contrasted with the Atlanticist secular Turkey and the Arabic theocratic variant of Islam of Saudi Arabia. Turkey is the primary agent of American influence in the region and a virtual colony of the U.S., an Asian forpost of American geopolitical interests which serves as a cordon sanitaire between the Asian East of Russia and the Arab world. A conflict between Russia and Islam countries is the main purpose of the U.S. foreign policy, a main conduit for which is Turkey.

A similar roll serves also Saudia Arabia, a country which in fact must also be seen as an American colony. The interests of Saudy dynasty and of the American Atlanticism coincide, forming a bullwark against creation of an Arabic Great Area. Through the control of Saudi Arabia U.S. controls the supply of oil. And the U.S. controlls the economy of Europe through control of the oil in the Gulf region. Therefore, to counterbalance American hegemony in the region, Russian foreign policy must be oriented toward Iran, asserts Dugin.

In today perspective the events of 1991 are of paramount importance because, as Dugin points out, 1991 is the year of destruction of the Eurasian Grossraum, the only one that possessed resources to withstand American expansionism and which consisted of all countries belonging to the socialist block. Central Europe in general and Germany in particular, as geopolitical entity are only a pure potential at present time. Central Europe can constitute itself in the future only in alliance with Russia which occupies a unique position as a centrum of the Eurasian continent, as a Heartland. Russia occupies also a key strategical and geographical position in the world with its huge landmass and human potential. A new geopolitical orientation must take into account the so called Atlantic factor which Dugin in length discusses.

The Atlantic factor is the United States strategy to impose her will on former Soviet republic and socialist countries and to transform those into satellite countries in the American orbit, linking them into a Cordon Sanitaire around Russia. Certainly one can already see the shadow of the Atlantic masters over the Baltic republics. As the Russian jurist Vladimir Ovzinski asserts the «CIA already works totally in the open in Lithuania , not only through American Embassy in Vilnius but also through American advisers to the Supreme Council of the Republic. And the situation is similar in both Latvia and Estonia».(95) The Atlantic factor is a geopolitical consequence of what William Appleman Willams has called the American «frontier thesis» —the perpetual expansionism in pursuit of new western frontiers.

United States has a perspective for real world hegemony only if no competing Grossraum is allowed to arise. Therefore both NSC-68 after the end of the WWII and its mirror image—the Pentagon Planning Guidance after the «end» of the Cold War, envision control or destruction not only of any competing Grossraum but also any geopolitical area which can consolidate itself in the future into power projecting Grossraum. The conclusion is that the primary objectives of the American geopolitics are to destroy any potential geopolitical alliance as well as to prevent its building. To paraphrase Clemenceau the American politics of peace vis-?-vis Russia are nothing else but continuation of war with other means. The Cold War has been replaced by Military Peace. Therefore creation of Cordon Sanitaire around Russia, which by necessity mandates the conquest of the second Europe—Eastern Europe—under the guise of enlargement of NATO, is the most important objective of the American foreign polic

Cordon Sanitaire consists of territory of countries and people situated between two geopolitical blocks. It is created by virtue of hegemonic control or, as in the American creation of a puppet Bosnian state in the failed attempt to create a Georgian state under Schevernadze, and in the war in Chechnya, with outright force and subversion. The countries that potentially will be included in the Cordon Sanitaire are those countries whose unity or membership in a competing Grossraum would constitute a geopolitical disadvantage to the United States.

United States is actively pursuing her double-edged foreign policy objective of further expansion of her extra-territorial jurisdiction and transformation of former socialist countries into a Cordon Sanitaire through plans outlined by the Secretary of Defense Les Aspin at the NATO meeting in Travem?nde on October 21, 1993 to expand the North Atlantic Treaty Organization by inclusion of former members of the Warsaw Pact.

Cordon Sanitaire in the beginning of this century consisted of countries situated between Russia and Germany and were controlled by England. Those countries, being an agent and tool of the Anglo-Saxon West, were breaking the Grossraum of Mitteleurope and the Grossraum of Russia. In present days the perfidious Albion has been replaced by the perfidious Washington and the American objectives can be summarized as assertion of hegemonic control and transformation of former Soviet republics into virtual American colonies in which, with employment of coercive measures: subversion, terror, aggression, economic warfare, United States will install marionette rulers without any trace of political independence. Or as Noam Chomsky puts it «One consequence of the collapse of the Soviet block is that much of it may undergo a kind of ‘Latin-Americanization’ , reverting to the service role, with the ex-Nomenclatura perhaps taking the role of the Third World elites linked to international business and financial interests»(97)

In conjunction with this it is important to bear in mind that American attempts to partition Russia and gain control of her huge natural resources predate the Cold War period and NSC-68. In October of 1918 the American government drafted secret commentaries to President Wilson’s 14 points which outlined U.S. plans to partition Russia into small regions in order for the United States to assert her hegemony and gain control over Russian territories and natural resources in Siberia and Caucasus. On the map prepared by the Department of State titled «Proposed Borders of Russia» and presented by President Wilson at the Paris Peace Conference, all that is left of Russia is her central part , the Mid-Russian Plateau. In an appendix to the map it was stated that «All Russia must be divided into large natural regions, each with its own economy. However none of those regions should be sufficiently independent to build a strong state».(98) Those long-standing American plans make it even more urgent for Russia to make a decisive geopolitical orientation. Of course, if President Yeltsin turns out to be a Russian Quisling,(99) and his September 21,1993 coup with subsequent destruction of the Russian Parliament most certainly suggests this possibility(100) , then the prospects for a new geopolitical orientation will become more difficult to realize. In his 1938 study “Ueber das Verhaeltnis der Begriffe Krieg und Feind”, Carl Schmitt, anticipating the future of the Cold War, described the world as moving toward an ‘intermediary situation between war and peace’, a kind of a bellicose peace which is neither war nor peace, which Carl Schmitt called military peace, i.e. a world condition of global confrontation which tends to take the form of a total war. In “Totaler Feind, Totaler Krieg, Totaler Staat”, published in 1937, Carl Schmitt related the idea of total war to the idea of total State, a war that «will be total for two reasons. First because it would not be localized in the sense that it would enfold in on a battle field, but it would be spread across the entire planet including sidereal space. Next, because it would not only be military, given that all the activities -scientific, technological, economic-and all of the material and ideal aspects of existence will be directly implicated in this gigantic conflict. Protected zones will no longer exist since both the military and the non-military will be engaged in this conflict. Politically speaking, there will no longer be a distinction between those who fight and those who do not».(101) During the Cold War two kind of Grossraum confronted each other- the existential categories of friend and enemy applied also to the concept of Grossraum- and out of that confrontation a world order build on plurality of Grossr?ume was maintained. However the end of the Cold War did not lead to revival of the concept of state sovereignty but to renewed attempt to universalize the ordering principles of the American Grossraum and establishment of a Monroe Doctrine for the whole world- an overriding objective of American foreign policy since the time of President Willson- under the slogan of a New World Order. Alexander Dugin equates the New World Order with American world wide hegemony, which, in order to be established, requires the totalization of the ‘intermediary situation between war and peace’, i.e. a new Cold War with different ideological justification but with the same aim: total American world domination. «The total war, previously localized in the Cold War confrontation between U.S. and the Soviet Union, is the essence of American universalism. Military peace is the present substance of the New World Order with which Russia and other countries are confronted now and the American implementation of this New World Order can only lead to a new total war.»(102) As a paradigmatic figure of Russian resistance to the New World Order, of what he calls the Endkampf, Alexander Dugin takes the symbol of the Russian partisan. The phenomenon of partisan is for Carl Schmitt «a paradigmatic figure for the decomposition of the classical Nomos and for the appearance of bellicose peace. The figure is remarkable because it still has a landlocked reality-described by Schmitt as its ‘telluric character’»(103) The partisan embodies the concept of Resistance, his physical existence is overshadowed by his political existence- Existenze des Wiederstand- and he takes his law from hostility, i.e. from his sense of supreme distinction between friend and enemy. His struggle is against the New World Order, its dictates and its total claim of annihilation of Russian future. For Dugin the American New World Order is a triumph of global totalitarianism. The Partisan is the answer to the illegitimate legality of the New World Order. «In the condition of the state of emergency, in the intensifying atmosphere of ‘military peace’ or ‘peaceful war’, the defense of national soil, history, people and nation are the sources of his legitimacy. He heralds the beginning of a total war with the total enemy...In Russian history his prototype is the partisan during the war against Napoleon, the partisan of the World War II, the resister to the Nazi German New World Order. Now he is the resister of a new New World Order- the American. The partisan is the harbinger of the healing power of national soil and historical national space of the Russian people. In the post-Cold War period of intensifying ‘military peace’ only the Russian partisan can show the way to a Russian historical future». (104) However the only viable alternative to the totalitarian globality of the New World Order is the reconstitution or creation of a new Grossraum opposing American world empire and the emancipation of the principles of international pluralism. The pseudo-legality of the New World Order must be confronted by a new alternative legality. Against the all-embracing American pseudo-universalism must stand the will-formation of national particularism and mobilization of geopolitical resistance. Against the steamroller of the American New World Order and the American invasion in the geopolitical vacuum of Eurasia after the destruction of the Soviet Union a new continental geopolitical unity must be consolidated resulting in proclamation of a Monroe doctrine for Europe. Therefore, referring to the Pentagon’s Defense Planning Guidance, Alexander Dugin writes: «The overriding objective of the United States is to prevent the creation of any real geopolitical alternative. Therefore our main objective must be the creation of any new geopolitical alternative.» This is a good point of departure because it presupposes the concept of the political. And after all, to paraphrase Heidegger, the political is the house of Being.




ENDNOTES

(1) Gyorgy Lukacs -The Destruction of Reason (Humanities Press, Atlantic Highlands, 1981 at pp.765,770.
(2) Martin Heidegger -Being and Time (Harper and Row, New York, 1962) at p. 347.
(3) Carl Schmitt - The Concept of the Political (Rutgers University Press, New Brunswick, 1976) at p.p.19, 26.
(4) Nikolaj Zagladin -Pochemu zavershilas ‘holodnaja vojna’ - Kentavr, January/February 1992, Moscow, pp. 45-60
(5) Zbignief Brzezinski -The Gold War and Its Aftermath -Foreign Affairs, Fall 1992 (Council on Foreign Relations, New York) - at p. 32
(6) Zbigniew Brzezinski - ibid. at p. 34
(7) George F. Kennan-The Failure in Our Success -New York Times, March 14, 1992, p. A17
(8) The Treaty of Brest-Litovsk , signed March 3, 1918, ended the war between Soviet Russia and Germany. As a result of the treaty Soviet Russia was partitioned and lost 34 percent of the population and 54 percent of the industrial production. According to the terms of the treaty Germany, enlarging her Lebensraum, was to occupy Ukraine , Byelorussia, Caucasus , the Baltic provinces etc. With the defeat of Germany the treaty was repudiated.
(9) Thomas H. Etzold and John Lewis Gaddis Containment. Documents on American policy and Stategy, 1945—1950 (Columbia University Press, New York, 1978) p. 196. NSC 20/1 was subsequently incorporated in the infamous NSC 68. On this subject in Russian debate see Nikolaj von Kreitor Geopolitika holodnoj vojny , Juridicheskaja gazeta No. 26, 1996, Moscow.
(10) Wolfram Henrieder -Germany, America, Europe (Yale University Press, New Haven, 1989) - at p. 17
(11) Here quoted after Ronald Steel -Pax Americana (The Viking Press, New York, 1967)- at p.p. 79-80.
(12) Lenin Collected works, vol. 41, p.p. 353-354
(13) Voprosy sotsiologij , nr 1, 1992 (Moscow )
(14) Alexander Dugin -Carl Schmitt –piat’ urokov Rossii (Nash Sovremmennik, nr. 8.1992, Moskow)
(15) Alexander Dugin - ibid , at p.p. 129, 130,135
(16) Agnes Heller has analyzed the problem of a meta-existential choice of a nation in a context of friendfoe dichotomy in the essay The Concept of Political Revisited , published in Political Theory Today , edited by David Held (Stanford University Press, Stanford, 1991).
(17) Carl Schmitt -Verfassungslehre (Duncker&Humblot, Berlin 1970) - at p. 50. Schmitt writes further that «because every being is a particularly-constituted being, every concrete political existence has some sort of constitution. But not every politically existing force decides in a conscious act concerning the form of this political existence and succeeds in consciously determining the concrete type of its political existence as did the American states with their Declaration of Independence and the French nation in 1789. ibid. p.23 .See also G.L.Ulman -Anthropological Theology, Theological Anthropology (Telos, Nr.93, Fall 1992, New York) at p. 71.
(18) G.L. Ulmen Anthropological Theology...ibid p.71,72; Carl Schmitt Verfassungslehre -ibid.p.372.
(19) Carl Schmitt Verfassungslehre ibid. p. 22
(20) Carl Schmitt The Concept of the Political
(21) Alexander Dugin- Carl Schmitt, pjat’ urokov Rossii- ibid. p. 131, 132
(22) Herbert Marcuse «Contribution to the Phenomenology of Historical Materialism» (Telos, Number 4, 1969), here quoted from Richard Wolin «Introduction to Marcuse and Heidegger» (New German Critique, Number 53, 1991, New York) p. 23
(23) For a discussion on Heidegger’s concept of hermeneutics in Being and Time se Richard Palmer Hermeneutics ( Northwestern University Press, Evanston, 1969)
(24) Aaron L. Friedberg-The Future of American Power (Political Science Quarterly, Vol.109, Spring 1994) at p. 17.
(25) Colonel Victor Alsknis’ father general Jacov Alsknis has been a close friend of marshal Mikhail Tukhachevski; in 1937 general Alsknis participated in the military commission investigating the treason charges against Tuchachevski.The transcript of the commission’s proceedings, classified secret, has never been released. First in 1990, after the intervention of the then Chairman of the KGB Krutchkov, colonel Alsknis gained access to the transcripts and after reading them came to the conclusion that during the 30-ties there was a pro-German conspiracy in the Red Army in which marshal Tukhachevski participated. Alexander Dugin claims that marshal Tukhachevski was a member of Nordlich Light- Elementy -at p.p.10,11.
(26) Zbigniew Brzezinski A Plan for Europe (Foreign Affairs, January/February 1995) p. 26
(27) Joseph W. Bendersky -Carl Schmitt (Princeton University Press, Princeton, 1983), at p.253.
(28) G.L. Ulmen - American Imperialism and International Law: Carl Schmitt on the US in World Affairs- Telos, Nr. 72, Summer 1987; se also Carl Schmitt- Voelkerrechtliche Grossraumordnung, op.cit., p.20.
(29) Rudolf Kjellen Der Staat als Lebensform (Berlin, 1924) p. 139. Kjellen writes that the autarchic principle envisions the geopolitical space of the state as «People’s Home». The principle of autarchy «is a reaction against the industrialist type of the nineteenth century. The latter was fundamentally cosmopolitan; in the name of free trade it exposed national households to competition on the world market where the strong always succeeded in swallowing the weak. Its first setback occurred with the adoption of the protectionist system during the second half of the century. Here the state acts in defense of the household (People’s Home). It blocks the road to foreign conquerors by tariff walls behind which national economy can prosper like a true nursery protected from the storm of the sea...The autarchic principle ... replaces «open doors» with «closed spheres of interest» Ibid. p.p. 139, 140. In contemporary perspective the autarchic principle and concept of protected geopolitical space conceived as «People’s Home» is the antagonistic opposite of the American «open door» imperialism.
(30) The concept of Grossraum is discussed in Nikolaj von Kreitor Problemy bol’shich prostranstv i buduschee Rossii Nash Sovremennik, No 3 , 1996, Moscow and Nikolaj von Kreitor Stoletie novogo mira. Universalizm protiv pljuralizma, Kentavr, No. 6, 1995, Moscow.
(31) The National Security Council Memorandum 68 (NSC-68 ) promulgated in 1950 called for a roll-back strategy aiming to hasten the decay of the Soviet system from within and to foster the seeds of destruction within the Soviet system by a variety of covert and other means that would enable the U.S. to negotiate a settlement with the Soviet Union or a successor state or states. The memorandum further called , adopting the objectives of Hitler, to dismantle the Soviet Union into smaller states-se also Noam Chomsky -On Power and Ideology (South End Press , Boston, 1987) at p. 15. In different articles published during 1991 and 1992 in the Moscow newspaper Denj (DAY) have surfaced assertions that during the years of the so called. Perestrojka United States has invested more than 50 billion dollars for covert subversion in the Soviet Union.
(32) Elementy , Number 4, 1993, p. 33
(33) Halford McKinder Democratic Ideals and Reality (W.W. Norton & Company, N.Y. 1962) p. 150
(34) Se Gerald Chaliand, Jean-Pierre Rageau-Strategic Atlas-(Harper Perennial, N.Y. 1992)- at p. 30
(35) Halford MacKinder The Round World and theWinning of the Peace , Foreign Affairs, 21 , New York, 1943. p.p. 595-605. The article is included in the book Democratic Ideals and Reality. See also W.G. Fast How Strong is the Heartland, Foreign Affairs, 29, New York, 1950 p.p. 78-93 and D.J. M. Hooson A New Soviet Heartland , Geographical Journal , 128 (1962) p.p. 19-29.
(36) Peter J. Taylor Political Geography (Longman, London, 1985) p. 42
(37) Richard Muir Modern Political Geography (John Wiley & Sons, New York, 1975) p. 195. For geopolitical analysis in Russia see E. A. Pozdnjakov Geopolitika (Progress-Kuljtura, Mpscow, 1995. Nikolaj von Kreitor Ot doktriny Monro do Novogo Mirovogo Porjadka , Molodaja Gvardija No 9, 1995, Moscow and Nikolaj von Kreitor Amerikano-fascistkaja geopolitika na sluzhbe zavoevania mira, Molodaja Gvardija No. 8, 1996, Moscow.
(38) See James C. Malin The Turner-MacKinder Space Concept of History in Eassays on Historiography (Lawrence, Kansas, 1946) p.p. 1-45; Per Sveaas Andersen Westward in the Course of Empires. A Study of the Shaping of an American Idea: Frederick Jackson Turner’s Frontier (Oslo University Press, Oslo, 1956).
(39) See William Appleman Williams The Contours of American History (W.W. Norton & Company, New York, 1988) p. 17.
(40) David P. Calleo Europe’s Future. The Grand Alternatives (W.W. Norton & Co, New York, 1967) p.p. 89,90.
(41) Carl Schmitt claimed in his book Land und Meer that world history is the history of perpetual conflict between land powers and sea powers.
(42) Alexander Dugin Konspirologia (Arktogej, Moscow, 1993) p.p. 92, 93
(43) Alain de Benoist , Den’ No 1(29) , Moscow, 1992
(44) Elementy nr 3, 1993 - at p. 18
(45) Patrick E. Tyler- U.S. Strategy Plan Calls for Insuring No Rivals Develop - New York Times, March 8, 1992, p. 14
(46) Excerpts from the document published in New York Times , March 8, 1992
(47) Patrick E. Tyler - US Strategy Plan...
(48) President Bush stated after the November 7-8, 1991 NATO summit in Europe that security interests of the United States and Europe were indivisible and, therefore , the Atlantic alliance could not be replaced even in the long run and also that the United States presence in Europe would be needed for a century of so. see Ted Carpenter-- In Search for Enemies-(CATO Institute, Washington D.C. 1992, at p.p. 11-12; also White House, Office of Press Secretary, Press Conference by the President, November 8, 1991, transcript, p.1.
(49) H. J. von Lochhausen - The War in Iraq - a War Against Europe - Elements p.p. 34,35,36. von Lochhausen asserts also that the war against Iraq, i.e. a war for the control of the oil , was planned a long time in advance and its blueprint was worked out by Henry Kissinger and published in 1975 in the magazine Commentary and later in Harper’s Magazine.
von Lochhausen writes points out that studies of American relations with her allies show that U.S. is prone to take advantage against them i.e. using the war as a vehicle to transform her allies into vassals. In both W.W.I and W.W.II the American participation was largely parasitic. While the allies made the decisive efforts the United States reaped the fruits of the victory . See Elementy - ibid p.p. 35, 36. It is interesting to note that both right-wing and left-wing interpretations of the Gulf War coincide in their condemnation of American expansionism. For a left-wing parallel to von Lochhausen see Dario Da Re, Rosanna Munghiello and Dario Padovan Intellettuali, sinistra e conflitto del Golfo: un’interpretazione retrospettiva del dibattito (Altreragioni, No. 2,1993) p.p. 151-174.
(50) Samir Amin -U.S. Militarism in the New World Order-Polygraph, 5/1992 (Durham, NC) -at p.23
(51) 1963 Proceedings of the American Society of International Law 13. Discussing further the legal justification of the Cuban quarantine in 1962, Dean Acheson emphasized that « I must conclude that the propriety of the Cuban quarantine is not a legal issue. The power, position and prestige of the United States has been challenged by another state; the law simply does not deal with such questions of ultimate power., se also Noyes Leech, Covey Oliver,Joseph Sweeney-The International Legal System- at p. 105.
(52) Charles de Gaulle -Unity, Documents (Simon & Schuster, New York 1960) -at p. 269. Se also David Calleo- Europe’s Future. The Grand Alternatives (W.W. Norton & Company , New York,1967) - at p.112.
(53) The memory of the American intervention in Soviet Union in 1918 in Archangelsk and Vladivostok in the Far East prompted by the U.S. interest to gain control of the natural resources of Siberia as well as by senator Lodge plan to divide Soviet Union into smaller states in order for the United States to gain control over Ukraine has resurfaced and the issue have been debated in the mass media. See on this subject A. Nevins-Nenry White: Thirty Years of American Diplomacy, N.Y. 1930, p.354; Ljudmila Gviashvili-Sovietskaja Rossija i Soedinennije Schtaty 1917-1920 -(Foreign Relations Publishing House, Moscow,1970.)
In the Russian debate it has been pointed out that the objectives of the U.S. foreign policy will be to achieve strategic superiority in the field of nuclear armaments and through aggressive and adventurous foreign policy initiatives to force Russia to further unilateral disarmament and even to attempt to gain control over the nuclear potential of Russia which is the only deterrent that prevents an outright intervention.
(54) U.S. Peacekeeping Policy Debate Angers Russians-N.Y.Times, August 29, 1993. An editorial in Krasnaja Zvezda or Red Star, the magazine of the Russian army called Directive 13 ‘outrageously cynical and a direct and unceremonious interference in the domestic affairs of Russia.’ Although U.S. opposes a Russian Monroe Doctrine it is in a process of unilaterally extend its Monroe Doctrine to include former members of the Warsaw Pact as well as Baltic countries, which in the new American doctrinal thinking are to form a Cordon Sanitaire surrounding Russia- se N.Y. Times, February 17, 1992.
(55) What the Monroe Doctrine meant for other Latin American countries was the freedom of U.S. to rob and exploit those countries.- Noam Chomsky - ibid. op. cit. p. 7.
(56) Hegel -The Philosophy of Right Oxford University Press, London,1967) p.p. 208-216.
(57) Noam Chomsky - ibid. at p. 14
(58) G.L. Ulmen - ibid. at p. 59, 60
(59) Y. Semenov- Fashistkaja geopolitika na sluzhbe amerikanskogo imperializma (Gospolitizdat, Moscow,1952)-at p.32.
(60) Ferdinand Czernin -Versailles 1919 (Capricorn Books, N.Y. 1964) at. pp.404-406
(61) «Treaties should be designed to promote United States interests by securing action by foreign governments in the way deemed advantageous to the United States. Treaties are not to be used as a devise for the purpose of effecting internal social changes... in relation to what are essentially matters of domestic concern» and the United States being the sole judge of what constitutes domestic matters - see Department of State Circular No. 175, (December 13, 1955), reprinted in 50 Am. J. Intl. L. 784(1956).
(62) Carl Schmitt -V?lkerrechtliche Grossraumordnung... p. 43.
(63) Noam Chomsky - Terrorizing the Neighborhood. American Foreign Policy in the Post-Cold War Era (AK Press, Stirling and San Francisco , 1991) - at p. 24.
(64) se The Holy Alliance - Time magazine, February 24, 1992- at p.32
(65) Times- ibid. - at p. 29
(66) Noam Chomsky -Terrorizing the Neighborhood - at p. 19.
(67) Helsinki Accord, Declaration on Principles Guiding Relations between Participating States. The full text is published in Thomas Buergenthal (ed) -Human Rights, International Law and the Helsinki Accord-(Allanheld, Osmun/Universe Books, New York, 1979) at pp.161-165
(68) William Safire -Bosnia vs. the United Nations - N.Y.Times. , August 9, 1993
(69) N.Y.Times , August 2, 1993 - at p. A3
(70) N.Y.Times. , Aug. 5, 1993 - p.1.
(71) Newsweek, August 28, 1993
(72) See Pravda, March 30, 1995
(73) N.Y.Times, September 12, 1993
(74) Article 52 (Coercion of a State by the threat or use of force) of the Vienna Convention of the Law of Treaties of May 22, 1969 states «A treaty is void if its conclusion has been procured by the threat or use of force in violation of the principles of international law embodied in the Charter of the United Nations.»
(75) Pravda 5, No. 24, 1996, p. 10-11. Interview of General Galuas by Jole Stanischic.
(76) In Russian debate the Haag War tribunal has been described as an instrument of continuous aggression, to paraphrase Clausewitz, as war with other, judicial means, a tribunal set up by the war criminals in Washington to justify the American territorial conquests under the guise of establishment of a New World Order—a Monroe Doctrine for the whole world—, and persecution Serbs— the partisans of the Resistance against dictates of the New World Order. A historical equivalent of Hague Tribunal would have been a tribunal set up by Nazi Germany to persecute the partisans of the Resistance during an earlier version of the New World Order- Hitler’s. General Gallois , one of the organizers of the Resistance movement in France, fully realizes the absurdity of Hague Tribunal.
(77) Pravda 5, ibid.
(78) See Novoe Russkoe Slovo , March 23, 1993- at p. 9.
(79) Wolfram Henrieder -Germany, America, Europe (Yale University Press,New Haven,1989
(80) Hans W. Maull -Germany and Japan: The New Civilian Powers (Foreign Affairs, Wintern 1990/91, Council of Foreign Relations, N.Y. 1991) - at p. 93.
(81) Referring to Goethe Thomas Mann defines culture as « intellectualization of the political» and expression of the identity and self-realization of a nation: »The nation is not only a social being; the nation, not the human race as the sum of individuals, is the bearer of the individual, of the human quality; and the value of the intellectual-artistic-religious product that one calls national culture...that develops out of the organic depth of national life-the value, dignity and charm of all national culture therefore definitely lies in what distinguishes it from others, for only this distinctive element is culture, in contrast to what all nations have in common, which is only civilization. Here we have the difference between individual and personality, civilization and culture, social and metaphysical live». Thomas Mann Reflections of a Nonpolitical Man (Frederick Ungar Publishing Co, N.Y. 1983)- at p. 179.
(82) Andrew Shennan -De Gaulle (Longman, New York, 1993)- at p. 118.
(83) Andrew Shennan - ibid , p.118.
(84) David P. Calleo Europe’s future. The Grand Alternatives (W.W. Norton & Company, New York, 1967) p. 90
(85) Interview with Alain de Benoist , Le Monde, 15 Mai, 1992 (Paris)
(86) Walter Russel Mead The United States and the New Europe (World Policy Journal, New York), Winter 1989-90 p.p. 53,55,56
(87) The Rapallo Treaty was concluded on April 16, 1922 between Germany and the Soviet Union. It allowed the Soviet Union to break the monolithic capitalist encirclement by the Versailles powers while for Germany it signified the road to revision of what was perceived as the Versailles dictate. Discussing the possible political orientation of Russia in the future , Dugin elaborates on the issues of a Russian-German Sonderweg as a historical background to a common political union.
(88) Rudolf Bahro -Rapallo-Why Not- (Telos, No. 51, Spring 1982, N.Y.) - at p. 125.It is interesting to note that the German Foreign Minister Klaus Kinkel stated during his a meeting in Bavaria with his Russian counterpart Andrej Kozyrev that «Creation of a partnership axis Bonn-Moscow is an objective for German foreign policy»—Izvestija, Moscow, August 24, 1993.
(89) David Calleo -Europe’s Future -ibid. p.89; se also de Gaulle-Unity- ibid. pp.176-177.
(90) Charles de Gaulle Unity ibid. p. 271
(91) David Calleo Europe’s Future ibid. p. 124
(92) Alexander Dugin Konspirologija ibid. 96 . Dugin refers to the works of Konstantin Leontief in which the primacy of the principle of land over the principle of blood was first articulated.
(93) In contemporary Russian political discourse the main proponent of this notion has been Lev Gumilev.
(94) Robert Steuckers The Asian Challenge, Elementy , nr 3, p. 24
(95) Vladimir Ovzinski -Konterperestrojka -Nash Sovremennik -5-1992, Moscow, at p.128.The author who has made interviews with a large number of former KGB operatives from Lithuania, claims on the basis of those interviews that U.S pursues four different objectives:1.Assertion of American hegemonical interests in Lithuania in opposition to German interests. 2. Subversion of what CIA perceives to be a Communist opposition as well as organizations defending the interests of the Russian minority in the country. 3. Collection of materials concerning former Lithuanian KGB operatives in order to either persecute or recruit them. 4. Sending of recruited agents to other former Soviet republics.
(96) See Elaine Sciolino- U.S. to Offer Plan on a Role in NATO for Ex-Soviet Block -N.Y. Times, October 21, 1993; Stephen Kinzer- NATO Favors U.S. Plan for Ties With the East, but Timing is Vague-N.Y.Times, October 22, 1993. President Clinton made a formal proposal for the expansion of NATO at the NATO’s summit meeting in January of 1994.
(97) Noam Chomsky -A View from Below in Michael Hogan -The End of the Cold War (Cambridge University Press, New York 1992) at p.142.
(98) Y.Semenov -Fascistkaja geopolitika -ibid. p. 29
(99) General Victor Filatov compares Yeltsin with the W.W.II traitor general Vlasov-see Denj, Nr 25, 1993, Moscow, June 27, 1993. Stephen Cohen points out that since 1991 the U.S. policy has been characterized by a steadily escalating interventionism in the Russian domestic matters which has created the impression among patriotic movements that Yeltsin’s government is a U.S. sponsored ‘occupation regime’. United States interventionism resulted in a resolution passed on March 21, 1993 by the Russian Parliament condemning the American interference in the internal affairs of Russia. «The Clinton Administration has steadily escalated this kind of interventionism-by contriving the April Vancouver summit as an attempt to ‘help Yeltsin’ in his ongoing conflict with the Parliament, by supporting the Russian President’s threats to disband the legislature , by endorsing Yeltsin’s effort to seize dictatorial or special powers from virtually all of Russia’s other democratic institutions and even by suggesting that Clinton might go instead to Moscow for a solidarity summit with Yeltsin. The result has been to put U.S. government in very bad institutional company. Opposed to Yeltsin’s power grab was not only Russia’s Parliament but also its Constitutional Court, Attorney General, Justice Minister and Vice President.»- see The Nation, April 12, 1993 , at p.p.477,478.
(100) The events surrounding the September 21, 1993 coup allow for the impression that Yeltsin undertook the coup in collusion with the United States and, not unthinkable, on instigation of the United States.
(101) Julien Freund-The Central Themes in Carl Schmitt’s Political Thought ,Telos, nr 102, New York 1994, at p. 31
(102) Alexander Dugin- Carl Schmitt. Pjat’ urokov Rossii-ibid. at p. 134
(103) Julien Freund - ibid. p. 31
(104) Alexander Dugin- ibid. p. 134

~~

New York 1994-96
This article was initially published in abreviated form in the American political journal "Telos" and in different version has been published in other journals.
The full version was published in German: "Rusland, Europa und Washingtons Neue Welt-Ordnung. Das geopolitische Project einen Pax eurasiatica" ETAPPE, Heft 12/Juni 1996

jeudi, 27 mai 2010

EU muss im Streit um Irans Atomprogramm als ehrlicher Makler auftreten

Ahmadinejad-carricature.jpg

 

EU muß im Streit um Irans Atomprogramm als ehrlicher Makler auftreten

 

Ziel der EU muß ein atomwaffenfreier Naher und Mittlerer Osten sein – Nicht nur der Iran, sondern auch Israel und Pakistan haben nuklearen Abrüstungsbedarf

Ex: http://andreas-moelzer.at/

Die Haltung im Streit um das iranische Atomprogramm sei ein außenpolitischer Glaubwürdigkeitstest für die Europäische Union, sagte heute der freiheitliche Delegationsleiter im Europäischen Parlament, Andreas Mölzer. „Brüssel ist gut beraten, als ehrlicher Makler aufzutreten und sich nicht den US-amerikanischen Scharfmachern anzuschließen. Wenn die EU nicht eine ausgewogene Haltung einnimmt, dann wird sie noch mehr als bisher als verlängerter Arm Washingtons wahrgenommen werden“, betonte Mölzer.

Zudem wies der freiheitliche EU-Mandatar darauf hin, daß die Schaffung eines atomwaffenfreien Nahen und Mittleren Ostens Ziel der europäischen Nahostpolitik sein müsse. „Wenn ein Staat unbedingt die Kernenergie zu friedlichen Zwecken will, dann soll das möglich sein. Allerdings muß gewährleistet sein, daß der betreffende Staat nicht im verborgenen an Nuklearwaffen arbeitet“, so Mölzer, der auch Mitglied des außenpolitischen Ausschusses des Europäischen Parlaments ist.

Dabei machte der freiheitliche Europa-Abgeordnete darauf aufmerksam, daß nicht nur der Iran wegen seines umstrittenen Atomprogramms in die Pflicht genommen werden müsse. „Israel, das nicht dem Atomwaffensperrvertrag beigetreten ist, hat ein Arsenal von schätzungsweise bis zu 200 Atomsprengköpfen. Somit hat Israel ungeachtet seines Rechts auf Selbstverteidigung und seines unbestreitbaren Existenzrechts erheblichen nuklearen Abrüstungsbedarf. Und von Pakistan, das bereits Atommacht ist, geht ein wesentliches größeres Gefährdungspotential aus als vom Iran. Wegen der politischen Instabilität Pakistans besteht nämlich die Gefahr, daß die pakistanischen Atomwaffen in die Hände islamischer Fundamentalisten geraten könnten“, schloß Mölzer.

mercredi, 26 mai 2010

Mettre fin au déclin de l'Europe prendra une génération

Mettre fin au déclin de l’Europe prendra une génération

Ex: http://fortune.fdesouche.com/

Pour comprendre que la prospérité ne viendra pas des plans de relance de l’État mais des entrepreneurs et de leur prise de risque, cela prendra une génération

L’Union européenne dit sauver la Grèce, ou plutôt l’État grec, mais chacun comprend qu’elle sauve ses propres banques. Un mensonge de plus qui renforce la perte de confiance envers les autorités. L’Europe poursuivra son déclin si elle ne change pas complètement d’état d’esprit. «Aujourd’hui, si l’on réinventait l’automobile, elle serait interdite par les autorités parce que quelqu’un montrerait que la voiture peut tuer,» déclarait récemment Jürgen Hambrecht, président du conseil d’administration de BASF, lors de l’ISC Symposium de Saint-Gall. La prise de risque semble interdite en Europe. Pourtant la prospérité ne viendra pas des plans de relance d’États tous plus ou moins gravement endettés ni d’une politique monétaire créatrice de fausses incitations. Mieux vaut replacer l’entrepreneur dans le rôle de pilote, même si cela prendra une génération.

L’OCDE vient en effet de publier une étude fort intéressante * sur les impôts sur les salaires. Ceux-ci englobent les charges patronales et salariales de sécurité sociale et ce que l’on nomme le coin fiscal (tax wedge), c’est-à-dire l’écart entre le coût total de la main-d’œuvre pour l’employeur et ce que le salarié reçoit.

Pourquoi un entrepreneur aurait-il intérêt à investir en Europe si la moitié du coût du travail part en cotisations sociales?

Le pire coin fiscal se trouve en Belgique (55,2%), Hongrie (53,4%), Allemagne (49,2%) et France (49,2%).
La Grèce n’est pas loin (41,5%). Les bons élèves, ceux qui tentent d’attirer l’initiative privée, sont la Nouvelle-Zélande (0,6%), l’Islande (8,6%), le Luxembourg (11,2%), l’Irlande (11,7%).

D’une année à l’autre, la Nouvelle-Zélande fait le plus d’effort en direction des entreprises (–2,66% en un an), devant la Turquie et la Suède. Par contre, le coin fiscal a augmenté en Suisse, ce qui la place parmi les six pays qui partent dans le mauvais sens…

La Nouvelle-Zélande se met donc en évidence. Sa monnaie a gagné 20% contre le franc en un an en vertu des achats étrangers de ses obligations et de nombreuses implantations d’entreprises. La Chine est devenue son deuxième partenaire commercial, derrière l’Australie, dont le premier marché d’exportation est la Chine. L’ascension de l’Empire du Milieu frappe les esprits. Le pays fait maintenant partie du Top 5 des marchés d’exportation de 11 pays contre seulement 2 en 1990.

Ces classements valent plus que n’importe quel discours de Nicolas Sarkozy ou de José Barroso. Ils montrent qu’il y a des pays qui se battent pour attirer les investisseurs et d’autres qui accusent le marché. Pourtant le marché, c’est l’entrepreneur, le consommateur, chaque individu.

L’accélération du transfert de pouvoir vers l’Asie se lit dans une autre étude, effectuée par Goldman Sachs, qui décrit les cinq principaux marchés d’exportations en 1980, 1990, 2000 et 2008. L’Australie exprime à merveille cette redistribution des cartes. En 1980, ses 4 principaux marchés étaient le Japon, les États-Unis, le Royaume-Uni et la Nouvelle-Zélande. En 2008, ils sont remplacés par Japon, la Chine, la Corée et l’Inde. Les Etats-Unis ne sont plus que cinquièmes.

C’est en Europe que l’on observe la plus grande stabilité. L’Allemagne, l’Italie et le Royaume-Uni restent les trois principaux marchés d’exportation de la France. Le Top 5 des partenaires de la Suisse est également stable, à l’exception de l’arrivée en deuxième position des États-Unis.

Mais des modifications sont annoncées. En 2012, la Chine dépassera la France comme premier partenaire commercial de l’Allemagne. La part des exportations allemandes vers les pays du BRIC est d’ailleurs passée de 3,9% à 8,4% en huit ans. Pour Siemens ou BMW, les relations avec la France comptent moins qu’avec les pays du BRIC.

Le dernier classement de la compétitivité des pays réalisé par l’IMD, qui sort ce jour, permettra de suivre l’ascension des pays asiatiques et la position des membres de l’eurozone.

Pour sortir de cette logique du déclin, il ne faut pas demander aux hommes de l’État de rétablir une situation dont ils sont responsables, selon Patrick de Cazenove, secrétaire général du Cercle Bastiat. Mieux vaut rendre aux privés les services qui leur ont été pris et les laisser gérer, suivant ainsi le conseil de Deng Xiaoping: peu importe qu’un chat soit blanc ou noir s’il attrape la souris.

L’effort requis est considérable. La crise de la dette publique traduit, selon le philosophe Anthony de Jasay, un problème de préférence temporelle: les biens futurs ont moins de valeur que les biens actuels. C’est le symptôme de la carte de crédit et de l’«envole-toi maintenant et paie plus tard». L’apparente irresponsabilité des hommes politiques dans la gestion des retraites, des assurances sociales ou des services publics est plus rationnelle qu’il n’y paraît. Leurs promesses dépendent des votes obtenus lors des élections. Ils laissent supposer que leurs réserves financières sont immenses. Plane ainsi l’espoir d’un possible «envole-toi maintenant et ne paie peut-être pas, ou ne paie jamais». C’est parce que le gouvernement peut emprunter sur l’avenir que l’opposition à son programme dépensier ne rencontre guère d’opposition. Dans les démocraties modernes, le déficit est endémique. Les énormes déficits publics des mauvaises années ne font que succéder aux petits déficits des bonnes années. «Quand une société fonctionne avec une carte de crédit collective, il est difficile d’espérer mieux», selon de Jasay.

La crise de l’Europe, comme la crise bancaire, devrait inciter à sortir de ce cercle vicieux et à se sentir chacun responsable de ses décisions. L’exercice n’est pas impossible. D’ailleurs le nombre de pays qui n’ont pas de problème de dette publique n’est-il pas majoritaire?


* Les impôts sur les salaires, OCDE, mai 2010.

Le Temps

Un banquier suisse annonce la fin de l'euro

euro bris.jpg

 

Un banquier suisse annonce la fin de l’euro

 

 

Dans un incroyable entretien accordé hier au quotidien suisse La Tribune de Genève, Alexandre Wohlwend, patron d’Arabesque Wealth Management, est convaincu que l’euro ne survivra pas à la crise actuelle. Mieux que ça, il confirme les prévisions les plus sombres sur les évènements en cours : pour que la monnaie unique se maintienne, il faudrait aligner au même niveau toutes les économies des pays de la zone euro, ce qui est exactement ce que le pouvoir autoritaire européen est en train de mettre en place avec la mise sous tutelle des Etats concernés.

 

S’exprimant sans langue de bois, M. Wohlwend explique également que « les États-Unis ont planifié et souhaité la création de l’euro, avec la complicité de la Communauté européenne, pour contaminer l’Europe avec leur concept de mondialisation ».

 

"Je considère que la constitution de l’Europe autour de la monnaie unique est un non-sens politique, économique et culturel. L’Histoire à montré que toute monnaie plurinationale est vouée a exploser s’il y a des déséquilibres dans les économies qui la partagent. (…)

 

L’euro n’échappera pas à la règle car les différences culturelles et économiques en Europe son énormes. La crise grecque n’est que le premier symptôme. (…)

 

Cela pourrait être très rapide. J’estime qu’avant cinq ans les pays européens auront largement commencé à se retirer de la zone euro. (…)

 

[Le plan de 750 milliards est] une fuite en avant. (…) L’Europe est euphorique car elle est droguée à la dette. Cette solution ne fait qu’augmenter la dose de la drogue en créant encore plus de dettes ! Tout cet argent sera finalement ponctionné auprès des contribuables, ce qui risque d’entrainer une crise sociale importante. (…)

 

Ce sont les États-Unis qui ont planifié et souhaité la création de l’euro, avec la complicité de la Communauté européenne, pour « contaminer » l’Europe avec leur concept de mondialisation et de profits maximum à court terme. Le problème, c’est qu’ils ont créé un endettement abyssal et démantelé leur industrie, rapidement imités en cela par les États européens. En outre, depuis qu’ils ont séparé le dollar de l’étalon-or, ils ont créé de la monnaie à tout va, jusqu’à faire baisser de 98% la valeur du billet vert par rapport à l’once d’or. Le dollar est lui aussi moribond et la disparition de l’euro lui profitera en lui permettant de rester momentanément en vie. (…)

 

Avec 2200 milliards de dollars que la Chine détient en bons du Trésors américains, chaque chinois possède une créance virtuelle de 15′000 dollars envers les États-Unis. Pour l’instant, il n’est pas dans l’intérêt de la Chine de voir chuter la monnaie américaine ; elle continuera donc à augmenter ses réserves en bons du Trésors, qu’elle finira par utiliser pour acheter des pans entiers de l’industrie américaine. Et fera vraisemblablement de même, dans la foulée, avec les pays occidentaux si ces derniers ne se protègent pas par un retour à leur souveraineté monétaire et territoriale, visant à la reconstruction d’un tissu industriel, seul gagnant d’une stabilité économique à long terme.

_______________

Propos recueillis par Emmanuel Barraud, pour la Tribune de Genève

Presseschau - Mai 2010 / 04

krantenPPPPMMMMLLLL.gifPRESSESCHAU

Mai 2010 / 04

Einige Links. Bei Bedarf anklicken...

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Seit dem Mittelalter hat sich im Abendland die Vorstellung von sieben „Kardinaltugenden“ durchgesetzt, die man noch in die theologischen (Glaube, Liebe, Hoffnung) und die weltlichen (Klugheit, Gerechtigkeit, Tapferkeit und Maß) unterteilte. Wichtig ist dabei, daß die Klugheit als „Mutter der Tugenden“ (Thomas von Aquin) gilt, was bedeutet, daß keine Tugend ohne Klugheit zu bestehen vermag. Diesen Kardinaltugenden können Sekundärtugenden nachgeordnet werden wie Pünktlichkeit, Höflichkeit, Sauberkeit und so weiter.
Es ist als Verfallsform der Tugendethik anzusehen, daß der Begriff seit dem 18. Jahrhundert zuerst gegen die tradierte Ordnung gestellt und dann unter bürgerlichem Einfluß auf den Aspekt der Sexualität beschränkt wurde und unter einem „tugendhaften“ Leben nur ein keusches verstanden wurde. Noch problematischer war allerdings die Tendenz, den Bezug auf die Tugend durch einen Bezug auf „Werte“ zu ersetzen. Das hängt vor allem mit der Unverbindlichkeit solcher Werte zusammen, deren Proklamation keine strenge Verpflichtung zum richtigen Tun bedeutet.

(Staatspolitisches Handbuch, hrsg. v. Erik Lehnert und Karlheinz Weißmann, Band 1: Leitbegriffe, verfaßt von Karlheinz Weißmann, Schnellroda 2009, S. 146)

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Studie über Südafrika
Pünktlich in die Vorbereitungsphase der Nationalmannschaft auf die Fußball-Weltmeisterschaft hinein erscheint die Studie 16 des IfS Südafrika. Vom Scheitern eines multiethnischen Experiments. Diese Studie ist eines der wenigen Gegengewichte zu einer „Verschwörung der Schönredner“ und befaßt sich mit dem Scheitern des Landes, das einmal als das „power house“ des Kontinents galt.
http://www.sezession.de/14792/studie-ueber-suedafrika.html

Versenktes Kriegsschiff
Südkorea wirft Norden tödliche Torpedoattacke vor
Der Konflikt zwischen Nord- und Südkorea erreicht einen Höhepunkt. Südkorea hat jetzt nach eigenen Angaben Beweise dafür, daß der Norden ein 1200-Tonnen-Kriegsschiff per Torpedo versenkte – 46 Menschen starben. Das Regime in Pjöngjang droht im Fall von Vergeltung mit „totalem Krieg“.
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/0,1518,695764,00.html

Nordkoreanische Kriegsdrohungen
Südkorea setzt auf Deeskalation
Säbelrasseln in Pjöngjang, Bedachtsamkeit in Seoul: Südkorea mahnt nach den Kriegsdrohungen Nordkoreas zur Vorsicht. Zwischen beiden Ländern ist wegen eines mutmaßlichen Torpedoangriffs auf ein Schiff die Lage gespannt. Auch die USA wollen sich nun in den Konflikt einschalten.
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/0,1518,696135,00.html

Panzerhaubitzen auf dem Weg nach Afghanistan
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WcDiMuYqsLA

KSK-Kommandeur Ammon im Gespräch
Töten gehört zum Auftrag
(RP)  Brigadegeneral Hans-Christoph Ammon, Kommandeur des Kommandos Spezialkräfte (KSK) der Bundeswehr in Calw, zur kritischen Lage in Afghanistan, zur Geheimhaltung bei Einsätzen, zum Problem des Tötens, zur schwierigen Nachwuchsgewinnung, zum Idealbild des Kämpfers und zu Frauen als Kommandosoldaten.
http://www.rp-online.de/politik/deutschland/Toeten-gehoert-zum-Auftrag_aid_860016.html

Die Tour funktioniert leider immer wieder ...
Online-Spionage
Die schöne Facebook-Freundin der Elitesoldaten
Von Sarah Stricker, Tel Aviv
Eine bezaubernde junge Frau freundet sich auf Facebook mit israelischen Militärs an – und entlockt ihnen Geheimnisse. Laut einem Pressebericht tappten 200 Elitesoldaten in die Falle. Dahinter steckt vermutlich die libanesische Schiitenmiliz Hisbollah.
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/0,1518,694582,00.html

Der Hauptfeind des Liberalen
Von Martin Lichtmesz
Mitte Juni ist die nächste Staffel der Kaplaken lieferbar, darunter eine Neuauflage des klassischen, unvermindert aktuellen Essays „Gegen die Liberalen“ von Armin Mohler aus dem Jahr 1988. Eine der zentralen, wohl zum Teil von Alain de Benoist („Die entscheidenden Jahre“, 1982) inspirierten Thesen des Aufsatzes ist, daß der Hauptfeind des Rechten nicht der Kommunist (resp. der Linke) sei, sondern der Liberale, denn dieser sei ein „Feind, der bereits innerhalb der Burg agiert und unsere Abwehr so weich macht, daß der äußere Feind eindringen kann.“
http://www.sezession.de/14803/der-hauptfeind-des-liberalen.html

Thorsten Hinz
Der Staatsstreich
Der Brüsseler Staatsstreich vom vorvergangenen Wochenende kam nicht aus heiterem Himmel. Er hat notifiziert, was sich seit langem schleichend vollzog. Er steht für den virtuellen Charakter unserer real existierenden Demokratie. Der noch gefährlichere Angriff zielt gegen Recht und Gesetz.
http://www.jungefreiheit.de/Single-News-Display-mit-Komm.154+M5d849f2a8c9.0.html

Essay
Zurück zur EWG
Von Leon de Winter
Ein Plädoyer für die Abschaffung des Euro
http://www.spiegel.de/spiegel/0,1518,695157,00.html

Endzeit
Es mutet fast unwirklich an.
Während andere Pläne schmieden, um durch eine Transferunion auf deutsche Kosten das Datum ihres Bankrotts hinauszuschieben, feiert die Bundeskanzlerin in Moskau die Niederlage des eigenen Volkes, als wäre sie die Nachfolgerin Ulbrichts, nicht Adenauers.
Im Bundestag wird über die Zahlung ungeheurer Summen abgestimmt, die auch unabsehbare Folgen nach sich ziehen mögen, auf jeden Fall aber die Geldmenge aufblähen und so das uns auferlegte Zahlungsmittel entwerten.
Raubmörder läßt man einfach frei herumlaufen, weil eine Richterin nicht rechtzeitig aus dem Urlaub zurückgekehrt ist.
Wäre dies ein Traum, ich bräuchte mich nur zu kneifen, um zu erwachen. Wäre es aber wirklich, dann müßte doch ein Aufschrei im Lande zu vernehmen sein.
http://www.deutschland-kontrovers.net/?p=22541

Kampf gegen die Euro-Krise
Merkel verspricht Spekulanten-Bremse
„Scheitert der Euro, dann scheitert Europa“: Kanzlerin Merkel sieht in der Währungskrise eine existentielle Bedrohung – nun will sie die Märkte schärfer regulieren, notfalls im nationalen Alleingang. Der SPD reicht diese Ankündigung nicht aus, sie verlangt „schwarz auf weiß“ konkrete Zusagen.
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/0,1518,695542,00.html

EU-Finanzkrise
Bundestag und Bundesrat winken Rettungspaket durch
Der deutsche Beitrag zum milliardenschweren Euro-Rettungspaket steht. Nach dem Bundestag billigte am Freitag auch der Bundesrat die größte Hilfsaktion in der Geschichte des gemeinsamen Währungsraumes – auf Deutschland könnten Kreditgarantien in Höhe von bis zu 148 Milliarden Euro zukommen.
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/0,1518,696245,00.html

„Die Reißleine zieht man, wenn man im freien Fall ist“
Die Einführung des Euro war verfrüht, kritisierte der Wirtschaftswissenschaftler Manfred J. Neumann schon 1998. Für ihn war damals schon klar, daß in Staaten wie Griechenland die notwendige Haushaltsdisziplin fehlt, mit der die Währung der Gemeinschaft stabil bliebe.
Dennoch hält der renommierte Ökonom heute nichts von einer Panikmache und nennt Überlegungen zum Austritt aus der Euro-Zone unrealistisch. Im folgenden bringen wir die ausführlichere Version des Interviews aus der JUNGEN FREIHEIT (21/10)
http://www.jungefreiheit.de/Single-News-Display-mit-Komm.154+M5dff3f6f687.0.html

Euro-Debatte
Warum die Angst vor Inflation unbegründet ist
Ein Gastkommentar von Gustav A. Horn
Viele Finanzexperten warnen vor Inflation, dabei spricht derzeit nichts für eine schnellere Geldentwertung. Daran ändern auch die milliardenschweren Rettungsprogramme für Banken und Euro nichts. Im Gegenteil – Europa steht ein deutlich schlimmeres Szenario bevor: fallende Preise.
http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/0,1518,694875,00.html

Mehr Geld für EU-Parlamentarier
http://oe1.orf.at/artikel/244124

Niederlande
Politiker wollen sämtliche Drogen legalisieren
http://www.welt.de/politik/ausland/article7696828/Politiker-wollen-saemtliche-Drogen-legalisieren.html

Kokain gegen die Krise? Wahlstreit in den Niederlanden
http://www.nachrichten.at/nachrichten/politik/aussenpolitik/art391,395474

Nordrhein-Westfalen
SPD lehnt Linkspakt ab – Gespräche mit CDU
Fünf Stunden sprachen sie miteinander, dann stand das Scheitern fest. Rot-Grün und die Linkspartei werden in Nordrhein-Westfalen keine Koalition eingehen. SPD-Landeschefin Kraft teilte am Abend mit: „Es macht keinen Sinn“ – jetzt will sie die CDU zu Gesprächen über eine Große Koalition einladen.
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/0,1518,696026,00.html

Koalitionspoker in Nordrhein-Westfalen
Kraft startet Plan B
Von Veit Medick
Spektakulär ließ Hannelore Kraft die Gespräche mit der Linken scheitern – ein Modell auch für die Sondierung mit Jürgen Rüttgers und seiner CDU? Eine Große Koalition ist in der SPD extrem unbeliebt. Jetzt wird über zwei Notoptionen spekuliert.
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/0,1518,696281,00.html

Verfahren gegen Wolfgang Thierse wird eingestellt
http://www.welt.de/die-welt/politik/article7724571/Verfahren-gegen-Wolfgang-Thierse-wird-eingestellt.html

Grußwort an Ex-Auslandsspitzel
Linken-Abgeordnete preist Stasi-Agenten
Wie geht die Linke mit der DDR-Vergangenheit um? Auch an dieser Frage will Rot-Grün in NRW die Partei messen – jetzt wird bekannt: Ulla Jelpke, prominente Abgeordnete aus dem Bundesland, hat ein Grußwort an Ex-Stasi-Auslandsagenten verfaßt. Unter anderem lobt sie sie für ihren „mutigen Einsatz“.
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/0,1518,695759,00.html

Stasi-Lob: CDU-Politiker droht Jelpke mit parlamentarischem Nachspiel
http://www.jungefreiheit.de/Single-News-Display-mit-Komm.154+M5b74cf34252.0.html

Ulla Jelpke
Stasi-Grußwort empört Union
http://www.focus.de/politik/weitere-meldungen/cdu-linke-stasi-grusswort-empoert-union_aid_510235.html

Zeitgeschichte
So trickreich entsorgte die SED ihre Vergangenheit
Von S. F. Kellerhoff und U. Müller
Vor 20 Jahren gelobte die PDS, die zuvor SED hieß, „verantwortungsbewußt“ an der Erneuerung der Gesellschaft mitzuwirken. Das jedoch hielt sie nicht davon ab, die Mitgliederkartei der SED zu vernichten. Bis heute wird darüber geschwiegen, doch WELT-ONLINE-Recherchen belegen, wie trickreich die Partei vorging.
http://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article7663752/So-trickreich-entsorgte-die-SED-ihre-Vergangenheit.html

Statt Blumen
von Nils Wegner
Ja, ich gebe es zu – auch ich lese die FAZ. Zumindest teilweise. Unter der Woche, morgens vor dem Aufbruch gen Universität, schnuppere ich gern bei einer Tasse Tee in den Feuilleton hinein und informiere mich über den liberal-konservativen Blick auf zeitgeistige Ereignisse.
Am Mittwoch, dem 5. Mai dieses Jahres, zog jedoch nicht der Bericht über Daniel Cohn-Bendits Opposition gegenüber der israelischen Siedlungspolitik meinen Blick auf sich, und auch den Bericht über eine neue Ausstellung auf der Wewelsburg bemerkte ich erst später. Was zuallererst meine Aufmerksamkeit erregte, war – eine Gedenkanzeige.
http://www.sezession.de/14784/statt-blumen.html#more-14784

„Netz gegen Nazis“ über RCQT ...
Woran man sie erkennt
T-Shirt-Motive von „Reconquista reloaded“ – Haßrätsel für die Szene
Seit kurzem ist die Kleidermarke „Reconquista“ (rcqt) zur Freude größerer Teile der rechten Szene unter dem Motto „Reconquista reloaded“ wieder in Produktion und käuflich erwerbbar. Die T-Shirts verpacken Rassismus, Antisemitismus oder Islamfeindlichkeit modern und mehr oder weniger verrätselt – und dürften sowohl Anhängern der „neuen Rechten“ wie auch den „Autonomen Nationalisten“ gefallen.
http://www.netz-gegen-nazis.de/artikel/t-shirt-motive-von-reconquista-relaoded-hassraetsel-fuer-die-szene-9987

Linke Pädagogen in Aufregung ...
Rechtsextremismus unter Migranten:
http://www.lehrer-online.de/836107.php

Mord am Jungfernstieg
19jähriger wollte in Todesangst noch fliehen
Von André Zand-Vakili
Nach der tödlichen Messerstecherei hat die Hamburger Polizei das Überwachungsvideo ausgewertet: Die Bilder zeigen, daß der etwa 17 Jahre alte Täter sein Opfer gezielt attackierte. Zuvor hatte er bereits mit Freunden wahllos Leute provoziert. Als der Streit eskalierte, wollte der 19jährige noch fliehen.
http://www.welt.de/vermischtes/article7655571/19-Jaehriger-wollte-in-Todesangst-noch-fliehen.html

Mit dem ethnischen Hintergrund der Täter und Haß auf Deutsche hat die Tat natürlich nichts zu tun ...
Tödliche S-Bahn-Attacke
Polizei nimmt minderjährigen Intensivtäter fest
Drei Tage nach dem tödlichen Angriff auf einen 19jährigen in Hamburg hat die Polizei vier Tatverdächtige festgenommen, darunter einen erst 16 Jahre alten Intensivtäter. Auslöser des tödlichen Konflikts sei die Frage „Was guckst du, was ist hier los?“ gewesen, erklärte ein Polizeisprecher.
http://www.spiegel.de/panorama/justiz/0,1518,695202,00.html#ref=nldt

Furchtbare Juristen ...
Keine Mordanklage für Elias A.
Der Mörder des 19jährigen Hamburgers Mel D., der Afghane Elias A. (Foto), wird nicht wegen Mordes angeklagt. Von den Mordmerkmalen niedere Beweggründe (Mordlust, sexuelle Motive, Habgier), Heimtücke (Tötung eines arglosen Opfers), Grausamkeit, gemeingefährliche Mittel (etwa Sprengstoff) und die Ermöglichung oder Verdeckung einer anderen Straftat, sieht der Staatsanwalt keins gegeben.
Die nächste Ohrfeige für die Hinterbliebenen ist seine Begründung: „Weil es vor der Tat offenbar Streit zwischen Tatverdächtigem und Opfer gegeben hat, kann von einer Arg- oder Wehrlosigkeit des Opfers nicht ausgegangen werden.“
http://www.pi-news.net/2010/05/keine-mord-anklage-fuer-elias-a/#more-137024

Hamburg
20-Cent-Killer aus der U-Haft entlassen
[Schuld ist die Aschewolke ...]
http://www.bild.de/BILD/news/2010/05/18/wegen-20-cent-erschlagen/taeter-aus-u-haft-entlassen.html
http://www.welt.de/die-welt/vermischtes/hamburg/article7693766/Haftentlassung-im-20-Cent-Prozess.html

Im Metronom
Schaffnerin bespuckt, geschlagen und belästigt
Brutale Attacke auf eine Zugbegleiterin im Metronom: Vier junge Männer haben eine Schaffnerin auf der Fahrt nach Bremen bespuckt und verprügelt. Zudem hat sich einer der Männer die Hose runtergezogen und die Schaffnerin sexuell belästigt. Die 38jährige hatte das Quartett beim Schwarzfahren erwischt.
[Bei den Tätern soll es sich um zwei Kolumbianer, einen Dominikaner und einen „Deutschen“ handeln ...]
http://www.welt.de/vermischtes/article7730355/Schaffnerin-bespuckt-geschlagen-und-belaestigt.html

Integration: Forscher sehen Deutschland auf einem guten Weg
http://www.jungefreiheit.de/Single-News-Display-mit-Komm.154+M542a56da301.0.html

Islamkritik
GEW will nicht mit Irmer sprechen
http://www.hr-online.de/website/rubriken/nachrichten/indexhessen34938.jsp?rubrik=34954&key=standard_document_39155361

FRANKREICH
Burka-Verbot von französischem Kabinett abgesegnet vor 10 Stunden
http://www.dcrs.de/frankreich-burka-verbot-von-franzoesischem-kabinett-abgesegnet,371502

Frankreich
Popanz Burka
http://www.sueddeutsche.de/politik/390/511496/text/

Was für Idioten ...
Stadtallendorf
Prozeß
Moschee-Brandstifter verurteilt
http://www.hr-online.de/website/rubriken/nachrichten/indexhessen34938.jsp?rubrik=36090&key=standard_document_39152859
http://www.fr-online.de/frankfurt_und_hessen/nachrichten/hessen/2661712_Brandstifter-verurteilt.html

Familienfreundliches Sachsen
Von Ellen Kositza
http://www.sezession.de/14796/familienfreundliches-sachsen.html

Hadid, Gehry & Co
Albert Speer jr. hadert mit den Star-Architekten
Von Andreas Rosenfelder
Derzeit arbeitet Albert Speer jr. an einem Masterplan für die Kölner Innenstadt. Doch mit vielem, was gefeierte Star-Architekten entwickeln, kann er wenig anfangen. Im Interview auf WELT ONLINE geht Speer mit Zaha Hadid und Frank Gehry hart ins Gericht: „Das sind nur Ideenwolken“.
http://www.welt.de/kultur/article7600198/Albert-Speer-jr-hadert-mit-den-Star-Architekten.html

Für Hartgesottene ...
Vergleichsbilder der Fachwerkstadt Hildesheim, vor dem Bombenkrieg und nach 60 Jahren BRD
http://www.hildesheimernatur.de/Hildesheim_Startseite.htm

Stadtgestaltung
Siegen packt seinen Fluß aus
Siegen. Gäbe es Idar-Oberstein nicht, wäre Siegen in architektonischer Hinsicht in weitem Umkreis einzigartig. So allerdings müssen sich die beiden Städte ein Merkmal mit zweifelhaftem Charme teilen: Beide haben die Flüsse in ihrer Mitte überdacht. Idar-Oberstein baute eine Straße über die Nahe, und Siegen setzte Ende der 60er Jahre eine Parkpalette für mehr als 150 Autos über die Sieg. Der Fluß, nachdem die Stadt benannt ist, verschwand dadurch in der City weitgehend aus dem Blickfeld.
http://www.derwesten.de/wr/westfalen/Siegen-packt-seinen-Fluss-aus-id2983927.html

Knöchelverletzung
Ballack fällt für die WM aus
Der Traum von der WM in Südafrika ist für Michael Ballack geplatzt. Der Kapitän der deutschen Nationalmannschaft ist so schwer verletzt, daß er nicht am Turnier teilnehmen kann, erklärte der DFB. Ballack war im englischen Pokalfinale von dem Negermischling Kevin-Prince Boateng brutal gefoult worden. [Es wird von Vorsatz ausgegangen!]
http://www.spiegel.de/sport/fussball/0,1518,695133,00.html

WM 2010
Boateng wollte Ballack ausschalten
Vor dem WM-Hintergrund wird das rüde Foul von Kevin-Prince Boateng gegen Michael Ballack im englischen Pokalfinale pikant. Man kann Absicht unterstellen. Von FOCUS-Online-Redakteur O. Völkl
http://www.focus.de/sport/fussball/wm-2010/wm-2010-boateng-wollte-ballack-ausschalten_aid_508871.html

samedi, 22 mai 2010

EU verschwendet Geld für politisch korrekte Prestigeprojekte

EU verschwendet Geld für politisch korrekte Prestigeprojekte

Für Rückführungsprogramm für illegale Zuwanderer statt Neuansiedlungsprogramm – Nicht in EU-Flüchtlingsfond investieren, sondern in Familienförderung und Grenzschutz

geldverschwendung_D_716836b.jpgDie Europäische Union werfe Geld für Prestigeprojekte der political correctness zum Fenster hinaus, sagte der freiheitliche Delegationsleiter im Europäischen Parlament, Andreas Mölzer, anläßlich der heutigen Aussprachen im Europaparlament über den Europäischen Flüchtlingsfond und die Einrichtung eines Gemeinsamen Neuansiedlungsprogramms in der EU. „Hier geht es in erster Linie darum, die Massenzuwanderung aus der Dritten Welt nach Europa zu fördern. Diese Pläne sind ein Anschlag auf die historisch gewachsenen Völker Europas“, kritisierte Mölzer.

Anstatt bis zu 6000 Euro pro neuangesiedelter Person zu investieren, könne das Geld, so der freiheitliche EU-Mandatar, weitaus besser angelegt werden. „Mit dem Geld sind die autochthonen Familien zu unterstützen, damit die Geburtenraten wieder steigen. Ebenso hätte das Geld in die EU-Grenzschutzagentur Frontex zu fließen, damit endlich die Außengrenzen der EU wirkungsvoll gesichert werden können. Aber dazu besteht seitens der politisch korrekten EU-Polit-Nomenklatura keinerlei Bereitschaft“, erklärte Mölzer bei seiner Rede vor dem Plenum des Europäischen Parlaments in Straßburg.

Weiters wies der freiheitliche Europa-Abgeordnete darauf hin, daß die EU-Bürokratie weiter aufgebläht werden soll. „Wenn für das Neuansiedlungsprogramm ein eigenes Referat mit einem angemessenen Personalstand geschaffen werden soll, dann bedeutet nichts anderes als eine weitere Belastung der Steuerzahler, ohne daß diese einen Nutzen davon hätten. Und wenn schon ein eigenes Referat ins Leben gerufen werden soll, dann sollte sich dieses um die Ausarbeitung und Umsetzung eines Rückführungsprogramms für die Hunderttausenden von illegalen Zuwanderern kümmern, die heute in der EU leben“, verlangte Mölzer abschließend.

Ex: http://www.andreas-moelzer.at/

vendredi, 21 mai 2010

Schweiz zeigt, wie man auch ohne Euro in internationaler Finanzwelt bestehen kann

axalp-265863.jpg

 

Schweiz zeigt, wie man auch ohne Euro in internationaler Finanzwelt bestehen kann

Bei den SPÖ-Attacken auf die Schweiz schwingt offenbar der Neid auf die wirtschaftlich erfolgreichen Eidgenossen mit

Als vollkommen unangebracht bezeichnete heute der freiheitliche Delegationsleiter im Europäischen Parlament, Andreas Mölzer, die Angriffe von SPÖ-Klubobmann Josef Cap auf die angeblichen Schweizer „Trittbrettfahrer“ in Sachen Euro-Rettung sowie die Aussage von Bundeskanzler Werner Faymann, die Schweiz versuche bei ihren Beziehungen zur EU möglichst viele Rosinen herauszupicken. „Hier schwingt offenbar der Neid auf unser wirtschaftlich erfolgreiches Nachbarland mit, das von der Euro-Krise unberührt geblieben ist“, betonte Mölzer.

Zwar hätten auch Schweizer Banken in Griechenland viel Geld verdient, aber das sei kein Grund, so der freiheitliche EU-Mandatar, von den Eidgenossen Geld für die Rettung des Euro zu verlangen. „Wie sich nun herausstellt, ist die Entscheidung der Schweizer, am Franken festzuhalten, völlig richtig. Die Schweiz zeigt, wie man in einer zunehmend globalisierten Welt auch ohne Euro erfolgreich sein kann. Schließlich ist ja der Euro und nicht der Schweizer Franken ins Visier des internationalen Spekulantentums geraten. Daher gehen die SPÖ-Forderungen an die Schweiz an der Realität vorbei und schaden darüber hinaus dem außenpolitischen Ansehen Österreichs“, schloß Mölzer.

Ex: http://www.andreas-moelzer.at/

L'euro et ses prochaines aventures

L'euro et ses prochaines aventures

Par Jean-Claude Werrebrouck

Ex: http://fortune.fdesouche.com/

Note au lecteur : la bonne compréhension de ce texte suppose la lecture des articles du 28/01/2010 (L’euro : implosion ou sursaut ?) et du 16/02/2010 (Pour mieux comprendre la crise : déchiffrer l’essence de l’Etat).

La crise grecque et ses prolongements confirment que ce prêt à porter qu’est la monnaie unique est porteur de méfiance chez les passagers clandestins du bateau euro.

Tous veulent conserver les avantages qu’ils se sont progressivement créés dans le bateau : faibles taux d’intérêt, « monnaie de réserve à l’américaine », terrain de jeu plus vaste au profit des entrepreneurs politiques pour certains, exportations « à la chinoise » pour d’autres.

Aucun ne voulant en payer le prix, c’est-à-dire le coût de l’entretien du bateau pour le maintenir à flots : création d’une zone monétaire optimale par vaste édification d’un Etat européen à l’instar de l’Etat fédéral américain, politique de change, contrôle de la banque centrale, etc.

La grande crise des années 2010 devant inéluctablement connaître des développements monétaires, il était logique qu’elle développe d’abord une métastase dans le bateau le plus sensible : l’euro zone.

La solution toute temporaire à la crise grecque et à ses prolongements immédiats, confirme le refus de payer le prix d’une bonne maintenance du bateau.

Avec le temps, il se confirmera que les entrepreneurs politiques français ont préféré une nouvelle fuite en avant, plutôt que d’affronter leurs collègues allemands et d’exiger des solutions plus radicales : quel entrepreneur politique français au pouvoir pourrait aujourd’hui, sans risque, oser vendre sur le marché des idées, outre le « quantitative easing » semble-t-il acquis de haute lutte, la fin de l’indépendance de la BCE, ou la fin de la libre circulation des capitaux ?

De telles propositions développeraient – encore aujourd’hui – un double risque électoral et financier, double risque fonctionnant en boucle. Produits politiques trop innovants aujourd’hui, il faudra pourtant bien les mettre en place pour éviter un demain encore plus ruineux.

Une caisse à outils pour deux crises

Il y a pourtant un progrès significatif entre la solution imaginée pour la Grèce et la solution acquise dans la nuit du 9 au 10 mai.

Dans le premier cas, le dispositif est intergouvernemental et surtout à un coup. C’est dire qu’il faut revoir toute la procédure en cas de besoins nouveaux.

Dans le second, il est possible de passer à la mitrailleuse : constitué essentiellement d’un « Special Purpose Vehicle » de droit privé luxembourgeois, il vient en appui dans un nombre de cas non défini a priori. Il s’agira toujours de prêts conditionnels, à partir d’une matière première qui ne sera plus de la dette des autres Etats prêteurs. Simplement, ces derniers garantissent l’activité du SPV. Si les modalités de fonctionnement ne sont pas encore connues, il faut néanmoins noter que le nouveau dispositif n’est pas encore celui d’une mutualisation de la dette, qui ferait disparaître les dettes souveraines et donc les spreads.

Mais surtout, un progrès sensible figure sous la forme d’une intervention beaucoup plus active de la BCE sur le marché secondaire de la dette, ce que Jean Quatremer appelle une « nuit du 4 août » .

Le nouveau dispositif n’est pas une simple arme de dissuasion : il devra servir sur les futurs champs de bataille annoncés, dès que les taux sur dettes nationales deviendront supérieurs au taux proposé par le SPV. Les besoins futurs pour les PIGS étant très importants, on peut penser que le taux de financement du SPV sera très vite celui qui sera payé par ces derniers.

En théorie, chaque fois qu’une agence nationale de la dette viendra buter sur un taux supérieur à celui qui approvisionne le SPV, l’Etat correspondant changera de fournisseur de liquidités, les classiques Spécialistes en Valeurs du Trésor (SVT) se retournant vers le SPV.

Sauf à considérer que ce dernier fonctionne avec une marge bénéficiaire (comme c’est le cas dans le dispositif grec), il deviendrait très vite un acteur essentiel, avec une spéculation qui pourrait rapidement se déplacer sur lui. Avec le risque de passer de la fragilité en détail à la fragilité en gros… C’est la raison pour laquelle de nombreux freins seront sans doute envisagés, pour éviter un usage trop aisé du dispositif.

Mais le nouveau dispositif ne règle en rien la maintenance du bateau, les trous confectionnés par les passagers clandestins (déficits budgétaires) étant rebouchés avec la matière dégagée par de nouveaux trous.

La fuite en avant continue par conséquent, fuite concernant désormais, dans un même mouvement, le sauvetage des Etats et celui du système financier, beaucoup plus lourdement chargé en dettes publiques qu’en 2008. Le naufrage de l’un, signifiant désormais le naufrage de l’autre.

Le dispositif SPV est toutefois lui-même complété par l’intervention de la BCE sur les marchés secondaires des dettes souveraines, ce que certains commentateurs appellent l’arme nucléaire.

Cette nouvelle fuite en avant a été politiquement préférée à une sortie de la zone de ceux des passagers clandestins les plus touchés par la spéculation. Il est vrai qu’un raisonnement fort simple nous permet de comprendre qu’un passager clandestin quelconque, par exemple la Grèce, ne peut quitter le navire sans faire chavirer l’ensemble.

Un passager clandestin prisonnier

Une sortie précautionneuse de la Zone voudrait que dans une nuit de week-end, un décret annonce le retour de la Drachme, en stipulant que toutes les créances libellées en euros sont converties en Drachmes sur la base d’un taux de 1/1. Cela concernerait tous les éléments de la masse monétaire et le taux de conversion choisi permettrait de ne pas altérer l’expression monétaire des prix internes, tout au moins dans le très court terme.

Par contre, dans le cadre des opérations avec l’étranger, il y a une dévaluation à prévoir, par exemple de moitié. Les titulaires étrangers de dette grecque, comme les nationaux, sont à échéance remboursés en Drachmes. Les bilans privés locaux ne connaissent guère de changement, sauf quand ils sont l’image d’activités faisant intervenir des actifs et passifs en devises étrangères. Selon les cas, actif ou passif, il y a réévaluation ou dévaluation, et donc modification de la structure des patrimoines. La partie de la masse monétaire figurant sous la forme fiduciaire ne constitue qu’un problème fort marginal, et on comprend fort bien que les agents ne se rendront pas à la banque pour convertir leurs derniers euros et chercheront à bénéficier du nouveau taux de change.

La dévaluation, dans un pays très largement déficitaire, constitue une forte baisse du pouvoir d’achat sur les marchandises importées. En retour, la Grèce devient théoriquement plus compétitive sur ses activités traditionnelles. Les mouvements de capitaux sont en théorie favorables, la fuite étant pénalisante et les rapatriements avantageux. Le mouvement des taux est, lui, soumis à probable et significative évolution inverse.

On peut débattre à l’infini de la solution retenue sur le paiement de la dette détenue par des étrangers (80% de la dette grecque est aujourd’hui détenue par des non résidents). Le remboursement en Drachmes ne correspondant pas à une répudiation, si le nouveau taux de change est adopté. Il s’agirait d’ailleurs d’une solution optimale puisque, formellement, il n’y aurait pas, d’une part, restructuration et renégociation de la dette et, d’autre part, maintien insupportable de son poids grâce à sa monétisation. On peut en effet penser que la sortie de la zone est assortie d’une renationalisation de la Banque centrale, laquelle monétise en fonction de critères politiquement déterminés.

Et le critère numéro 1 est évidemment de sortir de l’étau monétaire, donc l’abandon de la rente financière sur la dette. On peut même penser que, dans un souci de respect des contrats et engagements, tout serait entrepris pour amortir le choc de la sortie, sur la dette dont la maturité n’est pas immédiate. Certes, une pression inflationniste s’enclenche en liaison avec une baisse des cours de la dette souveraine, mais il n’est pas interdit de penser que le Trésor rachète lui-même, progressivement, les titres en voie de dépréciation.

A terme, la dette publique, et la rente correspondante, disparaît et peut ne pas se reconstituer, comme le révèle l’expérience de la France d’avant la loi du 3 janvier 1973, laquelle viendra interdire à son Etat tout accès aux crédits de la banque centrale… d’où l’émergence de la problématique de la dette.

Ainsi brièvement exposé, on peut penser que, bien menée, une sortie de la zone, d’un pays étranglé par la dette publique, est économiquement et politiquement jouable. Et si, d’aventure, la compétition entre acheteurs de voix, sur les marchés politiques locaux, devait déboucher sur un retour des déficits, l’inflation et la dépréciation externe viendraient bloquer tout retour de la rente. Au-delà de la redistribution imposée par les entreprises gagnantes sur le marché politique, chacun est davantage rétribué en fonction de sa productivité, et moins en fonction de son positionnement dans l’accès à une rente en voie de disparition.

Le raisonnement ci-dessus exposé, est pourtant très probablement erroné, en raison des risques de contagion qui, dans un premier temps, ferait chuter l’euro, puis affaisserait les cours des dettes souveraines de fragilité comparable, puis mettrait en péril la solvabilité des banques, et par contagion au marché interbancaire mondial, développerait une nouvelle crise systémique… Cette fois, sans le secours d’Etats en défauts.

Il est d’ailleurs probable que la sortie de la zone se produirait en utilisant un taux de change, non plus par rapport à l’euro duquel le divorce est envisagé, mais par rapport au dollar. Ce qui assurerait la rapide disparition de l’euro lui-même. Une sortie individuelle n’est donc guère envisageable.

Dans ce bateau des passagers clandestins, si la solidarité est inexistante, il faut néanmoins tout entreprendre pour éviter la ruine collective. Et donc, la voie de la sortie n’est pas celle qui sera retenue sur les marchés politiques, qui se doivent de découvrir un très complexe compromis assurant la reconduction au pouvoir du plus grand nombre.

C’est dire que les passagers clandestins sont tenus de rester dans un bateau qui, prenant l’eau, continueront dans un mouvement ascendant, à boucher des trous en en créant de nouveaux toujours plus vastes. Besogne d’autant plus épuisante qu’il faut d’un même geste maintenir à flot le bateau voisin : celui du système financier dont le destin est a priori indissolublement lié à celui des Etats.

Des marchés politiques en quête d’innovations de produits

Il est évidemment difficile de décrire les prochaines étapes de la fuite en avant, et comme le dirait Hegel : « nul ne peut sauter par-dessus son temps ».

Pour autant, l’une d’entre elles vient immédiatement à l’esprit : il s’agit de la mutualisation de la dette. Le dispositif construit dans la nuit du 10 mai en constitue les prémisses, puisqu’il n’est pas intergouvernemental et se trouve issu de la commission. Il n’est toutefois pas organe de mutualisation faisant disparaitre la notion même de dette souveraine.

L’étape suivante sera donc la création d’un outil de la dette pour l’ensemble de la zone. Sera ainsi créée une « Agence Zone Euro », sur le modèle de l’Agence France Trésor, laquelle sera chargée de la vente de dette pour l’ensemble de la zone. Si le spread disparait, on peut aussi penser que les taux qui s’y fixeront pour les différentes maturités seront dans un premier temps plus accessibles aux Etats les plus fragiles.

Le problème restera toutefois celui de la clé de répartition et des droits de tirage des divers Etats. Nombreux sont les « think tanks » (Montaigne ; Bruegel ; etc.) qui, d’ores et déjà, proposent aux entrepreneurs politiques de miraculeuses solutions. Avec néanmoins de gros débats sur les marchés politiques, moins entre entreprises politiques de chaque Etat, qu’au niveau international.

Solution d’étape, qui ne résout en aucune façon la crise générale de la dette et laisse entier le heurt de plus en plus frontal entre une rente croissante et des Etats providence qui constituent – pour partie et pour partie seulement – la rente des plus humbles et des accidentés de la crise.

Le périmètre des PIB étant devenu inélastique, la rente qui se goinfre de la dette devra rogner les avantages sociaux obtenus sur les marchés politiques. Et cette inélasticité est a priori davantage le danger des « petits un peu ronds » de la zone. C’est que la rigueur des plans d’ajustement, dans un contexte de crise mondiale, ne laissera que fort peu de chance à une augmentation de la demande globale, comme ce fut le cas dans les années 90 pour des pays comme le Canada ou la Suède.

Ainsi la Grèce qui, au nom de l’ajustement, pour ne prendre qu’un exemple, connaissant une hausse des prix interne impulsée par une hausse de TVA (4 points), verra – en raison de l’élasticité/revenu et prix de la demande – une diminution de la consommation globale. Et diminution aggravée par une élasticité croisée, non négligeable, de la demande souterraine… Ce qui signifiera, dans quelques mois, une aggravation de sa situation. Donc, une augmentation de la part de la rente dans le revenu global. Comme quoi, les entrepreneurs politiques restent dans la fuite en avant.

La solution de la mutualisation de la dette nous fait donc passer de la fragilité en détails, à la fragilité en gros. Avec, toutefois, cette formidable soupape de sécurité qu’est l’évolution du comportement de la BCE, laquelle aura pour effet, en cas de réussite, de maintenir la zone, tout en contenant sans doute partiellement les effets destructeurs de la rente. De quoi prolonger la fuite en avant…

Réussite effectivement temporaire car, le remboursement de la dette étant devenu largement impossible, le bilan de la BCE deviendra très lourd, d’où de nouvelles inquiétudes sur les marchés.

Mais surtout, puisque la lutte contre l’inflation est abandonnée au profit de l’achat massif de titres publics, d’abord nationaux puis ensuite européens – des « Eurobonds » – le différentiel d’inflation ne pourra qu’augmenter et élargir le fossé entre pays de la zone.

Et possiblement une entreprise politique française gagnante…

A terme, des entrepreneurs politiques innovants devront prendre le risque de propositions radicales et reconnaître l’impossibilité, au moins temporaire, de poursuivre une aventure si mal engagée. La cartellisation sur l’euro des entreprises politiques, jusqu’ici constatée tant au niveau national qu’au niveau de la zone, devra inéluctablement disparaître.

Les entreprises politiques françaises se sont historiquement cartellisées les premières pour faire naître l’euro et en tirer beaucoup d’avantages en termes d’offre pléthorique de produits politiques : l’euro minimisait le coût du déficit qui, lui-même, pouvait multiplier les produits contre des voix, à effet de se maintenir au pouvoir ou de conquérir le pouvoir.

L’euro n’étant plus capable de minimiser le coût de la dette, le gonflement de la rente vient vider les rayons de la boutique de l’Etat providence… et donc, ruiner la machine à capter des voix. Le prix à payer est lourd : en termes de fréquentation des marchés politiques (taux d’abstention) et en termes de parts de marché (pollution des petits partis).

Les vrais bénéficiaires de la dette ne sont plus des titulaires d’avantages sociaux à crédit, mais des rentiers majoritairement non résidents. Le nombre des bénéficiaires de l’Etat providence étant plus important, le pacte sur l’euro, devenu intenable, sera rompu, et l’entreprise politique française qui aura le courage d’offrir ce nouveau produit aura beaucoup de chances d’emporter la mise.

Et effectivement, en raison d’une histoire de l’euro qui est spécifiquement française, la probabilité de voir ce produit offert par une entreprise française est grande. Ce qui ne veut pas dire qu’il est une promenade de santé, puisqu’il passe par un conflit avec la quasi-totalité des entreprises politiques allemandes (démocratie chrétienne, sociale démocratie, verts, libéraux démocrates) et qu’il suppose de grandes capacités de communication vis-à-vis des marché. Mais, en cas de réussite, cette entreprise s’inscrira dans l’Histoire.

La suite du scénario est plus simple et se trouve déjà dans les pistes de réflexion de nombreux think tanks, universités, voire ministères… Il s’agit généralement de séparer les « grands minces » des « petits un peu ronds » et de retrouver une certaine homogénéité monétaire.

Concrètement, on trouverait un euromark avec l’Allemagne, la Hollande et l’Autriche, et un eurofranc avec la France et nombre de pays de l’Europe du sud. Un taux de change revisitable permettrait à chacun des deux groupes de forger une politique économique adaptée, avec, en particulier, la disparition relative d’une rente devenue, en raison du mode de fonctionnement des marchés politiques, économiquement et socialement intolérable.

Un tel scénario signifierait de grands bouleversements dans les méthodes de construction ou reconstruction de la maison Europe, dans un contexte qui restera celui de la grande crise des années 2010, mais dont la gestion pourra s’inspirer d’une innovation de produit politique majeure.

La crise des années 2010

jeudi, 20 mai 2010

Il mito dell'amicizia USA-Europa

Il mito dell'amicizia USA-Europa

di Gianni Petrosillo

Fonte: Conflitti e strategie [scheda fonte] 


Nessun problema è mai stato risolto semplicemente aggirandone la causa. Questa è invece la strategia che l’UE sta adottando per parare i colpi degli avversari dopo l’attacco speculativo contro la Grecia e la stessa moneta unica europea.
Mentre nessun analista mette in dubbio che la Grecia non sia stata virtuosa nel controllare le proprie spese, in pochi ammettono però che Atene è stata attirata in una trappola preparata dalle principali marchant banks americane e dalle Agenzie di rating, le quali adesso la colpiscono a morte con dei pretesti. Il disegno che questi soggetti stanno portando a compimento per destabilizzare l’area euro è condotto con le armi della guerra finanziaria ma la matrice del suo sviluppo è di tipo politico.
Chi c’è dietro questo complotto? Direttamente gli speculatori come gli hedge fund che già scommettono contro Papandreou e il suo governo. Tuttavia, se non si valuta questo come il vero punto focale delle manovre speculative in atto si coglie più facilmente che l’obiettivo principale è quello di scuotere gli anelli deboli dell’eurogruppo per nascondere i disagi e i default di Stati ben più grandi e potenti, come il Regno Unito e gli Usa.
Il primo ha già dichiarato che non parteciperà al fondo d'urgenza pensato a livello europeo per aiutare i Paesi della zona euro in difficoltà. La ragione ufficiale è che il regno di Sua Maestà la Regina non fa parte di eurolandia per cui non vuole riparare i danni che non ha causato, quella sottesa è invece di tipo logico: il Governo inglese non vuole contribuire a puntellare una situazione che deve invece precipitare per salvare le sue prerogative nell’attuale sistema economico globale.
Le bombe ad orologeria dell’economia mondiale stanno pertanto altrove, in quelle nazioni che hanno dominato l’attuale governance finanziaria internazionale per decenni e che perdono adesso terreno a causa dello squilibrarsi degli assetti mondiali in ambito geopolitico.
La Grecia è un diversivo che ci costerà caro pur non essendo le sue finanze in una condizione così disastrosa. Ma il momento storico in cui questo default è stato fatto deflagrare la dice lunga sulla posta in palio. Tutto è cominciato con gli articoli di quei botoli dei giornali economici inglesi, cani rabbiosi che si scagliano contro i paesi membri dell’UE per obnubilare i guasti di casa loro. Il crollo della Grecia è frutto di questa  cospirazione che ha giocato anche su fattori psicologici, in una fase in cui la preoccupazione generale è la porta di entrata nel caos sistemico. Del resto, i farabutti della speculazione hanno prima circondato la preda, l’hanno disarmata, privata dei mezzi per respingere gli attacchi, ed assicuratisi che nessuno sarebbe  celermente andato in suo soccorso (l'Ue) l’hanno azzannata come vampiri. Dopodiché l’orizzonte del loro assedio si è ovviamente potuto allargare perché per salvare il dollaro e la sterlina ci vuol altro che la piccola Grecia, lo scopo è la debilitazione stessa dell’euro. Anche senza voler ragionare in questo momento sul dato storico sistemico sono di certo Il Regno Unito e gli Stati Uniti i paesi in più grave situazione d'indebitamento privato e pubblico. Se la zona europea si fosse mantenuta salda e fortificata grazie alle sue politiche economiche morigerate (forse fin troppo!) chi avrebbe comprato i T-Bond americani? Chi avrebbe permesso agli statunitensi e agli inglesi di rifinanziare il proprio debito per  svariate centinaia di miliardi essendo la liquidità così scarsa? In questo contesto, dove non si può dimostrare con i numeri la propria solidità finanziaria, bisogna far sprofondare gli altri, metterli in ginocchio e privarli di qualsiasi credibilità. Dopo la Grecia, che ha aperto le danze degli stati insolventi, questi ladri di futuro altrui si accaniranno contro Spagna, Portagallo e forse anche Italia. Per prevenire ulteriori problemi occorre far crollare il mito dell’amicizia tra Europa e Usa e dare al Vecchio Continente una prospettiva geostrategica con nuove alleanze (politiche ed economiche) con i giganti emergenti dell'est (Russia e Cina). Se si continuerà invece a battere la stolida antica strada l’Europa verrà quasi sicuramente risucchiata nel vortice della dominanza statunitense, senza nemmeno i vantaggi di una volta. L’epoca è cambiata, si capisca almeno questo, gli amici di un tempo hanno un volto sempre più aggressivo e meno rassicurante.

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mercredi, 19 mai 2010

Il nuovo accordo russo-ucraino: un'interpretazione geopolitica

Il nuovo accordo russo-ucraino: un’interpretazione geopolitica

di Alessio Bini

Fonte: eurasia [scheda fonte]


* Alessio Bini è dottore in Relazioni internazionali (Università di Bologna)
Tante altre notizie su www.ariannaeditrice.it

Il nuovo accordo russo-ucraino: un’interpretazione geopolitica

I fatti in breve

Il Presidente Viktor Janukovič ha mantenuto la parola data: durante la campagna elettorale presidenziale aveva promesso, in caso di vittoria, di condurre le relazioni con il potente vicino russo fuori dalla situazione di stallo che si era venuta a creare durante la presidenza di Viktor Juščenko. La promessa è stata mantenuta e lo scorso 21 aprile si è concretizzata in un nuovo trattato tra i due Paesi. In quell’occasione, il Presidente della Federazione Russa Dmitrij Medvedev ed il suo omologo ucraino Viktor Janukovič si sono incontrati nella città Kharkiv, situata nella parte orientale dell’Ucraina, per stipulare un accordo che segna una nuova ed importante tappa nelle relazioni tra Russia ed Ucraina.

I cosiddetti accordi di Kharkiv sono caratterizzati dalla volontà di tenere unite questioni militari, strategiche ed economiche.

Il trattato ha una dimensione geopolitica che non può e non deve essere sottovalutata. Mosca ottiente un’estensione di 25 anni (vale a dire fino al 2042 con la possibilità di rimanere fino al 2047) del contratto di affitto delle infrastrutture portuali a Sebastopol, città in cui è ormeggiata la sua flotta del Mar Nero mentre Kiev ottiene come contropartita un aumento per quell’affitto (circa 1.8 miliardi di dollari all’anno) e una riduzione per 10 anni del prezzo del gas russo pari a 100 dollari ogni 1000 metri cubi o, nel caso in cui il prezzo dell’oro blu dovesse scendere sotto i 330 dollari ogni 1000 metri cubi, uno sconto del 30%. Poichè i vertici ucraini hanno già fatto sapere che gradirebbero ricevere l’affitto della base di Sebastopol sotto forma di gas, l’intesa è stata ribattezzata ‘gas for fleet deal’.

 


Questo accordo è paragonabile, per importanza geopolitica, a quello stipulato nel maggio 1997 tra Eltsin e Kučma al fine di mettere termine al contenzioso nato dalle discussioni sul futuro della ex flotta sovietica ancorata a Sebastopol (flotta che contava allora circa 835 vascelli). In quell’occasione la Russia ottenne, tramite contratto di affitto di durata ventennale (con scadenza 2017), la gestione delle infrastrutture portuali cittadine. Curiosamente, ma solo per coloro che non hanno molta dimestichezza con le questioni russo-ucraine, anche allora entrò nelle discussioni la questione del gas: infatti l’Ucraina accettò di trasferire alla Russia buona parte delle navi ottenute dall’accordo di spartizione al fine di coprire parte del debito che si era accumulato nel corso degli anni. Senza alcun intento malizioso, vogliamo ricordare come quelli fossero anni non sospetti: infatti l’Ucraina riceveva gas ad un prezzo veramente basso e Vladimir Putin, accusato oggi da molti di usare con spietato cinismo l’arma delle risorse emergetiche russe al fine di soggiogare i territori ex sovietici, era un personaggio sconosciuto ai più.

I rispettivi parlamenti hanno già ratificato il trattato migliorando il clima tra i due Paesi e rendendo la strada verso altri accordi su questioni strategiche quali l’industria aeronautica e la cooperazione nucleare civile molto meno impervia. A tal proposito è degno di nota quanto affermato da Kostjantyn Gryščenko, attuale Ministro degli esteri ucraino, che parlando della imminente visita del Presidente Russo a Kiev dice di aspettarsi non solo gesti simbolici da parte di Medvedev ma soprattutto concreti passi verso l’implementazione di progetti volti a cementare le relazioni bilaterali in sfere importanti della vita politica ed economica dei due Paesi. Tutto ciò permette alla Russia di mantenere e rafforzare la propria presenza in Ucraina, Paese ritenuto vitale per la propria sicurezza contro i tentativi più o meno dichiarati di accerchiamento da parte dell’Alleanza Atlantica.

Nelle loro dichiarazioni ufficiali entrambi i governi sostengono che l’accordo sia vantaggioso per entrambi e si richiama l’attenzione sui guadagni di natura strategica da parte della Federazione Russa e su quelli di natura economica da parte dell’Ucraina. Si parla infatti di questo accordo come un esempio di win-win situation.

Non è certo nostra intenzione negare che entrambi gli Stati ottengono dei risultati concreti ed importanti, tuttavia, concentrando la nostra attenzione sugli aspetti più propriamente geopolitici ci sembra che dal tavolo dei negoziati emerga una realtà differente e meno bilanciata, una situazione caratterizzata dalla presenza di un ‘vincitore’, cioè Mosca, e di uno ‘sconfitto’, vale a dire Kiev. Riteniamo che tale situazione abbia origine dalla differenza esistente tra la Federazione Russa, uno Stato dotato di una dirigenza che persegue con una certa coerenza gli interessi geopolitici del Paese e l’Ucraina, uno Stato che fin dalla sua indipendenza sembra incapace di esprimere una dirigenza autorevole ed in grado di tracciare prima e promuovere poi gli interessi nazionali e che per questo condanna il proprio Paese a giocare il ruolo di perno piuttosto che di attore geopolitico.

Fin dal principio ci sembra corretto e doveroso chiarire che l’accordo stipulato a Kharkiv il 21 aprile scorso non è ancora stato reso pubblico (e forse non lo sarà mai), di conseguenza l’analisi geopolitica che ci proponiamo di elaborare si baserà, da un lato, su ciò che i protagonisti hanno reso pubblico di tale accordo (vale a dire informazioni utili ed importanti) e, dall’altro, sulle tendenze di medio e lungo periodo che ci sembra caratterizzino le relazioni tra i due Paesi.

 

Perchè la Russia vince

 

Dall’accordo stipulato qualche settimana fa a Kharkiv la Federazione Russa ottiene un risultato molto importante, vale a dire la permanenza nel porto si Sebastopol della propria Flotta del mar Nero. L’importanza di questo risultato è difficilmente sottovalutabile e riposa su molti fattori. Innanzittutto il prolungamento dell’affitto ha un significato identitario: volenti o nolenti, il volto di Sebastopol è stato modellato dal popolo russo che ha fondato la città poco dopo la conquista militare del Khanato tataro di Crimea nel 1783 e che vi ha lasciato un’impronta indelebile. A sua volta, la città ed i gesti di eroismo e di sacrificio compiuti dai russi in quel preciso luogo sono entrati a pieno titolo nella mitologia e nella memoria collettiva di questo popolo. Una volta preso atto di tutto ciò si capisce perchè gli abitanti di Sebastopol dichiarino orgogliosamente la propria identità russa e vedano nella Flotta non uno strumento al servizio di politiche neo-imperialiste russe, come qualche commentatore occidentale sostiene, bensì un simbolo in cui identificarsi e di cui essere orgogliosi.

Con molta probabilità la partenza della Flotta nel 2017, anno in cui i russi avrebbero dovuto lasciare Sebastopol secondo quanto pattuito nell’accordo siglato nel 1997, sarebbe stato un vero e proprio choc per l’intera nazione, un evento da evitare a tutti i costi!

Sia chiaro che quanto appena detto non significa che la città, o peggio ancora l’intera penisola di Crimea, debba tornare sotto la sovranità di Mosca, come molti politici e intellettuali russi pensano, ma chiarire come in quell’angolo di mondo l’identità russa sia vissuta come un fatto naturale e che, di conseguenza, ogni tentativo di negare ciò da parte di molti, nazionalisti ucraini in primis, non può che generare tensioni che indeboliscono l’Ucraina e che si irradiano su tutta la regione del mar Nero, una regione importante per la stabilità e la pace mondiale.

Altrettanto importante è il significato strategico della permanenza della Flotta russa a Sebastopol: sebbene della temibile Flotta sovietica e dei suoi 800 e più vascelli rimanga solo il ricordo (e per molti, la nostalgia), i russi a Sebastopol mantengono ancora un dispositivo militare credibile e temibile composto da circa 50 vascelli da guerra e 12 di supporto.

La Flotta russa è più potente di tutte le flotte degli altri Paesi rivieraschi messe assieme e la potenza dei suoi vascelli più importanti potrebbe permetterle di ottenere la vittoria su nemici più potenti.

Tutto ciò permette alla Russia di adempiere ad un triplice compito ritenuto irrinunciabile:

 

  • garantire la sicurezza dei suoi confini meridionali, ritenuti da Mosca un’area altamente instabile e foriera di problemi;
  • mantenere un controllo ed una presenza attiva nel bacino del mar Nero al fine di scoraggiare i progetti politici antagonisti sostenuti da altri (Stati e/o Alleanze) e proteggere i propri corridoi energetici esistenti ed in via di progettazione;
  • mantenere una posizione ben salda da cui partire per proiettare la propria potenza nel Mar Mediterraneo e nell’Oceano Indiano, bacini su cui Mosca non nasconde la propria volontà di giocare le proprie carte;

 

Mosca è perfettamente cosciente del fatto che la Flotta del Mar Nero sta diventando sempre più obsoleta (basti dire che è ancora in servizio una nave varata nel lontano 1915) e necessita di investimenti consistenti e mirati. Secondo il parere autorevole di molti esperti di affari militari russi, nei prossimi anni la Flotta dovrebbe ricevere, al fine di sostituire i vascelli più datati, circa 50 navi da guerra di nuova generazione. Se tale ricambio avverrà dipenderà da molti fattori, soprattutto di natura economica.

Quella degli investimenti è quindi una questione strategica centralissima da cui dipenderà la futura credibilità navale russa. Detto ciò, vogliamo comunque ribadire che l’aver mantenuto la base a Sebastopol è un successo strategico indiscutibile che ci mostra come la Russia abbia compreso a fondo il principio secondo cui la geopolitica non ammette vuoti. Nel corso della sua storia Mosca ha più volte toccato con mano tale principio, alcune volte sfruttandolo a proprio favore altre volte subendolo, spesso con conseguenze drammatiche (l’avanzamento della NATO verso l’Europa Orientale durante la fase di debolezza che la Russia ha attraversato negli anni novanta è un esempio che i russi non dimenticheranno tanto facilmente). Nel caso di Sebastopol, la Russia ha capito che se la Flotta russa avesse dovuto lasciare la città nel 2017 la posizione russa nel Mar Nero si sarebbe indebolita a dismisura portando ad un arretramento fino alla costa orientale del bacino. Non solo, dal momento che l’Ucraina non avrebbe avuto le risorse necessarie da investire per subentrare in modo autorevole con la propria marina a quella russa, si sarebbe aperto un vuoto (una vera e propria finestra di opportunità) che altri Stati, o Alleanze, avrebbero riempito tempestivamente al fine di conquistare una posizione che fino a quel momento la presenza russa gli aveva impedito di ottenere.

 

Last but not least, bisogna prendere in considerazione il significato economico della permanenza della Flotta russa a Sebastopol. Anche in questo caso la Russia sembra proprio aver riportato una vittoria. Come il Presidente Medvedev ha ammesso il prezzo pagato per il rinnovo dell’affitto delle strutture portuali a Sebastopol non è poi così alto. La Russia pagherà ogni anno all’Ucraina 1.8 miliardi di dollari, pagamento che, come già accennato, avverrà non in contanti ma sotto forma di gas.

Inoltre bisogna prendere anche in considerazione altri costi che con l’accordo la Russia non è obbligata a sostenere. Infatti, potendo lasciare il grosso della propria Flotta del Mar Nero a Sebastopol la Russia non è obbligata a fare investimenti massicci al fine di sviluppare la base russa a Novorossijsk e a trovare una soluzione abitativa adeguata per l’equipaggio che attualmente vive a Sebastopol. Chiaramente, poter risparmiare in un momento complesso e difficile come quello in cui ci troviamo a vivere è di per se un elemento di cui andare orgogliosi. Non solo, quel denaro risparmiato può essere usato per investimenti più urgenti come il rinnovo della Flotta. Tutto questo, combinato con la valenza strategica della permanenza a Sebastopol di cui abbiamo detto sopra ci fa capire perchè quella russa è una vera e propria vittoria.

Se veniamo poi alla questione dello sconto sul prezzo del gas applicato dalla Russia all’Ucraina capiamo anche in questo ambito che la Russia non ha dovuto compiere rinunce dolorose, anzi. Come detto, la Russia si impegna a ridurre per 10 anni il prezzo del gas russo per una somma pari a 100 dollari ogni 1000 metri cubi o, nel caso in cui il prezzo dell’oro blu dovesse scendere sotto i 330 dollari ogni 1000 metri cubi, uno sconto del 30%. Qualcuno potrebbe vedere in questo sconto un’abdicazione della Russia (e di GAZPROM) al principio più volte ribadito negli ultimi anni di voler innalzare i prezzi di vendita del gas russo agli ex Paesi sovietici al fine di raggiungere i livelli di mercato ed un’ennesima riprova della strumentalità con cui Mosca usa le proprie risorse energetiche. A ben vedere le cose stanno in modo diverso: il gesto compiuto da Mosca, che il Cremlino ha dipinto come un gesto magnanimo seppur costoso volto ad aiutare concretamente un Paese amico ad uscire dalla crisi, in realtà ha avuto un costo relativamente contenuto. Vediamo di capire perchè: la crisi ha ridotto i consumi in Europa e le compagnie europee hanno chiesto e ottenuto di rivedere al ribasso i prezzi concordati al punto che, ad esempio, alla fine di aprile il Regno Unito pagava 183 dollari ogni mille metri cubi di gas e la Germania 210. Di conseguenza lo sconto che la Russia applica all’Ucraina rende comunque la bolletta di Kiev più costosa rispetto a quella degli acquirenti dell’Unione Europea. Quindi Mosca compie un gesto importante, soprattutto per la propria immagine pubblica, che è costato molto meno di quanto in realtà voglia far credere poichè quello che viene definito uno sconto non fa altro che portare il prezzo del gas venduto all’Ucraina vicino ai livelli pagati dai Paesi europei durante questo periodo di flessione dei consumi.

In conclusione, ci sembra che la Russia stia dimostrando di essere un Paese in grado di perseguire i propri obiettivi geopolitici in modo calibrato ed intelligente, cosa che, come presto cercheremo di dimostrare, l’Ucraina sembra incapace di fare.

 

Perchè l’Ucraina perde

 

L’Ucraina è un Paese che si trova ad affrontare una fase decisamente critica della propria esistenza come Stato indipendente. Le difficoltà economiche e la crisi politica in corso ormai da anni si intrecciano senza soluzione di continuità creando una situazione che in certi momenti sembra essere fuori controllo. A farne le spese sono la popolazione, messa all’angolo dalle ristrettezze economiche, e la credibilità del Paese, incapace di proporsi come interlocutore affidabile e soggetto geopolitico attivo che riesce a promuovere i propri interessi nelle relazioni internazionali. Sembra evidente come in questo momento la credibilità del Paese agli occhi di molti Stati sia abbastanza bassa, ed il comportamento defilato dell’Unione Europea e degli USA ne sembrano la riprova.

La nuova amministrazione sta cercando di dare una svolta alla politica interna ed estera del Paese rispetto al vicolo cieco in cui l’avevano condotta il Presidente ed il Primo Ministro precedenti. La volontà di riallacciare i rapporti con la Russia dopo la breve e fallimentare parentesi arancione fa parte di questo progetto. Questo obiettivo ci appare giusto, doveroso e sensato, visto e considerato che la Russia gioca un ruolo importantissimo nelle faccende ucraine (e vice versa). Ciò che invece non ci convince è il modo con cui l’Ucraina si propone e si muove nella politica internazionale. Sebbene sia più che doveroso concedere al nuovo Presidente il beneficio del dubbio, le speranze che egli sappia dare una svolta decisiva al sistema ucraino ci sembrano molto basse. La spiegazione di ciò riposa nel fatto che Janukovič è, in un certo senso, parte del problema (come del resto chi lo ha preceduto) che affligge il Paese e non certo la soluzione. Non dobbiamo mai dimenticare che il potere di Janukovič si basa su una rete di interessi politici, economici e criminali che è totalmente disinteressata delle sorti del Paese e che pensa solo ed esclusivamente al proprio tornaconto personale. Fin dall’indipendenza le istituzioni ucraine sono state così deboli e delegittimate che hanno finito per essere facile preda degli interessi particolari.

Venendo al caso concreto, ci preme ribadire che l’Ucraina detiene una delle reti di distribuzione del gas più sviluppate al mondo e la sua importanza nell’assicurare la sicurezza energetica del Continente europeo è così grande che i progetti russi volti a scavalcare Kiev, cioè il Nord ed il South Stream, non impediranno che il 50% del gas russo continui a transitarvi (attualmente ve ne transita più del 70%). Ora questa vera e propria gallina dalle uova d’oro nelle mani degli ucraini ha un problema: è obsoleta e necessita dunque di investimenti volti a modernizzarla e, perchè no, espanderla. Investimenti che devono anche combinarsi a massicci sforzi volti a rendere il settore economico del Paese meno inefficiente ed affamato di energia. Purtroppo però, ad oggi, non è stato fatto nulla degno di nota ed il gas non è visto come un patrimonio strategico di cui il Paese dovrebbe servirsi al fine di rafforzare la propria posizione geopolitica in un’area del mondo abbastanza problematica bensì continua ad essere trattato come un settore in cui tuffarsi al fine di speculare e guadagnarsi un posto d’onore tra le fila delle elite parassitarie di questo Paese. Ci sembra che l’ultimo accordo stipulato tra Russia ed Ucraina il 21 aprile non faccia altro che confermare quanto appena detto. Vediamo di capire perchè. L’Ucraina si è seduta al tavolo delle trattative al fine di ottenere benefici economici, visto e considerato che la situazione del Paese era ed è tutt’altro che rosea. Poichè la nuova amministrazione non era (e tuttora non è) intenzionata a tagliare la spesa per i servizi sociali (che anzi ha contribuito ad innalzare) ed il Fondo Monetario Internazionale non era pronto a riprendere le discussioni per lo scongelamento dell’ultima tranche di 16,4 miliardi di dollari di un prestito concesso al Paese (la causa del congelamento fu proprio l’innalzamento della spesa sociale proposta dal Partito delle Regioni ed approvata dal parlamento durante il premierato di Julia Timošenko che avrebbe sforato il tetto imposto del 6% al deficit pubblico), l’amministrazione Janukovič individua nella diminuzione del prezzo del gas russo l’unica possibile soluzione a cui il Paese può guardare al fine di risolvere i problemi economici, almeno a breve termine. Dalle trattative tra i due governi scaturisce l’accordo di Kharkiv del 21 aprile.

Ora, ciò che ci porta a dire che l’Ucraina è uscita sconfitta dal tavolo dei negoziati sta nel fatto che riteniamo abbia ottenuto qualcosa, uno sconto sul gas in cambio del prolungamento dell’affitto della base di Sebastopol ai russi, che poteva essere raggiunto senza una concessione così grande ed importante. Come abbiamo già detto nel paragrafo precedente, i Paesi europei hanno rinegoziato il prezzo del gas con la Russia ed alcuni pagano un prezzo anche inferiore rispetto a quello pagato dagli ucraini.

Gli ucraini si sono detti pienamente soddisfatti dicendo di essere riusciti a portare a casa un ottimo accordo che permetterà all’Ucraina di risparmiare 3-4 miliardi di dollari all’anno e che ha permesso l’adozione del bilancio (approvato lo stesso giorno in cui il Parlamento ucraino, in una seduta burrascosa in cui è volato di tutto, dalle uova alle bombe carta, ha ratificato l’accordo con la Russia) che permette di tenere il deficit sotto al 6% e permette quindi di riaprire le discussioni con il FMI.

A ben vedere non c’è molto di cui essere soddisfatti, perchè, a nostro avviso:

  • tenendo conto dei tagli ai prezzi fatti dalla Russia ai Paesi Europei a causa della diminuzione dei consumi non vi è nessuno vero sconto sul prezzo del gas e Kiev avrebbe potuto ottenere la cifra pattuita senza fare una concessione come quella fatta su Sebastopol;
  • non è detto che il FMI sia disposto a pagare l’ultima tranche all’Ucraina visto e considerato che l’accordo, che permette al deficit pubblico di scendere matematicamente sotto la soglia del 6%, non rimuove chiaramente le cause che hanno portato all’esplosione dei conti pubblici ucraine, cause che vanno ricercate nelle mancate riforme che le elite politiche non vogliono intraprendere e nella corruzione dilagante. Si tratterà poi di vedere se sussistono le condizioni politiche per il pagamento dell’ultima tranche e qui molto dipenderà da Washington;
  • Poichè riteniamo che la permanenza della Flotta russa del Mar Nero a Sebastopol sia un elemento di stabilità per l’Ucraina, almeno fino a quando non sarà pronta a subentrare alla Russia in modo autorevole e a rivendicare un ruolo di primo piano per sè nel Mar Nero, riteniamo che l’aver prolungato il contratto ai russi è una scelta saggia, tuttavia, a nostro avviso, non lo sono nè i modi, nè i tempi;

 

Riprendendo il terzo punto al fine di approfondire meglio la questione, riteniamo che l’Ucraina avrebbe dovuto:

 

  • chiedere una contropartita reale, e non accontentarsi di uno sconto fittizio;
  • prendere più tempo, fosse anche pochi mesi in più, per arrivare ad una modifica della Costituzione al fine di prevedere lo stazionamento di truppe straniere sul proprio territorio in modo da evitare logoranti sedute parlamentari in cui governo e opposizione si lanciano accuse reciproche dimenticando i veri problemi del Paese;
  • prolungare il contratto d’affitto per un numero di anni uguale (e non superiore come accade adesso dove i russi offrono uno ‘sconto’ sul gas per dieci anni e gli ucraini concedono la base di Sebastopol per ben venticinque anni) al numero di anni per cui i russi si impegnano a elargire benefici;

  • chiedere precise garanzie nel caso in cui la Russia entri in guerra e la sua base di Sebastopol diventi un bersaglio lecito;

 

Detto ciò vogliamo anche ribadire che l’obiettivo di una politica estera ucraina degna di questo nome non è e non può essere quello di sfidare e contenere la Russia, bensì quello di avere con essa rapporti amichevoli, mutualmente fruttuosi e bilanciati. Se questo non accade significa che manca nel Paese una dirigenza in grado di comprendere quali siano gli interessi del Paese e come promuoverli nell’arena internazionale. Nel caso specifico, l’attuale accordo non farà altro che rafforzare ed arricchire gli oligarchi che sostengono il Presidente e che si erano già arricchiti a discapito della popolazione e degli interessi nazionali. Inoltre, il fatto che si siano levate voci, e non solo dall’opposizione, che per un attimo hanno messo in discussione il trattato appena ratificato, non fa altro che alimentare il sospetto, purtroppo sostenuto da molti fatti, che l’Ucraina sia un Paese incapace di rispettare gli accordi presi. Questo chiaramente intacca la credibilità del Paese.

E’ chiaro che quando un Paese con le idee confuse e una dirigenza inesistente come l’Ucraina si confronta con un Paese come la Russia, dove esiste una guida molto più consapevole di quali obiettivi il Paese deve raggiungere, non può aversi un risultato equilibrato.

 

 

 

 

Conclusione

 

Poichè l’argomento di discussione di questa nostra breve analisi è stata la dimensione geopolitica del nuovo accordo russo-ucraino sulla Flotta e sul gas stipulato in aprile non abbiamo ampliato la nostra discussione alle altre questioni chiave che caratterizzano le relazioni tra i due Paesi; se lo avessimo fatto avremmo comunque rafforzato e non indebolito la tesi centrale della nostra analisi e cioè che dall’accordo tra Russia e Ucraina la seconda esce sconfitta a causa delle proprie debolezze interne e dell’incapacità della dirigenza nazionale, passata e presente, di intraprendere i passi necessari volti a rafforzare la posizione del proprio Paese nell’arena internazionale.

Qualcuno pensa che l’Ucraina dovrebbe rafforzarsi al fine di scrollarsi di dosso il giogo russo, ma questa idea è sbagliata e profondamente pericolosa per la stabilità ucraina visto e considerato che la Russia gioca e continuerà a giocare in ogni caso un ruolo chiave per la politica, l’economia e la sicurezza ucraina. La verità è che Kiev deve rafforzare il proprio sistema interno, cominciando dalle riforme economiche, al fine di poter proiettare e tutelare i propri interessi nell’arena internazionale e di diventare un interlocutore affidabile per tutti, Russia in primis. Nonostante ciò che pensano molti, Mosca non sa che farsene di un Paese debole, in preda ad un’instabilità cronica ed inaffidabile: crediamo al contrario che il Cremlino abbia bisogno di un interlocutore affidabile che sappia avanzare le proprie richieste e difenderle in modo credibile, un Paese che dopo aver sottoscritto un impegno poi lo rispetta fino in fondo. L’incapacità ucraina di essere un interlocutore del genere danneggia tuttti: l’Unione Europea, la Russia e soprattutto la stessa Ucraina che lentamente ed inesorabilmente perde credibilità e la capacità di essere un soggetto geopolitico.

Nessuno dovrebbe sorprendersi dunque se la Russia, con le sue idee (tendenzialmente) chiare ed i suoi obiettivi geopolitici coerenti ottiene delle vittorie geopolitiche a scapito dell’Ucraina, come quella verificatasi in occasione dell’accordo di Kharkiv, una vittoria che è destinata a pesare sugli equilibri regionali per molti decenni a venire.

 

 

Entretien avec R. Steuckers sur les événements du Daghestan et les attentats de Moscou

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Archives de SYNERGIES EUROPEENNES - 1999

 

Entretien de Robert Steuckers sur les événements du Daghestan et les attentats de Moscou

 

Propos recueillis par Robert KORTENHORST

 

Robert KORTENHORST : En septembre 1999, de spectaculaires attentats ont frappé la Russie en plein cœur : des immeubles ont volé en éclats, il y a eu des dizaines de morts et des centaines de blessés. Les attentats sont-ils liés, comme on l’a dit, à la rébellion islamiste, partie de la Tchétchénie vers le Daghestan ?

 

Robert STEUCKERS : Je voudrais d’abord rendre un hommage ému à toutes les victimes innocentes de cette abominable tragédie. Ensuite, je veux déplorer ici le manque d’humanité de nos médias qui se disent « humanistes » face à cette abomination. Voilà des victimes du terrorisme aveugle qui ne valent apparemment pas une larme de la part des professionnels de l’indignation. Certes, ces victimes sont russes et européennes, donc elles sont, sans doute, a priori coupables de quelque chose, qu’elles ignorent… On oublie que la révolte islamiste tchétchène n’a pas été spontanée, il y a quelques années, mais qu’elle rencontrait un objectif géopolitique et géo-économique bien clair : contrôler l’acheminement des pétroles et des gaz de la Caspienne qui transitent par des oléoducs traversant cette république autonome non russe de la Fédération de Russie. Les intérêts américains veulent que ces matières premières passent par l'Azerbaïdjan et la Turquie, qu’elles arrivent dans des ports méditerranéens turcs (Ceyhan), afin que les armateurs occidentaux (pour la plupart anglo-saxons) en assurent la répartition dans le monde. Les Etats-Unis ne souhaitent pas que ces pétroles et gaz passent par la Russie, la Mer Noire et arrivent en Europe par le trafic fluvial sur le Danube. Dans ce cas, le commerce international du pétrole leur échapperait complètement à moyen terme. L’allié turc est suffisamment faible sur le plan structurel pour demeurer totalement inféodé aux intérêts américains. Ce n’est pas le cas de la Russie, de la Serbie et de l’Allemagne, puissances en mesure de contrôler le Danube, la Mer Noire, les oléoducs nord-caucasiens et la Caspienne.

 

Quant au Daghestan, c’est un territoire traversé du Sud au Nord par un grand oléoduc qui draine le pétrole vers la Tchétchénie et la côte russe de la Mer Noire via une bifurcation vers l’Ouest, d’une part, vers la Volga qui mène à Moscou et au cœur de la Russie, d’autre part. En lisant la carte, on comprend tout !

 

Ensuite, les conflits de ces récentes années et de ces derniers mois sont étroitement liés, ce que ne nous disent pas les médias aux ordres. Je voudrais rappeler ici :

Que l’Allemagne a réalisé, il y a deux ou trois ans, un très vieux projet qui remonte à Charlemagne. Le système fluvial du Main et du Rhin (donc de la Meuse et de l’Escaut par le biais des Canaux Wilhelmina,  Juliana et Albert) est désormais lié par un canal à très grand gabarit au système danubien. Une voie fluviale très importante, quasi aussi importante que la Méditerranée, traverse tout le continent européen, de la Mer du Nord (Rotterdam) à la Roumanie (Constantza). Pour les Etats-Unis et l’Angleterre, puissances maritimes, c’est un défi considérable, un enjeu vital. A terme, sur le théâtre européen, l’exploitation de ce système fluvial, signifie le ressac inéluctable des armateurs et des flottes commerciales maritimes anglaises et américaines (ou battant pavillons de complaisance, panaméen ou libérien). L’Allemagne est un partenaire de l’OTAN trop important pour qu’on l’attaque de front. Il fallait briser la synergie fluviale ailleurs : la Serbie était le maillon faible, parce qu’on pouvait plus aisément la démoniser. L’objectif principal de la guerre de ce printemps était justement de détruire les ponts du Danube à hauteur de Belgrade et de Novi Sad, ce qui bloque le trafic danubien, en direction de l’Autriche et de l’Allemagne en provenance de la Mer Noire, en direction de l’Ukraine et de la Russie en provenance d’Europe centrale. Au sein des Balkans, la Croatie est également perdante, puisque ses fleuves (la Drave et la Save) sont des affluents du Danube, de même que la Grèce, qui reçoit bon nombre de biens d’importation via le Danube et les voies routières et ferroviaires Belgrade-Salonique. Toute l’Europe est victime de la Guerre du Kosovo : je veux dire l’Europe honnête qui travaille et produit, l’Europe des bons pères de famille qui élèvent leurs enfants et veulent leur donner un avenir, pas l’Europe des manipulateurs médiatiques, des mafieux imbriqués dans les processus de décision politique, des dirigeants falots et irresponsables qui la dirigent, des faux intellectuels qui s’érigent en professeurs de morale, mais accordent un blanc-seing à des crimes aussi abominables que ceux qui viennent d’être perpétrés à Moscou.

 

Les guerres entre l’Azerbaïdjan et l’Arménie, la guerre de Tchétchénie et du Daghestan, la guerre du Kosovo et la problématique kurde en Turquie orientale sont étroitement liées. On peut dire sans grande exagération que c’est une troisième guerre mondiale. La révolte islamique tchétchéno-daghestanaise est un prétexte pseudo-religieux et pseudo-nationaliste : l’enjeu, c’est le pétrole de la Caspienne.

 

RK : Doit-on craindre des attentats en Belgique comme à Moscou ?

 

RS : Pas directement. Car l’armée belge n’est nullement en mesure d’intervenir sur la route du pétrole, à l’instar de l’armée russe. Cependant, l’arme du terrorisme aveugle peut être utilisée pour faire fléchir toute puissance européenne qui se mettrait à ruer dans les brancards. Rappelons tout de même les attentats du GIA dans les métros parisiens, il y a quelques années. Ensuite, chez nous, à Bruxelles, peu avant l’arrestation du Kurde Öçalan, Saint-Josse et Schaerbeek ont été le théâtre d’une véritable guérilla urbaine, où des nuées de jeunes Turcs, souvent mineurs d’âge, ont saccagé et incendié des immeubles appartenant aux communautés kurde et araméenne (cette dernière, chrétienne-orthodoxe de rite particulier, est étrangère à la question kurde mais coupable de ne pas accepter la terreur de l’Etat kémaliste turc !). La presse, même celle du régime laxiste et multiculturaliste, a souligné que cette émeute ultra-violente a été téléguidée par certains services de l’ambassade, avec la présence d’une équipe de télévision turque qui filmait avec complaisance l’œuvre des terroristes en herbe de nos vieux quartiers bruxellois. Cette émeute est un acte de guerre, sans déclaration préalable, sur notre sol national ! Je reste pantois devant l’inertie de notre gouvernement : pas de renvoi immédiat de l’ambassadeur de Turquie, pas de rappel de notre propre ambassadeur, pas de veto à l’OTAN, pas d’exigence formelle de payer et de réparer tous les dégâts commis et de dédommager les victimes belges et étrangères, pas d’excuses exigées du gouvernement turc, pas de sanctions contre les émeutiers, pas de dissolution des associations responsables de ce « dérapage contrôlé », pas de plainte du « Centre d’Egalité des Chances » contre le racisme anti-kurde (les Kurdes sont des Mèdes indo-européens et ne sont pas de souche turque) et anti-araméen (les Araméens sont des Sémites chrétiens et ne sont pas davantage de souche turque).

 

En théorie, à Bruxelles comme à Moscou ou à Paris, les attentats terroristes contre des objectifs civils sont désormais possibles. On sait que l’armée française tente d’organiser une riposte (isolement des quartiers d’émeutiers en coupant l’eau, le gaz et l’électricité, opération conjointes de blindés et d’hélicoptères, etc.). La Suisse prévoit également des mesures, comme vient de le dire le Général Peter Regli, chef de l’UNA, les services de renseignements militaires helvétiques (cf. Thurgauer Zeitung, 2 juin 1999). Je ne crois pas que des mesures préventives aient été prises chez nous… Malgré la présence de sites stratégiques importants dans les quartiers dangereux : Gares du Midi (avec le terminal des TGV et Eurostar), du Nord et de Schaerbeek. Jupiter rend aveugles ceux qu’il veut perdre…

 

mardi, 18 mai 2010

Presseschau - Mai 2010 / 03

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Presseschau

Mai 2010 / 03

Heute Presseschau mit Links zum Anklicken bei Interesse. Es sind diesmal sehr viele interessante Artikel darunter, bunt gemischt...

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Die Spezies der Politiker bildet eine negative Auswahl aus der Bevölkerung. Weil die Politiker aus den Kreisen derer rekrutiert werden, die sich von Jugend auf in den Parteien bewährt haben, derer, die den zermürbenden Hürdenlauf einer Parteikarriere schon aufgenommen haben, bevor sie überhaupt eine eigene politische Meinung entwickeln konnten, ergibt sich eine ungünstige Selektion.

Sibylle Tönnies

(Zitiert im Staatspolitischen Handbuch, hrsg. v. Erik Lehnert und Karlheinz Weißmann, Band 1: Leitbegriffe, verfaßt von Karlheinz Weißmann, Schnellroda 2009, S. 41)

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Mit Unterstützung der USA
Bundeswehr erhöht Kampfkraft in Nordafghanistan
Verteidigungsminister Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg hat auf die zunehmende Kritik an der mangelnden Ausrüstung der Bundeswehr in Afghanistan reagiert. Da es seit Monaten Probleme mit dem europäischen Kampfhubschrauber „Tiger“ gibt, werden ab Juni US-Hubschrauber die deutschen Soldaten unterstützen.
http://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article7649738/Bundeswehr-erhoeht-Kampfkraft-in-Nordafghanistan.html

Leipzig soll zentrale Ermittlungsstelle bei Auslandseinsätzen werden
LEIPZIG. Die Bundesregierung will Leipzig zur zentralen Ermittlungsstelle für Verfahren gegen Bundeswehrsoldaten in Auslandseinsätzen machen. Ein entsprechender Gesetzentwurf sei bereits fertiggestellt und könnte noch vor der parlamentarischen Sommerpause vom Kabinett beschlossen werden, sagte der Parlamentarische Staatssekretär im Bundesjustizministerium, Max Stadler (FDP), der Mitteldeutschen Zeitung.
http://www.jungefreiheit.de/Single-News-Display-mit-Komm.154+M5ddee9887c2.0.html

Soldaten der Bielefelder Uni zeigen Solidarität: Antifa = „Linke Faschos“
http://www.blauenarzisse.de/v3/index.php/gesichtet/1614-soldaten-der-bielefelder-uni-zeigen-solidaritaet-antifa-linke-faschos

Nahost-Debatte
Fernsehen raus aus dem Heiligen Land!
Darf man als Deutscher Israel kritisieren? Diese Frage diskutieren die SPIEGEL-Autoren Erich Follath und Henryk M. Broder in einem streitfreudigen Briefwechsel. Wie aber stehen die beiden zum Palästina-Konflikt? Höchste Zeit für einen Friedensplan, der aggressive Schritte erfordert.
http://www.spiegel.de/kultur/gesellschaft/0,1518,694168,00.html

Artikel aus dem Jahr 2005 ...
Essay
Gebt den Juden Schleswig-Holstein!
Von Henryk M. Broder
Der Vorschlag des iranischen Staatspräsidenten Mahmud Ahmadinedschad, Israel nach Deutschland zu verlegen, ist nicht so absurd, wie er klingt. Betrachtet man die Idee vorurteilsfrei, zeigt sich dahinter eine historische Bodenreform zum Nutzen aller beteiligten Parteien.
http://www.spiegel.de/kultur/gesellschaft/0,1518,389472,00.html

Blutige Unruhen in Thailand
Bangkok droht der Bürgerkrieg
Aus Bangkok berichtet Thilo Thielke
Das Militär schießt auf unbewaffnete Zivilisten. Nicht einmal Sanitäter sind sicher. Kriegsartige Zustände in Bangkok: Bei Zusammenstößen zwischen der thailändischen Armee und den oppositionellen Rothemden sind mindestens 22 Menschen getötet worden - und die Lage spitzt sich zu.
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/0,1518,694972,00.html

Klage gegen Griechen-Hilfe
Angriff der Anti-Euro-Senioren
Von Dietmar Hipp, Karlsruhe
Der Bundestag hat Milliardenhilfen für Griechenland beschlossen – und damit nach Ansicht von fünf Professoren gegen das Grundgesetz verstoßen. Sollte sich das Verfassungsgericht auf eine Prüfung einlassen, stehen die Chancen der Kläger gar nicht mal schlecht.
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/0,1518,693681,00.html

Professoren-Klage
Karlsruhe macht Weg für Griechenland-Hilfe frei
Das Bundesverfassungsgericht hat den Eilantrag für einen Stopp der Griechenland-Hilfe abgelehnt. Das Gericht begründete dies am Samstag damit, daß ein Verschieben der deutschen Hilfen bis zu einem endgültigen Urteil über die Klage das Rettungspaket insgesamt gefährden könne.
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/0,1518,693745,00.html

„Mister Dax“
Börsen-Experte sieht konzertierten Angriff auf Euro
Von Michael Höfling
Dirk Müller ist für viele Fernsehzuschauer das Gesicht der Deutschen Börse, der „Mr. Dax“. Der Börsenmakler vermutet keinen Tippfehler als Ursache für den Crash an der Wall Street. Er geht von einem konzertierten Angriff auf den Euro aus und glaubt auch keineswegs an einen Zufall.
http://www.welt.de/finanzen/article7532255/Boersen-Experte-sieht-konzertierten-Angriff-auf-Euro.html

Haushaltsmisere
Wirtschaftsexperten warnen vor Euro-Absturz
Europa versinkt in der Schuldenkrise – mit möglicherweise dramatischen Folgen für den Euro. Manager und Ökonomen fürchten einen rapiden Wertverlust der Gemeinschaftswährung. In Deutschland steigt bereits die Angst vor einer Inflation.
http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/soziales/0,1518,693802,00.html

Fonds gegen Spekulanten
EU beschließt Multi-Milliarden-Stütze für den Euro
Die EU hat sich auf ein beispielloses Rettungspaket geeinigt: Ein bis zu 750 Milliarden Euro schwerer Fonds für Euro-Wackelkandidaten soll Spekulanten abschrecken und die Währung schützen. Die Finanzminister beschlossen das Paket in einer dramatischen Nachtsitzung, die Börse in Tokio reagiert positiv.
http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/soziales/0,1518,693899,00.html

Euro-Rettung
Kabinett billigt Milliardenhilfe für Athen
Die Bundesregierung hat den deutschen Beitrag für das Euro-Rettungspaket auf den Weg gebracht. In einer Sondersitzung stimmte das Kabinett einer Staatsgarantie in Höhe von mindestens 123 Milliarden zu. An den Märkten kehrt schon Ernüchterung ein, der Kurs der Gemeinschaftswährung fällt.
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/0,1518,694152,00.html

Putsch in Brüssel
Von Michael Paulwitz
Deutschland hat kapituliert. An diesem Montag sind die Deutschen in einem neuen Europa aufgewacht: mit einer keiner demokratischen Kontrolle unterworfenen Wirtschaftsregierung à la française, einer zum Lakaien politischer Manipulationen degradierten Europäischen Zentralbank und einer zum baldigen Untergang verurteilten schlappen Inflations-Weichwährung namens Euro.
http://www.jungefreiheit.de/Single-News-Display-mit-Komm.154+M53d54a3efc2.0.html

Bankrott eines Kulturraums
Von Thorsten Hinz
Die gegenwärtige Krise bedeutet nicht das Ende der Europäischen Union, wohl noch nicht einmal das formale Ende des Euro. Dennoch haben die Ereignisse einen finalen Charakter, weil sie den Kern des Projekts herausschälen.
http://www.jungefreiheit.de/Single-News-Display-mit-Komm.154+M5593255097c.0.html

Streit um Rettungspaket
Sarkozy soll Merkel Euro-Austritt angedroht haben
Harter Schlagabtausch: Frankreichs Präsident Nicolas Sarkozy soll Bundeskanzlerin Angela Merkel bei den Verhandlungen um das Rettungspaket für Griechenland mit einer Drohung unter Druck gesetzt haben: Ihr Ja zu den Finanzhilfen oder der Rückzug Frankreichs aus der Euro-Zone.
http://www.welt.de/politik/article7624051/Sarkozy-soll-Merkel-Euro-Austritt-angedroht-haben.html

Haushaltsmisere im Vergleich
Amerika schlittert in die Schulden-Katastrophe
Von Marc Pitzke, New York
Europa kämpft mit Milliarden gegen die Schuldenkrise – dabei sind die Finanzprobleme der Euro-Länder geradezu harmlos im Vergleich zur Lage in den USA. Auf fast 13 Billionen Dollar summiert sich Amerikas Staatsverschuldung. Wenn sie nicht bald reduziert wird, droht der Kollaps.
http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/soziales/0,1518,694153,00.html

Kommunen vor Finanzkollaps
Städtetag befürchtet für 2010 insgesamt 15 Milliarden Euro Defizit
http://www.jungewelt.de/2010/05-15/054.php

Niemand wird Rüttgers vermissen
http://www.jungefreiheit.de/Single-News-Display-mit-Komm.154+M5e5197dc542.0.html

Wählerhasser, Volksverächter
http://www.jungefreiheit.de/Single-News-Display-mit-Komm.154+M59f13f9d33b.0.html

Google-Street View
Deutschlands Datenschutz-Desaster: Offenbacher attackieren Google-Auto
http://www.extratipp.com/nachrichten/regionales/aufreger/deutschlands-datenschutz-desaster-offenbacher-attackieren-google-auto-751940.html

Der Tag der Pressefreiheit
http://www.jungefreiheit.de/Single-News-Display-mit-Komm.154+M511bbdec034.0.html

Das Wort „undemokratisch“ wird mittlerweile für jede Entscheidung benutzt, die einem nicht paßt ...
Scharfe Kritik an „kurzsichtiger Prioritätensetzung“
Schüler verurteilen die Sparpläne des Ministerpräsidenten (Roland Koch) – „Im höchsten Maße undemokratisch“
http://lsv-hessen.de/content/view/335/71/

Autodiebstahl
Offene Grenze nach Osten hilft Autodieben
Erstmals seit 1993 steigt die Zahl der gestohlenen Wagen wieder - Berlin und Sachsen besonders betroffen.
http://www.sueddeutsche.de/automobil/689/509817/text/

Predigt bei Kirchentag
Käßmann wirbt in katholischem Dom für Geburtenkontrolle
Drei Monate nahm sie eine Auszeit – jetzt meldet sich Margot Käßmann zurück. Ausgerechnet in der katholischen Münchner Frauenkirche lobte die evangelische Ex-Bischöfin die Pille als „Geschenk Gottes“. Und äußerte Verständnis für Menschen, die sich gegen ein Leben mit Kindern entscheiden.
http://www.spiegel.de/panorama/gesellschaft/0,1518,694693,00.html

Papst-Entscheidung
Kardinal Lehmann begrüßt Absetzung Mixas
Der Papst hat Walter Mixas Rücktrittsgesuch als Bischof von Augsburg angenommen, unüblich schnell für katholische Verhältnisse. Der frühere Vorsitzende der Bischofskonferenz Kardinal Lehmann ist erleichtert – und gesteht, schon früher von Gerüchten über Mixas Lebenswandel gehört zu haben.
http://www.spiegel.de/panorama/gesellschaft/0,1518,693797,00.html

Mixa: kein Mißbrauch
Die Ermittlungen gegen Walter Mixa wegen sexuellen Mißbrauchs sind eingestellt worden
http://www.stern.de/panorama/ex-bischof-walter-mixa-kein-missbrauch-aber-ein-neuer-pruegelfall-1566389.html
http://www.abendblatt.de/politik/deutschland/article1496165/Missbrauchs-Ermittlungen-gegen-Bischof-Mixa-eingestellt.html

Sexueller Mißbrauch:
Staatsanwaltschaft zweifelt an Vorwürfen gegen Mixa
http://www.stern.de/panorama/sexueller-missbrauch-staatsanwaltschaft-zweifelt-an-vorwuerfen-gegen-mixa-1565713.html

Nackter Papst soll aus Konstanz verschwinden
Große Aufregung um eine Steinfigur im Bahnhof
http://www.nzz.ch/nachrichten/panorama/nackter_papst_soll_aus_konstanz_verschwinden_1.5710749.html

Rückzug der Juso-Chefin
Franziska Drohsel, die radikale Gefühlssozialistin
http://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article7601135/Franziska-Drohsel-die-radikale-Gefuehlssozialistin.html

Linksextremisten bekennen sich zu Brandanschlag
http://www.jungefreiheit.de/Single-News-Display-mit-Komm.154+M5e0e231a5c2.0.html

Polizei ermittelt gegen FDJ-Mitglieder
http://www.jungefreiheit.de/Single-News-Display-mit-Komm.154+M58dbe42b9b7.0.html

Jung, wohlhabend, gewalttätig
Die Fun-Autonomen von Berlin und Hamburg
Von F. Hanauer und A. Zand-Vakili
Spaß an der Gewalt ist ihr Motiv: Eine politische Botschaft haben die jungen Täter nicht, die in Berlin und Hamburg randalieren und Autos anzünden. Inzwischen sind auch die Alt-Autonomen ratlos.
http://www.welt.de/politik/article7533754/Die-Fun-Autonomen-von-Berlin-und-Hamburg.html

Walpurgisnacht in Friedrichshain
http://www.jungefreiheit.de/Single-News-Display-mit-Komm.154+M525f01e17bd.0.htm

Episodenfilm „Berlin – 1. Mai“
Zwischen Gefühlen und Gewalt
http://www.maerkischeallgemeine.de/cms/beitrag/11798583/63369/Zwischen-Gefuehlen-und-Gewalt.html

BILD mal wieder extrem geistreich ...
Wiesbaden-Erbenheim
Nazis trampeln in SS-Shirts über jüdische Gedenksteine
http://www.bild.de/BILD/regional/frankfurt/aktuell/2010/05/14/nazis-in-ss-shirts/trampeln-ueber-juedische-gedenksteine.html

Nazis kriegen keine Schnitte
1500 demonstrieren in Wiesbaden gegen Rechtsradikalen-Aufmarsch
http://www.welt.de/die-welt/regionales/article7557361/Nazis-kriegen-keine-Schnitte.html

Rund 1500 Menschen demonstrieren gegen NPD-Umzug
Anwohner über Aufmarsch der Rechten empört – Polizei riegelt Erbenheim ab
http://www.nh24.de/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=32304&Itemid=59&show=1

8. Mai nicht nazifrei
Aufmärsche und rechte Gewalt am Wochenende
http://www.neues-deutschland.de/artikel/170729.8-mai-nicht-nazifrei.html

8. Mai 1945 – Die deutsche Tragödie
Ein Gastbeitrag von Walter Hueck
http://www.sezession.de/14565/8-mai-1945-die-deutsche-tragoedie.html#more-14565

Stalin-Kult in Rußland
„Sieger verurteilt man nicht“
Stalin steht in Rußland wieder hoch im Kurs – gerade am Gedenktag des Sieges über Hitler-Deutschland. Im Gespräch mit SPIEGEL ONLINE spricht der Medwedew-Biograf Nikolai Swanidse über den befremdlichen Kult um einen Massenmörder – und diagnostiziert eine Mitschuld des Westens.
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/0,1518,693567,00.html

Merkel in Moskau
Von Karlheinz Weißmann
Neben Landtagswahl und Griechenlandkrise konnte sich der „8. Mai“ nicht behaupten. Das erklärt auch, warum die Reise der Bundeskanzlerin nach Moskau fast unbemerkt blieb. Erst als man sie in den Fernsehberichten über den „Tag des Sieges“ gelöst mit Medwedjew auf der Ehrentribüne plaudern sah, wurde der Vorgang ins Bewußtsein gerückt, und damit auch, daß etwas, das einmal als gänzlich ausgeschlossen galt, dann von einem Linken als Provokation gemeint war, nun zu den Selbstverständlichkeiten gehört: (...)
http://www.sezession.de/14616/merkel-in-moskau.html#more-14616

Merkels Schande
Von Anni Mursula
http://www.jungefreiheit.de/Single-News-Display-mit-Komm.154+M5ff5420421e.0.html

Russen protestieren gegen Schmierereien am Ehrenmal
BERLIN. Nach den Schmierereien am sowjetischen Ehrenmal für den unbekannten Soldaten in Berlin hat das russische Außenministerium die deutschen Behörden scharf kritisiert. Es sei bedauerlich, daß die „böswillige Provokation, die die historische Aussöhnung der Völker von Rußland und Deutschland überschattet habe“, nicht verhindert wurde, heißt es in einer Meldung der russischen Nachrichtenagentur RIA Novosti.
Unbekannte hatten in der Nacht zum 8. Mai mit roter Farbe „Mörder“ auf das Ehrenmal im Berliner Tiergarten geschrieben. Die Schmierereien waren vom Wachschutz gegen 4.30 Uhr entdeckt worden. Während der Kranzniederlegung am 8. Mai waren sie mit einer schwarzen Folie verdeckt worden.
http://www.jungefreiheit.de/Single-News-Display-mit-Komm.154+M5e69d80762c.0.html

Unglaublich, was für ein historisches Zerrbild da gezeichnet wird. Die typische Springer-Propaganda von Berthold Seewald (siehe Artikel) und Michael Stürmer (siehe Video). Möchtegern-Mitsieger und Hardcore-Atlantiker im Wahn ...
Mythos
Der Blitzkrieg war nur ein Taschenspielertrick
Von Berthold Seewald
Vor 70 Jahren attackierte die Wehrmacht den Westen und revolutionierte den Krieg. Wie der Wettergott Thor einst seine Feinde mit dem Hammer zerschmetterte, sollte der „Blitz“ die nationalsozialistische Weltherrschaft begründen. Das Gegenteil trat ein. Der Mythos vom „Blitzkrieg“ führte Deutschland in den Untergang.
http://www.welt.de/kultur/article7567855/Der-Blitzkrieg-war-nur-ein-Taschenspielertrick.html

42 Tote ...
Von Karlheinz Weißmann
…, das ist ein verschwindend kleiner Teil der Opfer, die Kriegsende und Nachkrieg unter den Deutschen forderten. Die Männer und Frauen wurden als Angehörige der deutschen Volksgruppe in Prag aufgegriffen, erschossen und dann von einem Lastwagen überrollt.
Auch dieser Vorgang ist nicht ungewöhnlich, sondern paßt in den Rahmen der zahllosen Massaker und Grausamkeiten, die Tschechen 1945 nach ihrer Befreiung an Deutschen begingen.
Was den Fall so außergewöhnlich macht, ist, daß er dokumentiert wurde, nicht in einem Schriftstück oder – was selten genug vorkam – auf Fotos, sondern in einem Film. (...)
http://www.sezession.de/14592/42-tote.html

Tschechisches Fernsehen zeigt Massaker an Deutschen
PRAG. Ein Dokumentarfilm über ein Massaker an Deutschen im Mai 1945 in Prag sorgt in Tschechien derzeit für Aufsehen. In der vom tschechischen Fernsehen ausgestrahlten Dokumentation „Töten auf tschechische Art“ des Regisseurs David Vondráček wird die Ermordung deutscher Zivilisten in böhmischen Städten und Gemeinden kurz nach dem Ende des Zweiten Weltkrieges behandelt.
http://www.jungefreiheit.de/Single-News-Display-mit-Komm.154+M56a9d0c964f.0.html

Die Toten von Paris
Von Claus Wolfschlag
Als ich vorletzte Woche in Paris war, wurde mir wieder einmal bewußt, wie unempfindlich ich gegenüber den Forderungen und Inszenierungen des NS-Schuldkultes bin. Ich bemerkte aber, daß das keinesfalls an generell mangelnder Empathie oder Pietät liegt oder an Mißachtung der Opfer jener grausamen Jahre; es liegt vielmehr schlicht an der Ungleichheit des Gedenkens, im ungleichen Umgang mit dem Tod, in der Wertung der Opfer.
http://www.sezession.de/14497/die-toten-von-paris.html

Lehrer über Iris Berben: „Sie paßt in keine Gemeinschaft“ (das hatten sie offenbar gut erkannt ...)
Iris Berben und der Riß in der Vita
Iris Berben gehört zur ersten Garde deutscher Schauspielerinnen und wurde mit Preisen wie Bambis, dem Bayerischen Verdienstorden sowie zwei Bundesverdienstkreuzen überhäuft. Und doch empfindet sie bis heute in ihrer Biografie einen gravierenden Makel.
http://www.spiegel.de/panorama/leute/0,1518,694324,00.html
http://www.sueddeutsche.de/leben/860/510974/text/

Rußland
Mann lebt seit 66 Jahren mit Kugel im Kopf
Der russische Kriegsveteran Iwan Nikulin lebt seit 66 Jahren mit einer Kugel im Kopf – mit einer „faschistischen“ Kugel, wie der 86jährige sagt. 1944 habe ein deutscher General in Warschau auf ihn geschossen, sagte Nikulin der Zeitung „Komsomolskaja Prawda“. Ärzte hielten eine Operation für zu gefährlich. „Der Krieg wird immer in meinem Kopf bleiben“, sagt der ehemalige Rotarmist, der aus dem sibirischen Tschita stammt.
http://www.welt.de/die-welt/vermischtes/article7592713/Mann-lebt-seit-66-Jahren-mit-Kugel-im-Kopf.html

Spanien
Richter Garzon muß auf die Anklagebank
http://www.wienerzeitung.at/default.aspx?tabID=3861&alias=wzo&cob=493076

Politischer Druck auf „Tyrannenjäger“
Garzón suspendiert
http://www.n-tv.de/politik/Garz-n-suspendiert-article870176.html

Wirbel um Spaniens Starjuristen Garzón
Der Richter und seine Henker
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/0,1518,690418,00.html

Garzón
Spaniens berühmtester Richter ist vom Amt suspendiert
http://www.welt.de/die-welt/politik/article7637187/Spaniens-beruehmtester-Richter-ist-vom-Amt-suspendiert.html

Empörung über Suspendierung von Richter Garzón
http://www.zeit.de/newsticker/2010/5/15/iptc-bdt-20100515-104-24849324xml

Der Fall Garzón
„Franco ist auferstanden“
Sieg der Ewiggestrigen: Spaniens Starrichter Garzón ist suspendiert, aber der Kampf um Aufarbeitung der Verbrechen des Franco-Regimes geht weiter.
http://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2010-05/garzon-spanien-protest

Deutschland
Fast jedes vierte Baby hat ausländische Eltern
In Deutschland wächst der Anteil der Kinder mit ausländischen Eltern. Im Jahr 2008 hatten nach Angaben des Statistischen Bundesamtes 23 Prozent der Neugeborenen hierzulande eine Mutter oder einen Vater ohne deutschen Paß – oder beides. Zehn Jahre zuvor hatte der Anteil noch um einiges niedriger gelegen.
http://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article7580711/Fast-jedes-vierte-Baby-hat-auslaendische-Eltern.html

„150 Jahre Immigration haben Paris getötet“
In Paris feiern die linken Gutmenschen die 150jährige Migrantengeschichte der Stadt seit 1860. Etwa 50 Mitglieder der „Identitären“ haben sich deswegen beim Pariser Rathaus versammelt, um gegen die selbstmörderische Dhimmitude mit einem „Trauerzug“ für die verstorbene Stadt zu demonstrieren. Auf einem Spruchband stand geschrieben: „Während 150 Jahren hat mich die Immigration getötet“ unterzeichnet mit Paris.
Anschließend legten die Identitären Blumen am Grab der verstorbenen Stadt nieder, die auf dem Multikulti-Altar der Migration, der Islamisierung und der Gewalt getötet wurde. Auf dem Grabstein steht „Ci-Gît Paris – Victime de l’Immigration“ (Hier ruht Paris – Opfer der Immigration). Trotz der Trauer endete die Aktion mit einem Hoffnungsschimmer: Paris ist tot, aber sie kann immer noch zu neuem Leben auferstehen.
http://www.pi-news.net/2010/05/150-jahre-immigration-haben-paris-getoetet/#more-135086

Orientalische Bereicherung in Berlin ...
Türken schubsen deutsche Ordnungshüter und vereiteln eine Amtshandlung
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lbJYxE-Vi0s

Vorwurf Vergewaltigung: Klassenfahrt endet im Londoner Knast
Auf einer Klassenfahrt in London sollen zwei Lübecker Schüler eine 15jährige zum Oralsex gezwungen haben. Am Mittwoch entscheidet ein Gericht, ob die beiden in U-Haft bleiben müssen. Von Cornelia Fuchs und Manuela Pfohl
Sie hatte sich eigentlich auf eine fröhliche Klassenfahrt gefreut. Ziel: London. Doch für eine 15jährige Realschülerin aus der Nähe von Bremen wurde daraus ein Horrortrip. Azad E. und Arman P., zwei 19jährige Berufsschüler aus Lübeck, sollen sie in der vergangenen Woche in einem Londoner Jugendhotel zum Oralsex gezwungen haben. Ein schwerer Vorwurf, den die Metropolitan Police in der britischen Hauptstadt aber offenbar sehr ernst nimmt.
http://www.stern.de/panorama/vorwurf-vergewaltigung-klassenfahrt-endet-im-londoner-knast-1565550.html

19jähriger in Hamburg ermordet
Am S-Bahnhof Jungfernstieg in der Hamburger Altstadt ist in der vergangenen Nacht ein 19jähriger, der mit einem Freund auf einer Bank sitzend auf seinen Zug wartete, von einer 5köpfigen Immigrantenbande angefallen und mit Messerstichen ermordet worden.
http://www.pi-news.net/2010/05/19-jaehriger-in-hamburg-ermordet/#more-136116

Hamburger Polizei fahndet nach S-Bahn-Mörder
Die Polizei fahndet öffentlich nach dem Mörder eines 19jährigen Deutschen, der am Freitagabend auf einem S-Bahnsteig in der Hamburger Innenstadt seiner tödlichen Stichverletzung erlag. Laut Polizeibericht soll es sich bei mindestens zwei der Tatverdächtigen „vermutlich“ um „Südländer“ handeln.
http://www.jungefreiheit.de/Single-News-Display-mit-Komm.154+M57da12064a0.0.html

So berichtet SPIEGEL-Online darüber ...
Messerattacke in Hamburg
Jugendlicher auf S-Bahnsteig erstochen
Brutale Gewaltattacke in Hamburgs Innenstadt: Bei einem Streit zwischen Jugendlichen ist ein 19jähriger auf einem S-Bahnsteig erstochen worden. Die mutmaßlichen Täter flüchteten, während ihr Opfer starb. Die Polizei hat Videoaufnahmen von der Tat.
http://www.spiegel.de/panorama/justiz/0,1518,694980,00.html

Und so WELT-Online ...
Hamburg
19jähriger auf S-Bahnsteig nach Streit erstochen
Tödliche Attacke in einem Hamburger S-Bahnhof: Ein junger Mann ist auf dem Bahngleis Jungfernstieg nach einem Streit erstochen worden. Der 19jährige starb nach einem Stich in den Oberkörper. Überwachungskameras haben die Tat gefilmt. Die Polizei sucht nun nach einer Gruppe Jugendlicher.
http://www.welt.de/vermischtes/article7643233/19-Jaehriger-auf-S-Bahnsteig-nach-Streit-erstochen.html?page=6#article_readcomments

Rhein-Main
Viereinhalb Jahre Haft für Attacke
(dpa). Nach einer lebensgefährlichen Attacke mit einem Schraubenzieher ist ein türkischer Gebäudereiniger vom Landgericht Frankfurt zu viereinhalb Jahren Haft verurteilt worden. Der Angeklagte hatte 2009 während der Nachtschicht mit dem spitzen Werkzeug 24 Mal auf einen Kollegen eingestochen, der ihn zuvor offenbar wegen seiner Religion beleidigt hatte. Anschließend alarmierte der Täter jedoch die Polizei und den Notarzt, was zur Rettung des Opfers führte. Die Schwurgerichtskammer verurteilte den 41jährigen lediglich wegen gefährlicher Körperverletzung und nicht wegen Mord- oder Totschlagsversuchs. Der „Rücktritt vom Versuch“ müsse strafbefreiend gewertet werden, stellte das Gericht gestern fest.
http://www.wiesbadener-kurier.de/region/rhein-main/8885871.htm

Hilfe für bedrängte Frauen
Wenn Zivilcourage tödlich endet
Von Julia Jüttner
Der Nigerianer Emeka Okoronkwo sah, wie Männer [aus Eritrea] zwei Frauen belästigten. Der 21jährige schritt ein – immerhin hatte er Seminare für Streitschlichtung besucht. Seine Zivilcourage bezahlte er mit dem Leben.
http://www.spiegel.de/panorama/0,1518,693644,00.html

Prozeß in Wiesbaden: Türke erstach Ex-Frau
http://www.op-online.de/nachrichten/frankfurt-rhein-main/prozess-tuerke-ersticht-exfrau-762120.html

Wie schön ...
Dietzenbach
Quilling setzt sich für Khateebs ein
Der Landrat des Kreises Offenbach, Oliver Quilling (CDU), hat sich gestern bei einer Kundgebung vor dem Dietzenbacher Kreishaus dafür ausgesprochen, daß die von Abschiebung bedrohte Dietzenbacher Familie Khateeb hierbleiben darf.
http://www.fr-online.de/frankfurt_und_hessen/nachrichten/kreis_offenbach/2638533_Dietzenbach-Quilling-setzt-sich-fuer-Khateebs-ein.html

Sozialministerin ...
CDU-Ministerin
TNT-Betriebsrat droht Özkan mit rechtlichen Schritten
Niedersachsens Sozialministerin Özkan droht neuer Ärger. Der Betriebsrat des Briefzustellers TNT Post will nach SPIEGEL-Informationen rechtlich gegen sie vorgehen: Vor zwei Jahren hat sie als Managerin Arbeitsverträge ausgehandelt, die unter dem Branchen-Mindestlohn lagen.
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/0,1518,693789,00.html

Künftig sechs Mohammedaner im NRW-Landtag
http://www.pi-news.net/2010/05/kuenftig-sechs-mohammedaner-im-nrw-landtag/#more-135613

Frankfurt
Umstrittener Imam
Neue Moschee mit „Haßprediger“?
In Frankfurt bahnt sich ein neuer Moscheen-Streit an: Ein afghanischer Kulturverein plant den Bau eines Gemeindezentrums. Doch der Vorbeter des Vereins wird bei hessischen Behörden als „Haßprediger“ gehandelt.
http://www.hr-online.de/website/rubriken/nachrichten/indexhessen34938.jsp?rubrik=36082&key=standard_document_39136349

Moslems greifen Mohammed-Karikaturisten Vilks an
STOCKHOLM. Der schwedische Mohammed-Karikaturist Lars Vilks ist während eines Vortrages an der Universität von Uppsala von mehreren Moslems angegriffen worden. Einer der Angreifer schlug Vilks dabei ins Gesicht, worauf der Karikaturist seine Brille verlor. Mehrere sichtlich aufgebrachte Moslems drohten mit ihren Fäusten und riefen „Allah ist groß“.
http://www.jungefreiheit.de/Single-News-Display-mit-Komm.154+M5d2dc75e3e6.0.html

Angriff auf Lars Vilks: Neues Video aufgetaucht
Zum tätlichen Angriff eines Mohammedaners auf den schwedischen Karikaturisten Lars Vilks während eines Vortrags in der Universität von Uppsala ist jetzt auf Liveleak ein neues, deutlich längeres Video als das bislang veröffentlichte aufgetaucht.
http://www.pi-news.net/2010/05/angriff-auf-lars-vilks-neues-video-aufgetaucht/

Muslime sehen „Arroganz der Macht“
Zweiter großer Verband fehlt in Islamkonferenz
http://www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/muslime-sehen-arroganz-der-macht-zweiter-grosser-verband/1838046.html

ZDM sagt Teilnahme an Islamkonferenz ab:
„Islamfeindlichkeit wird nicht angemessen behandelt“
http://www.stern.de/panorama/zdm-sagt-teilnahme-an-islamkonferenz-ab-islamfeindlichkeit-wird-nicht-angemessen-behandelt-1565952.html

Böse Buben
„Wohlfühl-Kuschel-Pädagogik geht Jungs gewaltig auf die Nerven“
Hinter den Mädchen bleiben Jungen schulisch deutlich zurück. Sind sie Bildungsversager mit Gewaltneigung? In Kindergärten wie Schulen dominiere ein verhuscht-weibliches Klima, sagt Kinderpsychologe Wolfgang Bergmann im Interview – und sieht Jungs trotzdem im Vorteil.
http://www.spiegel.de/schulspiegel/wissen/0,1518,545037,00.html

Psychologie
Sie will reden, er will Sex – Schuld ist das Gehirn
Niemand kennt die biologischen Unterschiede von Frauen und Männern so gut wie die Neurobiologin Louann Brizendine. Die Professorin für Neuropsychatrie an der University of California in San Francisco forscht daran, wie das männliche Gehirn funktioniert. WELT ONLINE sprach mit ihr über Testosteron, Karriere und ihren eigenen Sohn.
http://www.welt.de/wissenschaft/psychologie/article7601971/Sie-will-reden-er-will-Sex-Schuld-ist-das-Gehirn.html

Psychologie
Wie man Schlaf gezielt einsetzen kann
Im Schlaf erlebt man nicht nur teils bizarre Träume – man kann ihn sich auch zunutze machen. Im Interview mit „Zeit Wissen“ erklärt der Psychologe Jan Born, wie man im Schlummer sein Gedächtnis stärken und traumatische Erlebnisse vergessen kann.
http://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/mensch/0,1518,693661,00.html

Umwelt
Hessischem Wald droht tödliche Maikäfer-Invasion
Von Jürgen Oeder
Wer stirbt zuerst: Der Maikäfer oder der Wald? Experten sprechen von einem Großversuch der Natur und fürchten eine ökologische Katastrophe: Den hessischen Wäldern droht ein radikaler Kahlfraß durch Milliarden Maikäfer. Im Erdreich wimmelt es von gefräßigen Engerlingen und die leisten schon jetzt ganze Arbeit.
http://www.welt.de/wissenschaft/umwelt/article7559783/Hessischem-Wald-droht-toedliche-Maikaefer-Invasion.html

Schwindler oder Wunder?
Der Mann, der seit 70 Jahren fastet
http://www.fr-online.de/in_und_ausland/panorama/2611994_Der-Mann-der-seit-70-Jahren-fastet.html

Musikvideo:
German Power/Deutsche Stärke: Eisbrecher – This is Deutsch
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1HULuSPnP_8&feature=related

Nagorno-Karabakh: une éventuelle médiation iranienne?

nagorno_karabakh_flag.png

Nagorno-Karabakh: une éventuelle médiation iranienne?

 

 

 

Dans le conflit du Nagorno-Karabakh, qui oppose l’Arménie à l’Azerbaïdjan, Moscou ne s’opposerait nullement à une éventuelle médiation de Téhéran

 

Dans l’urgence, toute aide est la bienvenue: Moscou ne s’opposerait donc pas à l’offre que vient de faire Téhéran. Les Iraniens ont en effet proposé d’organiser un sommet des ministres des affaires étrangères de l’Azerbaïdjan, de l’Arménie et de l’Iran pour régler le conflit du Nagorno-Karabakh qui oppose depuis 1988 Erivan à Bakou. Le porte-paroles de la diplomatie russe, Andreï Nesterenko, a fait connaître cette proposition iranienne le 30 avril 2010. Mais ce sera seulement si la rencontre aura bel et bien lieu, et sur base des résultats atteints, que l’on pourra parler d’une éventuelle médiation iranienne dans le règlement du conflit, a précisé Nesterenko.

 

(note parue dans “Rinascita”, Rome, 1 mai 2010; http://www.rinascita.eu ).

Les "pouvoirs publics" belges: plus chers et moins efficaces que leurs équivalents grecs!

Les “pouvoirs publics” belges: plus chers et moins efficaces que leurs équivalents grecs!

 

robinetargent.jpgLes pouvoirs publics belges sont parmi les plus chers du globe mais, comparativement, ils ne procurent à leurs citoyens qu’un taux fort réduit de “qualité de vie”, en échange des institutions qu’ils déploient et qui s’avèrent toutes fort chères. C’est un constat qu’a posé la société Petercam sur base des chiffres communiqués par l’OSCE. Dans le palmarès des pouvoirs publics, la Belgique, en matière d’efficacité, arrive juste avant l’Italie et la Hongrie mais se place loin derrière la Grèce!

 

Ce palmarès se base sur le rapport entre les sommes d’argent qu’absorbent les pouvoirs publics et la qualité de vie telle que l’établit le “Human Development Index” de l’OSCE. Les pouvoirs publics belges s’emparent de 44,3% du PNB. La Belgique, en matière d’imposition, se situe donc bien au-dessus de la moyenne européenne. Mais en matière de qualité de vie, elle claudique en queue de peloton. Les investissements effectués par les pouvoirs publics grecs sont plus efficaces que leurs équivalents belges. Ensuite, on doit constater que les Grecs paient beaucoup moins d’impôts que les Belges: leur taux d’imposition est inférieur au tiers du PNB.

 

(note parue dans ’t Pallieterke, Anvers, 12 mai 2010).

dimanche, 16 mai 2010

Omar Ba: "N'émigrez pas!"

N'émigrez pas !

Ex: http://metapoinfos.hautetfort.com/

Une prise de conscience africaine du caractère néfaste de l'émigration : c'est tout l'intérêt du livre d'Omar Ba, N'émigrez pas ! L'Europe est un mythe, que les éditions Jean-Claude Gawsewitch viennent de publier. Bousculant le politiquement correct, il rejoint, à partir d'un point de vue différent, les analyses des observateurs les plus lucides de l'immigration en Europe. Alain de Benoist, dans un éditorial de la revue Eléments, écrivait déjà en 1983 : "L'immigration est née de l'obligation faite à des hommes de se déraciner, par un système économique désireux de faire appel à une main d'oeuvre bon marché, système fondé sur le profit qui transfère les hommes comme on transfère les marchandises ou les capitaux. Fruit de l'idéologie de la rentabilité (à courte vue), elle est une forme moderne de déportation et d'esclavage."

Omar Ba.jpg
 

"Après le succès de "Je suis venu, j’ai vu, je n’y crois plus" (plus de 10 000 exemplaires), Omar Ba nous livre un texte percutant sur l’immigration, un sujet brûlant. Omar Ba affirme que les Africains qui quittent tout pour venir en Europe perdent au change. Leur avenir est sur le continent noir. L’immigration contribue à maintenir les populations africaines en position d’assistanat. De plus, les populations immigrées sont plus touchées par le chômage : l’Europe a-t-elle besoin de l’immigration ? Les immigrés sont « conviés à la misère ». Omar Ba est contre les régularisations massives des sans-papiers, qui vont pousser de nombreux autres Africains à quitter leurs pays d’origine pour l’Europe en leur donnant de l’espoir, mais qui vont aussi priver les pays d’Afrique de leurs ressortissants. Au sujet des expulsions, il s’agit d’une sanction juridiquement approuvée par la Cour Européenne des Droits de l’Homme, cela ne devrait pas provoquer autant de remous. Pour Omar Ba,l’opinion publique choisit l’émotion (cas du renvoi des Afghans en décembre 2009). « Parfois il est salutaire de raccompagner l’étranger dans son pays », selon lui. Les conditions socio-économiques se dégradent dans les pays du Nord, qui ne peuvent donc plus accueillir. Mais selon Omar Ba, l’immigration ne doit pas être associée au racisme, c’est un problème socio-économique, à ne pas « racialiser » (ex : la chasse aux Camerounais exercée en Guinée Equatoriale en mars 2004, où on a vu « des Noirs s’en prendre à d’autres »)… Un texte à contre-courant des idées « bien-pensantes » sur l’immigration, le point de vue surprenant d’un immigré africain de 27 ans."

samedi, 15 mai 2010

Les défaites du projet euratlantique

Les défaites du projet euratlantique

Jean-Michel Vernochet* (juin 2008)

Ex: http://www.geopolintel.fr/

otan_ou_europe.jpgAlors que le sort de la ratification du Traité de Lisbonne se joue le 12 juin en Irlande à l’occasion d’une consultation référendaire, le Président américain, sous couvert d’une visite d’adieu en Europe, s’est employé ces derniers jours à « faire avancer le dossier iranien » en Europe… Autrement dit et en clair, M. Bush, en fin de parcours, s’est essayé à « vendre la guerre » à ses satellites du Vieux Continent, de Ljubljana à Belfast via Berlin, Rome, Paris, Londres…

Est-ce tout à fait un hasard d’ailleurs si c’est à Belfast que s’achèvera la tournée européenne du président américain ? Que motive cet intérêt pour la verte Erin ? Bien sûr Belfast n’est pas Dublin, mais que l’on se rassure : si d’aventure les Irlandais se montrent réticents à s’engouffrer dans la construction européenne telle qu’imposée par les oligarchies européistes (une construction qui n’est pas autre chose que le mince cache-sexe d’une fusion euratlantique à venir), le dérisoire obstacle d’un vote négatif irlandais serait aussitôt contourné… Si cela est craint, ce n’en est pas moins une sérieuse hypothèse de travail et un obstacle a priori surmonté … Il en va ainsi de la volonté populaire dont il n’est tenu compte que lorsqu’elle ne se cabre pas, c’est-à-dire lorsqu’elle coïncide exactement avec les desiderata et les agendas des nomenklaturas néo-libérales. Une telle visite du maître américain - sur le départ certes, mais en gardant à l’esprit que ce ne sont pas les hommes s’agitant sur la scène médiatique qui décident des politiques, surtout aux É-U où les mêmes intérêts, les mêmes groupes de pression, continueront d’être actif après le départ de leur catastrophique homme de paille – ne doit cependant pas être interprétée trop vite comme l’une des dernières pirouettes d’un pouvoir déliquescent… Car le destin des peuples se joue et se noue dans la coulisse. Pendant que leurs médias nationaux distraient l’attention des Français avec des fadaises style « mariage cassé pour non-virginité de l’épouse », le rouleau compresseur des grands desseins géostratégiques continue de progresser sous nos yeux, mais sans que la foule des anonymes, le vulgum pecus, la masse ignorante, vous et moi, n’en puissent avoir la moindre idée…

Par exemple the Greater Middle East Initiative, le « Projet Grand Orient » de l’Atlantique à l’Indus, dont « l’Union pour la Méditerranée » n’est à l’évidence qu’un sous-ensemble… Qui en parle vraiment ? Qui en explique les tenants et aboutissants ?

Or, l’intégration de l’espace maritime méditerranéen qui nous concerne au premier chef, est déjà largement engagé grâce à un maillage sécuritaire serré par la VIe Flotte américaine et au moyen d’accords stratégiques croisés passés entre la plupart des États arabes riverains de la Méditerranée, la Turquie et Israël dans le cadre du dispositif Otan Active Endeavour qui se met en place en octobre 2001 et du Dialogue méditerranéen – on appréciera la dénomination de « Dialogue » pour des partenariats en matière de sécurité ! - instauré ou encore depuis 1995, par le truchement de l’UE, à travers le Processus de Barcelone. Accessoirement, on mesurera à l’aune de cette réalité diplomatique et sécuritaire Otan-UE-Maghreb-Machrek, les réticences affichées à participer à Paris le 13 juillet au lancement officiel de l’Union pour la Méditerranée aux côtés de M. Olmert, Premier Ministre israélien, notamment de la part de MM. Bouteflika et Khadafi dont la collaboration avec l’État hébreu s’est singulièrement accrue depuis 2006 - voir la dernière sortie de M. Khadafi - lorsqu’on sait qu’Algérie et Libye ont, sous l’égide de l’Otan, participé du 8 au 22 avril de cette année, et aux côtés des bâtiments de guerre de la VIe Flotte, à l’opération Phoenix Express 2008…

Ainsi l’unification sous la houlette de l’Amérique-monde, de l’espace euroméditerranéen, puis par la suite sans doute eurafricain – un autre projet de la Présidence française - sont des constructions ou des utopies dont les conséquences prévisibles ne sont guère enthousiasmantes pour personne : ni pour les Européens ni pour les Africains du nord et du Sud… Il est clair que l’Union pour la Méditerranée viendrait marcher sur les brisées d’organisations du Sud telles la Ligue arabe ou l’Union africaine, ce dont M. Khadafi semble en effet avoir pris une conscience tardive et quelque peu tartuffesque, le 10 juin lors d’un sommet arabe restreint à Tripoli ! Le cheval renâcle devant l’obstacle… Reste donc à savoir si l’UPM est un projet mort-né ?

Il faudrait ajouter que bien peu ne semblent avoir trouvé étrange que M. Sarkozy, dès les premiers jours de son mandat présidentiel, se soit précipité pour mettre en branle, cela sans aucune apparence de nécessité prioritaire, les projets Euromed et Eurafrique (ce dernier, pour l’heure, mis en attente), alors même qu’en matière de consolidation européenne proprement dite (sécurité intérieure et extérieure, sécurité énergétique, sanitaire et alimentaire) tout restait encore à faire ! Une Europe précisément sans Défense au moment où les tensions avec la République islamique d’Iran se ravivent et alors que les armées des états membres de l’UE ont été dissoutes ou réduites a quia, c’est-à-dire sans autre défense pour le présent que celle de l’Organisation du Pacte atlantique, l’Otan, sous haut commandement américain… Faut-il une autre preuve de la vassalisation, voire de la servitude, d’une Europe combattant aujourd’hui en Afghanistan au service de Washington dans un conflit à l’issue et à l’intérêt plus que douteux ?

Last but not least, quatre jour après la ratification irlandaise, le 12 juin - si importante pour M. Bush - doit intervenir un autre fait d’une importance capitale et qui éclaire l’ensemble des grandes manœuvres dont la zone Europe-Méditerranée est actuellement le théâtre : le 16 juin à Luxembourg, conseil des ministres des affaires étrangères des Vingt-Sept devrait entériner un partenariat avancé avec Israël. Cela signifie une intégration quasi complète au sein du marché unique, dans les institutions européennes avec la participation des ministres israéliens dans les conseils européens et d’experts dans tous les programmes et groupes de travail, « ce qui équivaudrait à conférer à l’Etat juif un statut de quasi-membre de l’UE » comme le soulignait le monde dans son édition du 7 juin.

La chose s’est préparé dans le silence feutré des chancelleries car apparemment rien n’avait filtré dans la grande presse – les archives du quotidien Le Monde sont muettes en 2007 sur cette question - histoire de mettre l’opinion devant le fait accompli. Nous avons ici une preuve supplémentaire que les vraies décisions, celles qui engagent le destin des nations ne sont pas connues du public, qu’elles sont soigneusement tues… Comme fut caché, dès l’origine, au début des années 40, les finalités réelles de la construction européenne… des objectifs pas très éloignés de ceux qui président aujourd’hui à la Greater Middle East Initiative : démembrer des États souverains et créer des entités fédérales sur des bases communautaristes… un prolongement et une amélioration substantielles de l’accord secret Sykes-Picot passé le 16 mai 1916 entre la France, la Grande-Bretagne et la Russie, lequel organisait le partage des dépouilles de l’Empire ottoman... Est-ce la aussi pure coïncidence si la tournée de M. Bush a démarré par la Slovénie là où justement, en avril dernier, se tint la commission chargée de finaliser cette discrète entrée de l’État hébreu dans la communauté des Vingt Sept ? On comprend mieux alors la hâte de M. Sarkozy à réaliser cette Union pour la Méditerranée si l’on considère avec un peu de recul, et dans son ensemble, l’échiquier géostratégique proche-oriental…

Au final, ce ne sont vraisemblablement pas les objurgations du Premier ministre palestinien, M.Salam Fayyad, par lesquelles il tente de détourner ses homologues européens d’une telle décision lourde conséquence puisqu’à travers elle l’Union deviendra partie prenante des conflits présents et à venir de l’une région les plus chaude, politiquement et militairement parlant, de la planète. Très modéré parce que tributaire de l’aide Européenne, le Premier ministre palestinien demande qu’au moins cette entrée soit soumise à condition, à savoir « qu’Israël se conforme aux lois internationales et aux droits de l’homme, y compris par le gel de la colonisation »… En vérité l’intégration à marche forcée de l’espace géopolitique euroméditerranéen qui s’opère en ce moment même sous nos yeux, rien ne semblant devoir l’arrêter, se fera par conséquent au nez et à la barbe de tous, Européens et Musulmans qui n’en pourront mais !

Source : Arab Commission for Human Rights

*Jean Michel Vernochet est essayiste, journaliste et géopolitologue

Intervista a Francesco Polacchi (Blocco Studentesco)

Intervista a Francesco Polacchi



Francesco Polacchi è nato a Roma nel 1986. Studente di Scienze storiche presso l’università di Roma Tre, è responsabile nazionale del Blocco Studentesco.

Quali sono i miti, gli autori e le esperienze che consideri parte integrante del tuo bagaglio politico-culturale?


Cercherò di essere sintetico... Trovo la Storia molto divertente: credo che sia molto più simpatica e meno noiosa di come ce la si voglia far passare di questi tempi; credo cioè che nulla avvenga mai per caso e che il passato esista sia perché debba riproporsi sia perché gli uomini debbano carpire gli insegnamenti degli avi in situazioni completamente differenti da come si erano proposte in precedenza.
I periodi storici in cui più ritrovo lo spirito e le linee guida della mia azione sono l’Impero Romano, anche se sono consapevole che in mille anni di storia (considerandolo quindi dall’atto della fondazione di Roma quale Imperium) tanti sono stati i momenti e i motivi che lo hanno portato alla sua implosione; l’Impero di Federico II quale più longeva e fresca espressione della nuova sintesi delle idee Imperium, popolo e rivoluzione sociale e amministrativa nell’artecrazia e infine, ovviamente, il Fascismo. Inoltre ci sono altri momenti quali il Risorgimento, il periodo napoleonico o alcuni altri imperatori «medioevali» (uso le virgolette perché odio la parola «medioevo» in quanto vorrei sapere quale epoca non è un passaggio tra due epoche???). Come autori ho sempre svariato: da Degrelle a Palahniuk, da Sun Tzu a Bunker, da Omero e Virgilio a Fante e Bukowski...


Che cosa è stato secondo te sinteticamente il Fascismo? Alcune sue intuizioni e proposte possono essere valide ancora oggi?

In senso lato il fascismo è stata la grande poesia del XX secolo; l’originale sintesi tra la moderna idea di Stato, le nuove esigenze della società con una visione del mondo lontana dall’essere contingente e immanente. In senso stretto fu ciò che trasformò l’Italia da un paese agricolo a una nazione industriale.
Molte sono le intuizioni che possono essere ancora valide, come la politica sulla casa di proprietà, sulla socializzazione delle imprese, su un’economia guidata (non bloccata) dallo Stato, sulla costruzione di grandi infrastrutture, la lotta alla mafia... tutte cose che ormai sono tristemente cadute nel dimenticatoio perché il fascismo è oggetto di una damnatio memoriae che non concede sconti.


Come e perché nasce il Blocco Studentesco? Qual è la sua «missione»?

Non siamo religiosi, quindi in un certo senso non crediamo alle «missioni»... però accetto la provocazione e dico che la nostra volontà è quella di riportare la partecipazione politica tra i giovani in un periodo storico in cui si fa di tutto per andare nella direzione opposta; d’altronde: meno domande e meno curiosi = meno problemi. Questo è un po’ il perché. Sul come la cosa è molto divertente. Ufficialmente il Blocco Studentesco nasce il 12 settembre del 2006 a CasaPound, ma l’idea era nata qualche mese prima sulle scale quando mi ritrovai con Davide di Stefano a parlare con Gianluca Iannone il quale ci disse un po’ per gioco: «perché non fate un movimento studentesco?». Detto fatto e, così come in altre situazioni, la nascita del Blocco non deve essere vista come chissà quale operazione studiata nelle segrete da chissà quanto tempo... Sicuramente però è stato proprio il momento giusto per partire!


In che stato si trova l’attuale sistema dell’istruzione nazionale?

Non bene. Troppi finanziamenti alle scuole private e poca attenzione al settore pubblico in cui molto spesso gli addetti non fanno il loro dovere avvalorando la tesi di chi vorrebbe privatizzare anche l’aria che si respira.


Come giudichi le ultime riforme della Gelmini in materia di scuola e università?

Non sono poi così negative. A me fa sorridere il fatto che tutte le manifestazioni di protesta che furono fatte nell’autunno 2008, a parte pochi interlocutori tra cui noi!!!!, non avevano idea su cosa andare a parare. Noi volevamo bloccare la legge 133, gli altri al massimo il grembiule e il maestro unico: assurdo. Tornando a bomba: la riforma sugli accorpamenti dei licei era necessaria così come il riordino degli istituti tecnici; altre cose come le norme antibullismo e il voto in condotta sono palliativi populistici. Sull’università, fermo restando la nostra assoluta contrarietà alla legge 133 voluta dalla finanziaria del 2008, gli interventi contro il baronato e in favore della maggiore trasparenza di assegnazioni e fondi non possono che farmi piacere.


Tu conosci molto bene gli interessi politici che gravitano intorno alla scuola. Quali sono i veri centri di potere che dettano l’agenda in fatto di istruzione?

Con la legge 133 si concede la possibilità a terzi di entrare nei consigli di amministrazione degli atenei. Il problema è che così facendo le materie umanistiche andrebbero ovviamente a soccombere e materie più tecniche a essere favorite. In più la mia grande paura è relativa alla possibile intromissione delle multinazionali farmaceutiche.


Che modello di scuola/università propone il Blocco? Come intende realizzarlo?

La scuola e l’università devono essere i luoghi in cui si formano le coscienze delle nuove generazioni e la professionalità della classe dirigente del futuro. Anche se non devono essere viste come scuole di lavoro, è chiaro che devono rappresentare la piattaforma di lancio per gli studenti nella società civile, cioè in quella dei «grandi». Oggi assistiamo purtroppo alla distruzione della comunità scolastica in nome di una più proficua e con meno problemi scuola-azienda che nell’università è già diventata una realtà. Per raggiungere questo obiettivo puntiamo sulla ricostruzione di un movimento che sia al tempo stesso una vera e propria comunità di giovani dediti quotidianamente alle attività politiche seguendo i nostri princìpi basilari. È nell’azione quotidiana che si possono gettare le fondamenta per il futuro e, nel frattempo, concorrere a qualsiasi tipo di elezione dove far valere le nostre idee riportando lo spirito di trincea che ci contraddistingue.


Ultimamente stiamo purtroppo assistendo a un continuo crescendo di tensione con le formazioni della cosiddetta «sinistra antagonista», tanto che alcuni – probabilmente in maniera esagerata – fanno paragoni con gli anni piombo. A chi e a cosa giova questa situazione?

Il paragone con gli anni di piombo è assolutamente esagerato... qualcosa è cambiato, non tutto, ma qualcosa sì. Questa situazione giova moltissimo all’estrema sinistra in quanto, essendo ormai sconfitti dalla Storia, possono trovare un motivo per continuare a esistere solo nel cannibalismo politico, cioè solo nutrendosi delle altrui battaglie per avere qualcosa da contraddire, qualcosa contro cui opporsi. In più questa situazione fa gola a tutti i finti democratici che trovano l’occasione per poter aprire bocca e darle fiato, usando il linguaggio politichese per affermare cose banalissime e avere un minimo di visibilità nonostante la loro inconsistenza politica.


Questa domanda è quasi d’obbligo. Che significato ha avuto l’ormai celebre manifestazione anti-Gelmini dell’autunno 2008? All’inizio sembrava che si fosse veramente riusciti a realizzare una protesta corale e trasversale, al di là delle vecchie contrapposizioni politiche. Poi che cosa è successo?

C’era una volta una manifestazione studentesca... il Blocco e le incredibili vicende di piazza Navona. Nelle due settimane precedenti al 29 ottobre il nostro movimento era impegnato in una vera e propria agitazione studentesca partecipando a manifestazioni, cortei, sit-in, assemblee straordinarie, occupazioni di innumerevoli scuole per contestare la legge 133 (che fa parte della finanziaria 2008) e tutto questo ovviamente con studenti di qualsiasi opinione politica... il 29 ottobre era l’ultimo giorno.


Il Blocco Studentesco si sta espandendo in tutta Italia, contando numerosi militanti e decine di migliaia di simpatizzanti. Qual è il segreto di questo successo? Che cosa rappresenta il Blocco per le nuove generazioni?

Il Blocco è il nuovo che avanza, è l’irrazionale voglia di vivere, è un’esplosione di vitalità che non tutti riescono a capire, ma con cui tutti devono fare i conti. Credo che il segreto del successo vada rintracciato nell’impegno costante dei militanti che con i loro sacrifici portano «avanti la baracca» e nell’organizzazione scientifica del da farsi. Quando a questi due elementi si aggiunge un contenuto rivoluzionario il resto vien da sé.


In cosa invece il Blocco, secondo te, deve ancora migliorare?

Si deve sempre migliorare in tutto, la perfezione non è di questo mondo, ma tendendo costantemente ad essa si migliora tutti i giorni.


Feste, sport, concerti. Che importanza rivestono questi eventi per la politica del Blocco?

Sono mezzi importanti per dimostrare realmente la nostra essenza. Mostriamo a tutti come ci divertiamo ai nostri concerti e alle nostre feste, condividendo con gli altri la nostra innata propensione al sorriso e al divertimento. Insomma tutto il contrario di quello che dicono alcuni giornali descrivendoci come pazzi asociali assetati di sangue. Senza tralasciare poi l’importanza economica che rivestono tali eventi, essendo quasi l’unica fonte di autofinanziamento per il gruppo.


Che ruolo giocano le nuove tecnologie all’interno della militanza politica del nuovo millennio?

Un ruolo importantissimo, basti pensare che subito dopo gli scontri di Piazza Navona abbiamo messo su youtube il nostro video-verità che ci ha permesso di mostrare a tutti come erano andate realmente le cose. Per non parlare dell’importanza che riveste la grafica nei nostri manifesti e nei nostri volantini. È un altro campo in cui dimostriamo di essere avanguardia.
Se nel ’900 era il cinema l’arma più forte, nel terzo millennio è internet a rivestire il ruolo di protagonista indiscusso.


È nato da poco «Idrovolante», il trimestrale del Blocco Studentesco all’università. Quanto è importante la battaglia culturale per un’organizzazione come il Blocco? Quali sono le linee-guida e le idee-forza della nuova cultura che si intende proporre?

La battaglia culturale è la battaglia più importante. Tramite il nostro giornalino, le nostre assemblee e le nostre conferenze stiamo di fatto portando avanti una piccola rivoluzione culturale. In Italia, purtroppo, dal secondo dopoguerra in poi la sinistra ha monopolizzato questo settore servendosi di case editrici, cantanti, autori, comici, per far credere a tutti che la «cultura sta a sinistra». Si sono volutamente criminalizzati autori come Pound, Céline, La Rochelle e gettati nel dimenticatoio avvenimenti storici come la tragedia delle foibe. Tutto ciò che non piaceva all’intellighenzia salottiera era considerato non cultura. CasaPound ha rivoluzionato tutto questo, diventando un vero e proprio laboratorio culturale dove si parla di tutto e tutti possono parlare.
Inevitabilmente questo dà fastidio a qualcuno che ha smarrito ormai presa sulle masse e vivacità culturale.
Passando alle linee-guida e alle idee-forze credo che i manifesti dell’
EstremoCentroAlto e della Neoterocrazia raffigurino in versi la nostra «idea di mondo».


Quali sono i prossimi obiettivi del Blocco? Quali le prospettive?

Gli obbiettivi sono molti e le sfide più grandi sono quelle che ci entusiasmano di più. Quest’anno abbiamo raggiunto risultati importanti alle elezioni della Consulta Provinciale degli studenti, prendendo 4 presidenti e una marea di voti, poi ci saranno le elezioni universitarie, le prime a cui partecipa il Blocco e ogni anno ci sono le elezioni all’interno dei vari licei. Abbiamo organizzato una festa con quasi mille persone al Piper, storico locale romano, e il 7 Maggio staremo in piazza per la Giovinezza al potere. L’obbiettivo principale è quello di risvegliare questa generazione dallo stato confusionale in cui è stato trascinato dall’attuale società dei consumi, ma soprattutto vogliamo volere e affermare!


Che cosa ti aspetti dalla manifestazione nazionale del 7 maggio?

Immagino migliaia di persone che colorano la città con fumogeni e bandiere, allegria incontenibile mista a rabbia da urlare in faccia a chi ci dice che va tutto bene e a chi ci vorrebbe morti. Dimostrare a tutti che siamo noi la meglio gioventù.

Claudio Mutti, "L'Unità dell'Eurasia" (Esp.)

Claudio Mutti, L’unità dell’Eurasia

Claudio Mutti
L’unità dell’Eurasia
con un prefacio de Tiberio Graziani
Effepi, Génova 2008
pp. 192, € 20,00

Prefacio

eurasie.jpgEn los últimos años, al menos desde el tiempo del colapso de la Unión Soviética, se ha asistido a un renovado interés hacia el análisis geopolítico como clave interpretativa para la comprensión de las cambiadas relaciones entre los actores globales y, sobre todo, como auxilio para descifrar nuevos escenarios posibles.

En tal ámbito, Eurasia parece constituir, considerando los numerosos estudios que se ocupan  de ella, un campo de investigación privilegiado.

Analistas influyentes como, por ejemplo, el atlantista Brzezinski o los neoeurasiatistas Dugin y Ziuganov están de acuerdo, aunque desde puntos de vista distintos y decididamente antagonistas entre sí, sobre el hecho de que el futuro del planeta se juega en el tablero eurasiático.

A la imparable y larga ofensiva lanzada por los EE.UU. contra la masa continental eurasiática entre 1990 y 2003 (1) parece contraponerse, al menos a partir del ultimo quinquenio, una especie de reacción que se expresa, por ahora, a través de la intensificación de nuevas y profundas colaboraciones estratégicas entre Pekín, Nueva Delhi y Moscú y el continuo refuerzo de la Organización para la Cooperación de Shangai (OCS).

Estos acuerdos parecería que sirven de preludio a una inédita y articulada integración del continente eurasiático que, por evidentes motivos de oportunidad, pasando por encima tanto de las diferencias culturales, religiosas, étnicas, como por encima de las particulares aspiraciones nacionales de las poblaciones que lo habitan, hacen vanas las expectativas de los propagandistas del “choque de civilizaciones”.

La teoría del choque de civilizaciones, como se sabe, fue puesta a punto por Samuel Huntington, el ex consejero de Johnson en la época del conflicto vietnamita. El estudioso americano, en diversos artículos y principalmente en su The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order, (New York, Simon & Schuster, 1996), lanzó la hipótesis de que los conflictos entre las varias poblaciones del planeta, y, en particular, entre las que habitan Eurasia, no tendrían su origen principalmente en causas ideológicas o económicas, sino en motivaciones culturales, básicamente religiosas. Para Huntington la política global del siglo XXI estará, por tanto, dominada por el choque de civilizaciones. Esta particular lectura de la historia, es decir, la del carácter irreconciliable de las civilizaciones, ha influido a vastos sectores de la opinión pública occidental y constituye, todavía, una de las referencias constantes de los numerosos think tanks del otro lado del océano especializados en la identificación de las áreas calientes o de inestabilidad de Eurasia.

En realidad, en la historia no se han verificado nunca choques de civilizaciones, sino, más bien, encuentros y contaminaciones entre las distintas culturas. En particular, en Eurasia, en cuyo espacio están presentes la práctica totalidad de las civilizaciones del planeta.

Eurasia, de hecho, todavía antes de ser un concepto útil para el análisis geopolítico y geoestratégico, es, se podría decir, una idea cultural, cuyo carácter unitario es demostrado por su misma historia.

La oposición entre Europa y Asia siempre ha sido una oposición artificial, a menudo fruto de interpretaciones históricas instrumentalizadas, principalmente por los europeos, con fines hegemónicos, por tanto, estrechamente ligada a praxis geopolíticas. Sólo hay que pensar en la época del colonialismo de expoliación y en la superestructura ideológica que lo sustentaba, en el “white man’s burden” (2) del cantor del imperialismo británico, Rudyard Kipling y, sobre todo, en su conocida composición literaria The Ballad of East and West, en la que el escritor y poeta inglés teoriza explícitamente, en el famoso verso East is East, and West is West, and never the twain shall meet, el carácter irreconciliable entre las culturas orientales y occidentales (3).

Pero, si observamos bien, la contraposición “ideológica” entre Europa y Asia, entre Occidente y Oriente, se remonta todavía más atrás, a ciertas tendencias que maduraron en el seno del cristianismo, que exaltando la especificidad de la visión cristiana del mundo consideran las culturas de las poblaciones no europeas no sólo como inciviles, sino también como inferiores.

La presunta separación e incompatibilidad entre las culturas asiáticas y las presentes en la parte occidental de Eurasia, es decir, en la península europea, si examinamos con mayor atención, se ha resuelto siempre en el principio de la polaridad. Ya Polibio, en su Historias, resolvía la oposición entre Oriente y Occidente en el carácter unitario del mundo mediterráneo (4), un concepto que fue retomado y desarrollado brillantemente, algunos siglos más tarde, por el historiador francés Fernand Braudel. Por otra parte, para los antiguos la tierra habitada y conocida era considerada del mismo modo que una casa común (oikouméne ghê). Según el historiador holandés Huizinga “en la historia antigua, en la medida en que nos es conocida, no encontramos nunca a Oriente contrapuesto explícitamente a Occidente [5]. Para el autor de El Otoño de la Edad Media y Homo Ludens, también la civilización islámica ha ignorado la escisión entre Oriente y Occidente, por tanto, entre Asia y Europa [6].

El profundo carácter unitario de las múltiples y policromas civilizaciones eurasiáticas no ha sido nunca puesto en duda, sino que más bien ha sido ratificado y reconfirmado por los descubrimientos arqueológicos, por las investigaciones etnográficas y, en particular, por el estudio comparado de las religiones y de los mitos.

Por tanto, aunque existan análisis e investigaciones específicas sobre la unidad cultural de Eurasia, sin embargo, se debe todavía constatar a tal respecto la ausencia de estudios sistemáticos y orgánicos.

Los trabajos de un Gumilev, como también de un Altheim, sobre la influencia de la cultura mongola o la de los Hunos en el mundo eslavo-ruso y en el nacimiento de los actuales pueblos asiáticos y europeos, o los de un Giuseppe Tucci sobre le mundo tibetano o sobre las culturas de Extremo Oriente y su parentela con el pensamiento antiguo, o los de un Eliade dedicados a la comparación de las religiones y de los mitos, o, todavía, los de un Dumézil o un Benveniste en lo referente a los estudios llamados indoeuropeos, o, finalmente, los de la escuela de los eurasiatistas rusos de los años veinte y treinta del siglo XX, entre los cuales se encuentra ciertamente el lingüista Trubeckoj, constituyen indudablemente las bases metodológicas para emprender tal empresa. A esto se podrían añadir también los resultados y las metodologías adquiridas por los estudiosos de las ciencias llamadas tradicionales, como, por citar sólo algún nombre, Guénon, Coomaraswamy, Schuon, Evola, Burckhardt, Nasr.

Precisamente es en el ámbito del descubrimiento, o mejor, del redescubrimiento del carácter unitario de las culturas eurasiáticas donde encuentran su correcta colocación los ensayos de Claudio Mutti recogidos en L’Unitá dell’Eurasia; sobre todo, además de ofrecer una válida introducción a esta temática –en Italia todavía en vías de definición –estos aportan nuevos elementos de reflexión, útiles no sólo para el desarrollo de tales investigaciones, sino también para la comprensión de importantes nudos históricos de la ecúmene que, para decirlo con Eliade, por otra parte, con razón citado por Mutti, se extiende de Portugal a China y de Escandinavia a Ceilán. La peculiaridad de los estudios aquí presentes reside, a nuestro juicio, en la constante referencia que Mutti presta a las dinámicas geopolíticas del espacio eurasiático; una referencia destinada ciertamente a suscitar una común conciencia geopolítica entre las poblaciones que actualmente habitan la masa eurasiática.

Tiberio Graziani
Director  de la revista “Eurasia”.

direzione@eurasia-rivista.org

www.eurasia-rivista.org

 

(Traducido del italiano al español por Javier Estrada)

Notas:

1. Primera Guerra del Golfo (1990-1991); agresión a Serbia (1999), en el ámbito de la planificada desintegración de la Confederación yugoslava; ocupación de Afganistán (2002); devastación de Irak (2003). A esto hay que añadir también la ampliación de la OTAN en los países de Europa oriental y las llamadas “revoluciones coloradas” como significativos elementos de intromisión por parte de la potencia del otro lado del Atlántico en la que fue la esfera de influencia de la mayor potencia eurasiática del siglo XX, la Unión Soviética.

2. La popular composición de Rudyard Kipling fue publicada con el subtítulo The United States and the Philippine Islands en 1899; este se refería a las guerras de conquista emprendidas por los Estados Unidos con respecto a las Filipinas y otras ex colonias españolas.

3. Para una rápida reflexión sobre la cuestión del concepto de Occidente en relación con la identidad europea, véase en el propio volumen de Mutti el capítulo sobre “La invención de Occidente”.

4. pero bastante antes de Polibio también Heródoto. Escribe al respecto Luciano Canfora “…precisamente a los griegos les corresponde la responsabilidad de haber separado a los ‘Bárbaros’ de los ‘Griegos’. En la primera línea de las Historias de Heródoto, griegos y bárbaros constituyen ya una consolidada polaridad, aunque precisamente Heródoto sea más consciente que otros de hasta qué punto los conceptos fundamentales de los griegos, empezando por las denominaciones de las divinidades  (II, 50), venían de lejos”, en Il sarto cinese, nota a Arnold Toynbee, Il mondo e l’Occidente, Sellerio editore, Palermo, 1992, p. 107.

5. Johan Huizinga, Lo scempio del mondo, Bruno Mondadori, Milano, 2004, p.26.

6. Johan Huizinga, op.cit., p. 35 y siguientes.

 

 

vendredi, 14 mai 2010

Les brillantes suggestions de Cohn-Bendit

jeudi, 13 mai 2010

La Grèceest victime d'une guerre menée par les Anglo-Saxons

«La Grèce est victime d'une guerre menée par les Anglo-Saxons»

Ex: http://fortune.fdesouche.com/

Evidemment, tous les pessimistes finissent un jour par avoir raison : une catastrophe survient qui fait triompher leur mauvais augure. Mais Franck Biancheri a annoncé la crise déclenchée par les subprimes plus de deux ans avant qu’elle n’arrive, les désordres sociaux qui en sont nés (manifestations telles qu’on en voit en Grèce, Bossnapping [séquestration de patrons]) plusieurs mois avant qu’ils ne se réalisent.

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, dans le «Daily Telegraph» du 13 décembre 2009

On accorde donc de plus en plus de crédit à ses analyses, et on le taxe de moins en moins de paranoïa. Aujourd’hui, son LEAP (Laboratoire européen d’anticipation politique) met en garde contre les bombes à retardement que sont l’Angleterre et les USA.

La Grèce est au plus mal et vous, vous vous focalisez sur le Royaume-Uni…

La Grèce ne pouvait plus continuer ainsi, c’est évident, et ce qui lui arrive maintenant sera à terme salutaire pour le pays. Mais tout le monde le savait depuis longtemps, et ses chiffres ne sont pas si désastreux. Il faut donc se demander «pourquoi maintenant» ? Tout a, en fait, commencé par une série d’articles en début d’année, publiée dans le Financial Times, la voix de la City, qui soulignait les problèmes du pays, laminait et laminait en parlant du danger que représentait sa situation économique. Il y a eu un travail de sape de longue haleine, qui a évidemment poussé les autres médias à couvrir ce thème. La crise de la Grèce est avant tout née d’une guerre psychologique : c’est une crise de confiance, une prophétie auto-accomplie.

Pourquoi le Royaume-Uni s’amuserait-il à faire cela ?

Parce que, suite à la crise, les Etats sont en situation de guerre économique. En Suisse, vous avez été les premiers à en prendre conscience, puisque les Britanniques et les Américains s’en sont pris à votre place financière très vite et très violemment, pour protéger et avantager les leurs. Les Européens commencent tout juste à comprendre ce qui leur arrive.

La Suisse était en concurrence directe avec ces deux pays, mais pourquoi s’en prendre à la Grèce ?

Ce n’est pas la Grèce qui est visée, mais la zone euro et sa monnaie. La Grèce est une cible facile parce que son économie n’est pas très importante – elle n’a donc pas les mêmes moyens pour se défendre que l’Allemagne ou la France. Couler l’euro, c’est intéressant pour la livre et le dollar. Créer cette diversion, c’est aussi un moyen de cacher ses problèmes.

C’est-à-dire ?

Le Royaume-Uni et les Etats-Unis sont dans une situation d’endettement privé et public insoutenable. Or, il y a actuellement trop de pays qui veulent se financer – d’ici décembre, il va falloir trouver entre 150 et 200 milliards d’euros – et pas assez d’argent à disposition. Ça ne va donc pas être simple pour les Anglo-Saxons. D’autant plus qu’une partie des emprunts arrive à maturité pour les Etats-Unis, qui vont devoir les refinancer. Dans ce contexte de forte concurrence, vous avez tout intérêt à apparaître comme un bon candidat, et à couler les autres candidats.

Vous pensez que d’autres pays, l’Espagne ou le Portugal par exemple, risquent d’être touchés ?

Ce qui a permis aux agences de notation de changer la note de la dette grecque, est la découverte que certains chiffres étaient faux – c’est certes un prétexte, mais dans le cas des deux pays que vous citez, elles auront de la peine à en trouver un. Je crois d’autant moins à une contamination que ces pays ne sont pas des gros opérateurs dans l’économie européenne. Zapatero a eu raison de s’énerver, parce qu’il n’y a aucune raison de retirer sa confiance à l’Espagne.

Vous dites que cet épisode aura des conséquences positives. Lesquelles ?

Pour la Grèce, ce sera l’occasion de moderniser son économie et d’entrer dans le XXIème siècle. Les Européens, eux, ont compris depuis un mois que la grande amitié occidentale est un mythe – les USA et le Royaume-Uni ne sont clairement pas dans le même camp. Cet épisode aura aussi fait apparaître la nécessité d’une véritable gouvernance économique au niveau européen, qui puisse prendre des mesures contraignantes – on est enfin en train de prendre la bonne direction, après les tergiversations de l’Allemagne. Enfin, les gens sont de plus en plus critiques face aux conseils des agences de notation, et des thermomètres que les Anglo-Saxons ont imposés à tous les pays pour mesurer la santé de leur économie. Ils reconnaissent leur partialité.

La prochaine catastrophe, c’est quoi ?

Le Royaume-Uni. Ce qui va se passer prochainement dans ce pays, en termes de révélations sur la réalité économique, va définitivement ouvrir les yeux des Européens. Des chiffres commencent à sortir dans la presse. Le Guardian a, par exemple, titré le 5 mai sur le fait que le déficit budgétaire du Royaume-Uni risque bien d’être plus élevé encore que celui de la Grèce, comparativement à leurs PIB respectifs. Les gens ne sont pas idiots : ils savent que si le pays a des soucis, c’est que sa place financière a de plus gros soucis…

Le Matin

Toespraak v. E. Langerock, Praeses Kasper

Diner-debat – No to war, stop USA-imperialism: onze toespraak

Op 24 april woonde KASPER het diner-debat “No to war, stop USA-imperialism” bij.

Toespraak van Erik Langerock, Praeses KASPER-Gent 2009-2011, op 24 april 2010 te Antwerpen.

Dames en heren,

We hebben het nu gehad over het kapitalistische wangedrocht de Verenigde Staten, hun imperialisme en alle zionistische kwalen die hieruit voortvloeien. De tijd is nu gekomen om te spreken over oplossingen, om maatregelen te vinden die ervoor kunnen zorgen dat dit imperialisme kan ophouden. Uiteraard zal het aan ons zijn om ons te weren, ons te verzetten tegen deze anti-Europese dominantie, maar dit is echter niet voldoende. Het zal ook aan de Amerikanen zijn om deze praktijken een halt toe te roepen.

 

Want, dames en heren, het Amerikaanse volk, in zoverre wij dit een volk mogen noemen – het stamt namelijk af van mensen die zich niet konden aarden in een traditioneel Europa – heeft ook te lijden. Ik heb het dan niet over die klasse die het zich kan veroorloven om buitenverblijven in Dubai te kopen, maar wel over die mensen die moeten werken opdat die klasse kan genieten van haar weelde. De mensen die moeten werken voor hun brood en in de vergetelheid raken wanneer ze dat niet kunnen. De mensen die als eerste worden bestraft wanneer enkele rijken monsterwinsten maken door het gehele economische systeem te ontregelen. De mensen die zomaar uit hun huizen worden gezet omdat de Amerikaanse banklobby en de Amerikaanse regering overdaad en overconsumptie aanmoedigen. De mensen die als eerste worden uitgestuurd naar het oorlogsgebied waar ze moeten vechten voor diezelfde rijken. Dit, ironisch genoeg, ten koste van de plaatselijke bevolking die in dezelfde situatie zit als zij.

 

Vandaag de dag lijdt de Amerikaanse bevolking dan ook aan 3 kwalen: het is getraumatiseerd, gedrogeerd en gedegouteerd. Getraumatiseerd door de politiek van angst die het ondergaat en de oorlogen die het als dienstplichtige soldaat moet meemaken. Gedrogeerd dankzij de farmaceutische industrie die de pas gestemde verplichte gezondheidszorg alleen maar kan toejuichen en dankzij de voedselindustrie die de Amerikanen volpropt met het meest ongezonde voedsel. Gedegouteerd omdat de Amerikanen beseffen dat hun inspraak, hun stem, hun geloof in verandering elke keer weer wordt gefnuikt.

 

Want welke president het roer ook overneemt, hetzelfde beleid zal worden gevoerd. Een zoveelste bewijs daarvoor is president Obama, die erin slaagde om Guantanamo open te blijven houden en als teken van ‘goodwill’ Europa het vuile werk laat opknappen door moeilijke gevangenen in onze gevangenissen te plaatsen, oorlogen blijft voeren en zelfs intensifieerde en tot slot de farmaceutische industrie een groot plezier deed door 18 miljoen gezonde en welgestelde Amerikanen, die ervoor kozen geen ziekteverzekering af te sluiten, voor de leeuwen te gooien.

 

Over dat laatste punt, de ziekteverzekeringen in de VS, is trouwens nog niet alles gezegd. Want wij dienen goed te beseffen, beste kameraden, dat een verplichte ziekteverzekering in de VS niet ten goede komt van de burger, zoals dit in Europa doorgaans het geval is, maar enkel ten goede komt van de verzekeringsindustrie in Amerika. Deze immorele en onethische industrie kondigde nu reeds aan dat de prijs van hun premies de hoogte in zal gaan omwille van de massa’s nieuwe schadeclaims die ze nu gaan binnenkrijgen. Een verplicht verzekeringssysteem dat de private en kapitalistische lobby’s in de VS ten goede komt, dit kunnen wij niet anders dan afwijzen. Wij zijn wel te vinden voor een ziekteverzekeringssysteem georganiseerd door de nationale en soevereine staat, een ijdele hoop in de Verenigde Staten.

 

Het Amerikaanse volk is zelfs zo gedegouteerd dat het zijn eigen bewegingen probeert op te richten. Het fenomeen van de Tea Parties is dan ook uitgegroeid tot een geduchte concurrent van zowel Republikeinen als Democraten en falende politici zoals Sarah Palin zien hierin een tweede kans om het volk zand in de ogen te doen strooien. Maar wat houdt de Tea Party samen? Een uitgewerkt politiek programma en gemeenschappelijke standpunten zijn moeilijk te vinden. Ze willen slechts verandering van het bestaande politiek systeem, door het systeem te infiltreren  om het zo van binnenuit te veranderen.

 

Dames en heren, we hebben dit al vaker meegemaakt, ook in België. Was het niet de Volksunie die in het begin vooral als een zweeppartij de vroegere CVP wilde bewerken? Die daarna zo is gegroeid dat ze besliste om haar ware standpunten op te offeren voor de macht en dan uiteindelijk een stille dood is gestorven? Was het niet het Vlaams Blok, dat als zweeppartij op zijn beurt de Volksunie wilde bewerken, nu al zijn vroegere standpunten heeft opgegeven om een beleidspartij te kunnen worden, met als gevolg dat het nu uit elkaar valt omdat niet iedereen meer een postje kan krijgen? Dit enkel nog maar in Zuid-Nederlandse context. Daar waar er demo-liberale chaos heerst, ziet men deze wanorde. Het partijpolitieke systeem staat symbool voor deze wanorde en met dit systeem dient dus ook op alle mogelijke wijzen gebroken te worden!

 

Wij moeten dan ook niet geloven dat de Tea Party Amerika zal veranderen. We moeten evenmin geloven dat een nieuwe en andere president het tij zal doen keren. Men zal ofwel zich overgeven aan het partijpolitieke systeem en zichzelf ideologisch uithollen ofwel een zoveelste marionet zijn voor de ware machthebbers in de Verenigde Staten, de industriële lobbyisten, zionisten en de daarmee verwante banken.

 

En wil het Amerikaanse volk vermijden om in zijn neerwaartse spiraal te blijven, dan zal het deze volksvreemde machthebbers moeten bekampen. Maar om dat te doen moeten we eerst het volk mee krijgen, het uit de illusie helpen dat een nieuwe president of zelfs een nieuwe politieke partij niets zal veranderen aan hun problemen. Het systeem moet niet veranderd, maar gebroken worden. Eens men daarin slaagt, kan het Amerikaanse volk waarlijk vrij zijn.

 

Wij moeten daarom het ware Amerikaanse volk niet laten vallen. Wij moeten de resterende nationale en waarachtig sociale krachten in de VS steunen. Als zij er niet meer zijn, dan moeten wij ze gaan inplanten. Eens wij de Amerikaanse bezetter uit ons Europees Avondland weggejaagd hebben, eens wij de morele en intellectuele superioriteit hebben bereikt en het kapitalisme en zionisme voorgoed wegbranden uit de Europese geest, eens wij Europa zijn traditioneel katholieke geest opnieuw laten vinden en de Europese Orde hersteld hebben op nationaal-solidaristische basis, dán zal het aan de nationale en sociale krachten binnen het Amerikaanse volk zijn om de volksvreemde bestuurlijke klasse in de VS de laatste interne genadeslag toe te dienen en zijn definitieve vernietiging in te luiden.

 

Vanuit KASPER besluiten wij dan ook met de woorden: CHRISTUS REX en EUROPA VRIJ!

mercredi, 12 mai 2010

Les Grecs, un peuple qui a décidé de ne pas se laisser faire...

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Les Grecs, un peuple qui a décidé de ne pas se laisser faire...

Le billet de Patrick Parment

 

Ex: http://synthesenationale.hautetfort.com/

 

Les avis sont partagés concernant le soi-disant sauvetage de la Grèce. Tout porte à croire qu'il y a une arnaque derrière tout cela. La dette publique grecque est de 112 % du PIB, c'est un peu excessif, certes, mais l'ensemble des pays européens sont également endettés jusqu'au cou. Même l'Allemagne n'y échappe pas.

 

La bonne question à se poser est : d'où vient cette attaque contre l'euro avec la Grèce comme prétexte ? Des agences de notation qui sont au nombre de trois. Deux sont américaines (tiens, tiens !) Standard & Boss, Moody's et la troisième, curieusement, est française, Fitch, appartenant au groupe Fimalac de Marc Ladreit de Lacharrière. A elles trois, elles contrôlent 90 % du marché. Or, qui rémunère ces agences ? Les émetteurs de dettes eux-mêmes ! Autrement dit, c'est le serpent qui se mord la queue. Ces mêmes agences de notation ont, par ailleurs, largement contribué à la montée en puissance des produits financiers ultra-complexes issus de la titrisation de créances douteuses. Champion de cette roulette russe financière, Goldman Sachs ! Comme par hasard.

 

Il n'en reste pas moins vrai que depuis la Grèce des "colonels", ce pays a été dirigé par deux familles d'escrocs : les Papandréou (gauche) et les Karamanlis (droite) qui ont confondus leurs intérêts personnels avec ceux du pays.

 

La question qui se pose donc est : faut-il vraiment sauver la Grèce ? Et le terme de sauver est-il exact quand on sait qu'il s'agit de la faire entrer dans le moule anglo-saxon ? Je n'en suis pas si sûr. Car une chose est certaine, c'est que le système a repris ses mauvaises habitudes. Ce qui va se traduire par de nouvelles fermetures d'usines et du chômage, en France comme en Europe de l'ouest. Va-t-on continuer de se faire déplumer sans réagir ? Cette Europe-là et ces tristes sires qui nous gouvernent continuent de faire preuve d'irresponsabilité en demeurant attachés au modèle financier anglo-saxon.

 

La révolte des Grecs est salutaire et leur sortie de la zone euro serait peut-être un premier pas vers autre chose. En tout cas, voilà un peuple qui n'est pas avachi et qui descend dans la rue pour manifester sa colère, promettant de tout casser. Quant à sa classe politique, la voilà prévenue, le peuple en a assez de la corruption. Et, sublime réjouissance, ce ne sont pas les ouvriers qui manifestent, mais le peuple. Car c'est bien le peuple qu'il faut toujours défendre. Ce qu'a compris un homme comme Poutine. Et certainement pas Sarkozy !

Problema greco, affare europeo

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Problema Greco, affare europeo

di Roberto Zavaglia - 10/05/2010

Fonte: Linea Quotidiano [scheda fonte]

Non bisognava essere dei veggenti per indovinare che le draconiane "misure di austerità" imposte dal governo greco in cambio del prestito elargito dalla Ue e dal Fmi avrebbero causato imponenti proteste, con il rischio di violenze più o meno diffuse. E' noto che, ad Atene, la battaglia politica è sempre molto "vivace" e le organizzazioni sindacali piuttosto combattive. Il sangue che è già scorso è stato, probabilmente, causato da quelle frange di estrema sinistra, che in Grecia si riuniscono per lo più sotto le bandiere anarchiche, la cui presenza non va sopravvalutata. Si tratta di poche migliaia di persone che nella capitale stazionano nel quartiere di Exarchia, dove vivono in scalcagnate comunità all'interno di case occupate. Pur essendo un mito per gli "antagonisti" di tutta Europa, dal punto di vista politico questi gruppi radicali, anche se sono in grado di produrre danni, contano poco.


  Sarebbe diverso se una parte della popolazione più indebolita dai piani governativi abbandonasse le forme pacifiche di contestazione. Nel giudicare le mosse del premier Papandreou, gli europei dovranno dunque tenere conto della sua esigenza di mantenere la pace sociale nella nazione. Le misure decise sono così pesanti che avrebbero provocato una reazione non solo nell'esuberante Grecia, ma in qualsiasi altro Paese europeo. Per rientrare dal debito fuori controllo, sono previsti il blocco degli stipendi dei lavoratori pubblici fino al 2014, l'abolizione di tredicesima e di quattordicesima per gli impiegati statali che guadagnano oltre 3.000 euri al mese, la cancellazioni di bonus che sono parte rilevante dello stipendio, l'aumento di altri due punti dell'Iva, con un incremento del 10% delle tasse su benzine, sigarette e alcolici, l'innalzamento dell'età pensionabile.  


  Va detto che quelle che sono state definite le cicale greche non se la passavano poi così bene nemmeno prima. I salari sono già bassi: quello minimo è pari al 60% dei corrispettivi olandese, belga, francese e al 50% dell'irlandese. La divisione della ricchezza, poi, è maggiormente sperequata rispetto agli altri Paesi dell'Eurozona. Il sistema economico greco ha molte colpe per l'attuale crisi. Il settore pubblico è ipertrofico ed inefficiente, essendo stato gonfiato con massicce assunzioni di carattere clientelare, l'evasione fiscale è immensa -perfino per un Paese come il nostro dove, al momento del conto, la domanda rituale è "con o senza fattura?"- la corruzione è ampiamente diffusa a tutti i livelli. Per l'economia greca, però, l'entrata nell'euro, tanto desiderata e poi raggiunta nel 2001, non è stato probabilmente un grande affare. Pur essendo i suoi prodotti  poco competitivi, Atene non può più attuare svalutazioni competitive della moneta al fine di   abbassare i prezzi delle sue merci, ma per rimettere in ordine i conti ha a disposizione solo lo strumento, doloroso, dei tagli e dell'innalzamento delle tasse. 


  Sono state comunque le esitazioni dell'Unione Europea ad aggravare la crisi, incoraggiando la speculazione finanziaria. La cancelliera Merkel, in particolare, ha a lungo tentennato, dando l'impressione di volere abbandonare la Grecia al proprio destino. Se è vero che la Germania non può essere il bancomat dei Paesi in difficoltà, bisogna però aggiungere che sono i tedeschi ad avere maggiormente guadagnato dall'entrata in vigore dell'euro, pur avendo abbandonato l'amato marco, vero e proprio simbolo identitario della nazione nel dopoguerra. Grazie alla parità monetaria, l'industria tedesca, infatti, ha potuto inondare con i suoi prodotti di alta qualità soprattutto i Paesi più deboli dell'area euro.
  Giova inoltre ricordare che una parte consistente del debito greco è detenuto, oltre che da quelle francesi, dalle banche tedesche che, in caso di default, si potrebbero trovare nella condizione di chiedere sussidi governativi. Gli aiuti ad Atene sono dei prestiti al gravoso tasso del 5% che, se rimborsati, produrranno cospicui profitti per i Paesi che li hanno concessi i quali si indebitano a tassi minori. Si calcola che la stessa Germania guadagnerebbe, solo con la prima tranche di prestiti, 622 milioni di euri, la Francia 465 milioni e l'Italia 356 milioni. Comunque, la crisi greca, più di ogni altra cosa, ci ha mostrato che la solidarietà europea è un concetto aleatorio. Le settimane passate nell'incertezza, i toni "nazionalistici", con i quali i vari governi hanno voluto far mostra di difendere i risparmi dei propri cittadini, hanno evidenziato quanto l'Europa sia debole anche rispetto a quella moneta comune che riteneva il suo capolavoro e il suo gioiello.


  Finalmente, la Merkel, mercoledì scorso, in un discorso al parlamento, che la stampa tedesca ha giudicato storico, ha dato l'impressione di assumersi le responsabilità che competono a un Paese così importante. Dopo avere dichiarato che "è in gioco il futuro dell'Europa e della Germania in Europa", la cancelliera ha aggiunto perentoriamente che "l'Europa oggi guarda alla Germania. Senza di noi o contro di noi non si può prendere alcuna decisione". Sembrerebbe la prima rivendicazione del ruolo di guida di Berlino in Europa, dopo decenni in cui la Germania ha messo ogni impegno per diluire la sua forza economica in un europeismo consensuale, negando di volere primeggiare anche politicamente. Ferma da tempo in stazione la locomotiva franco-tedesca, non sarebbe una brutta notizia che la sola Germania si decidesse a fare da traino per l'integrazione europea, abbandonando scrupoli e paure suscitati dal suo passato.


  Sarebbe davvero eccessivo, però, trarre da un discorso parlamentare conclusioni politiche certe.  L'Europa attuale, anche dal punto di vista economico, ha bisogno di rilevanti riforme che metteranno in luce se c'è davvero chi ambisce a fare da sprone agli altri. Oggi, si capisce che è stato sbagliato dotare della stessa moneta Paesi con divari economici troppo marcati. Probabilmente, si pensava di valersi ancora una volta del metodo funzionalista, compiendo un passo importante sul piano economico, nella convinzione che la coesione sociale scaturitane favorisse il rafforzamento delle istituzioni politiche. E' vero che l'integrazione continentale è nata con la Comunità europea del carbone e dell'acciaio (Ceca), ma adesso ci si è spinti a un punto in cui l'iniziativa politica deve precedere ogni altra istanza.


  Anche nel governo dell'economia, senza una politica fiscale comune e senza un coordinamento delle finanze dei vari Paesi, l'euro rappresenterà più una gabbia che un'opportunità, lasciando i  Paesi più deboli nelle grinfie degli avvoltoi alla Soros. In fin dei conti, mentre l'Europa trema per la crisi della Grecia che rappresenta solo lo 0,3% del pil mondiale, gli Usa non sembrano avere le stesse difficoltà per la quasi bancarotta della ben più sostanziosa (economicamente) California. Vale a dire che, senza la politica e senza un governo responsabile, le potenze economiche sono solo tigri di carta.

 

Tante altre notizie su www.ariannaeditrice.it

Lateinamerika-Strategie

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Lateinamerika-Strategie

Rede von Andreas Mölzer im Plenum am 20. April 2010 zur Strategie der EU für die Beziehungen zu Lateinamerika

Ex: http://www.andreas-moelzer.at/

Herr Präsident!

Nachdem über 300 Jahre Kolonialherrschaft Lateinamerika geprägt haben, nachdem der Kontinent zu einem Schauplatz des Kalten Krieges geworden war, hat sich Lateinamerika nunmehr zu einer aufstrebenden Weltregion entwickelt. Dass etwa Russlands Präsident Medwedjew Mittel- und Südamerika bereist hat, beweist, dass er versucht, die Wirtschaftsbeziehungen zu Südamerika zu stärken. Und es zeigt auch, wie richtig die EU mit ihrem Kurs liegt, die Beziehungen zu diesem Kontinent, der ja mehr Einwohner hat als die EU 27, zu stärken.

Dabei gilt es nicht nur, Verhandlungen mit dem wirtschaftspolitischen Block Mercosur aufzunehmen, sondern auch an all jene kleineren Staaten zu denken, die nicht dieser Wirtschaftsregion oder der Andengemeinschaft angehören. Die EU ist ja nicht nur Hauptinvestor oder wichtigster bzw. zweitwichtigster Handelspartner, sondern auch der wichtigste Geber von Entwicklungshilfe. Wir sind bereits aus finanzieller Sicht ein wichtiger Faktor, und es gilt meines Erachtens, diese Poleposition im europäisch-lateinamerikanischen Sinne zu nutzen.